Freeport Entrance Jetty tide station · Deep jettied entrance with direct Gulf exchange - the biggest tide range of these spots, and green water shows here first when the wind turns onshore.
The 48-hour setup
The buoy at 42035 has been locked into the right quadrant. Mean wind over the last 48 hours is SE at 138 degrees, 6.1 kt, and the last 24 average SE at 141 degrees, 4.8 kt, with the latest ob SSE at 160 degrees, 5.8 kt gusting 7.8 and a top gust of only 17.5 over two days. Pressure sits flat at 1013.2 offshore and 1011.9 at the coastal station. That is textbook green-water wind - two solid days of southeast at single digits stacks clean Gulf water into the pass instead of stirring the bay floor. Water temp is the one problem: 87.6 F, which means sulky trout by mid-morning.
Buoy 42035: 48-hour vector-mean wind SE (138 deg) at 6.1 kt; 24-hour mean SE at 4.8 kt. Peak gust in the last 48 hours: 17.5 kt.
FPST2 latest: SSE at 8 kt, gusting 8.9 kt. Pressure 1011.9 hPa. Water temp 87.6 F.
The bottom line
Tuesday, September 8 is the day. Be standing on the drop by 4:30 PM and fish the hard fall off the 11:59 AM high down to the 8:09 PM low, through sunset at 7:34. Monday morning at first light is the backup if a weekday afternoon does not work, and Sunday is fishable but you will be watching the sky.
Sandy Greensandy green in the throat, stained on the bay side
Lure86·Bait86
Either
Nothing separates them today (lure 86, bait 86) - fish whichever you enjoy more.
Cork or free-line, no problem
Tide (ft) & Wind (kt) by hour2.27 ft · strong · peak 0.15 ft/hr
Wind dir
↑ S
↗ SW
↗ SW
↘ NW
↘ NW
↓ N
↖ SE
↖ SE
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
Wind kt
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
9
13
9
9
Tide ft
1.8
2.0
2.0
1.8
1.6
1.4
1.1
0.5
-0.0
-0.2
0.0
0.7
primegoodfairslow
Hourly tide and fishing score for Sunday, September 6
Hour
Tide (ft)
Score
Fishable
12 AM
1.83
49
No
1 AM
1.99
40
No
2 AM
2.05
37
No
3 AM
2.04
40
No
4 AM
1.98
43
No
5 AM
1.89
45
No
6 AM
1.77
62
No
7 AM
1.66
60
No
8 AM
1.55
70
Yes
9 AM
1.48
66
Yes
10 AM
1.41
69
Yes
11 AM
1.3
61
No
12 PM
1.12
69
No
1 PM
0.84
73
No
2 PM
0.52
72
No
3 PM
0.21
66
No
4 PM
-0.04
70
Yes
5 PM
-0.18
63
Yes
6 PM
-0.22
62
Yes
7 PM
-0.15
71
Yes
8 PM
0.03
88
Yes
9 PM
0.33
69
Yes
10 PM
0.73
72
Yes
11 PM
1.15
71
No
Clarity67
Tide100
Wind100
Solunar73
Tide
High 2:15 AM (2.05) -> Low 5:53 PM (-0.22)
Range
2.27 ft · strong · peak 0.15 ft/hr
Wind
N 0-13 kt48-hr mean SE 6.1 kt · no shift
Pressure
29.92 inHg, rising
Sky
Mostly Clear · 89°F · 53% rain
Moon
Waning Crescent 24%
Sun
7:02 AM → 7:37 PM
Best lure windows · score /100
8:22 AM - 10:22 AM95Major - moon overhead
4:10 PM - 5:10 PM82Minor - moonset, on max tidal flow
5:53 PM - 8:23 PM90First of the incoming off the 5:53 PM low
8:47 PM - 10:47 PM40Major - moon underfoot, on max tidal flow
Why this rating
Two days of measured SE at 6.1 kt have the water in decent shape, and the forecast N and NW breeze is only 5 mph - that direction blows this system out at 20 kt, not at 5. The tide is the reason to go: one uninterrupted fall from the 2:15 AM high at 2.05 ft all the way to -0.22 ft at 5:53 PM, moving hard right through sunrise. Lures are perfectly workable in that wind, and it grades EITHER because the throat is clean enough for plastics while the bay side is stained enough that live shrimp still shines. Storm chance jumps to 53 percent by mid-morning - that alone keeps it off the top shelf.
Speckled trout tactic
Start dark with a bone Super Spook Jr walked over the sandbars on the beach side while the fall is ripping. When the sun gets on it, drop to a 1/8 oz jighead with a Down South Super Model in Chicken on a Chain and swim it slow along the first drop-off. Overcast and 53 percent storms means low light most of the morning - keep the topwater tied on longer than you normally would. If the bay side looks off-color, switch to plum/chartreuse for the extra contrast.
Live bait tactic
Live shrimp under a popping cork, 18 to 24 inches of leader, drifted along the deeper edge of the sandbar as the tide pulls out. With water at 87.6 F, switch to a live croaker on a 1/4 oz slip sinker and free-line it into the deeper guts once the sun is up - it will out-fish everything else by mid-morning. Fish from the bank side of the bar. Do not wade toward the channel on a fall this long.
Water clarity read
The 48-hour SE mean of 6.1 kt has built sandy green through the pass, but the overnight swing to SW and then N will put a little color back on the bay side. Gulf side stays the cleaner water all morning.
Reds & flounder
Reds will be sitting on the bar tips ambushing bait as the water drains off the flats - a gold spoon or a cut mullet chunk on a fish-finder rig both work. Flounder are starting to stage in the guts and drains for the fall run, so drag a 1/4 oz jighead slow on the bottom near the drains.
MONDAY
September 7 · Day 2 of 7
PERFECT DAY87/100
Best window7:00 - 11:00 AM
Sandy Greengreen in the pass, light stain along the back sloughs
Lure89·Bait84
Either
Nothing separates them today (lure 89, bait 84) - fish whichever you enjoy more.
Cork or free-line, no problem
Tide (ft) & Wind (kt) by hour2.17 ft · strong · peak 0.14 ft/hr
Wind dir
↑ S
↑ S
↗ SW
↗ SW
→ W
↗ SW
↑ S
↖ SE
↖ SE
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
Wind kt
9
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
9
9
9
9
Tide ft
1.5
1.9
2.0
1.8
1.6
1.5
1.4
1.0
0.3
-0.1
-0.1
0.4
primegoodfairslow
Hourly tide and fishing score for Monday, September 7
Hour
Tide (ft)
Score
Fishable
12 AM
1.53
59
No
1 AM
1.8
49
No
2 AM
1.95
40
No
3 AM
1.99
37
No
4 AM
1.97
41
No
5 AM
1.91
44
No
6 AM
1.81
62
No
7 AM
1.7
61
No
8 AM
1.6
57
No
9 AM
1.54
59
Yes
10 AM
1.51
59
Yes
11 AM
1.49
62
Yes
12 PM
1.41
62
No
1 PM
1.24
70
No
2 PM
0.96
75
No
3 PM
0.63
74
No
4 PM
0.31
80
Yes
5 PM
0.06
73
Yes
6 PM
-0.11
58
No
7 PM
-0.18
67
Yes
8 PM
-0.13
79
Yes
9 PM
0.05
74
Yes
10 PM
0.36
72
Yes
11 PM
0.76
72
Yes
Clarity81
Tide100
Wind100
Solunar64
Tide
High 3:08 AM (1.99) -> Low 7:07 PM (-0.18)
Range
2.17 ft · strong · peak 0.14 ft/hr
Wind
SW 4-9 kt48-hr mean SE 6.1 kt · no shift
Pressure
29.92 inHg, rising
Sky
Mostly Clear · 89°F · 20% rain
Moon
Waning Crescent 15%
Sun
7:02 AM → 7:36 PM
Best lure windows · score /100
9:22 AM - 11:22 AM80Major - moon overhead
4:58 PM - 5:58 PM82Minor - moonset, on max tidal flow
7:07 PM - 9:37 PM90First of the incoming off the 7:07 PM low
9:47 PM - 11:47 PM40Major - moon underfoot, on max tidal flow
Why this rating
Measured SE history plus light SW forecast at 4 kt keeps the water in shape - a 5 mph SW does not muddy anything. Tide is a full 16-hour fall from the 3:08 AM high at 1.99 ft to -0.18 ft at 7:07 PM, so you have moving water at sunrise and no slack all day. Storm chance drops to 20 percent, wind never breaks 9 kt, and lure control is easy in that. EITHER is the right call - clean enough to see a plastic, hot enough that bait keeps working when the bite backs off.
Speckled trout tactic
Chrome/black MirrOlure She Dog worked hard across the bar edge at 7:02 sunrise, and keep at it through the major at 9:22. When they quit blowing up, go to a 1/4 oz jighead and a Bass Assassin Sea Shad in Opening Night along the windward edge of the drop. Water clean enough that translucent beats loud - if the pattern dies, a Lil John in Texas Roach on 1/8 oz fished dead slow on the deeper side will keep you honest.
Live bait tactic
Free-lined finger mullet in the current seam off the bar tip early, then live croaker on a Carolina rig in 6 to 8 feet once the water warms past comfortable. Popping cork with live shrimp works the whole fall for numbers. Fish it from the bar, not from the channel side.
Water clarity read
Sustained southerly flow at single digits keeps clean water pushing through the throat. The back sloughs on the bay side hold a little stain from the overnight SW, but the pass proper is fishable green.
Reds & flounder
Slot reds will run the same current seams as the trout - free-lined mullet or a 1/4 oz weedless gold spoon. Flounder on the falling water at the drain mouths late in the day, dragged with a 3/8 oz jighead and a Gulp-free plastic tail on the bottom.
TUESDAY
September 8 · Day 3 of 7
PERFECT DAY92/100
Best window4:30 - 7:30 PM
Sandy / Salty Greensandy green throat, clean water working up the gut
Lure94·Bait88
Either
Nothing separates them today (lure 94, bait 88) - fish whichever you enjoy more.
Cork or free-line, no problem
Tide (ft) & Wind (kt) by hour1.93 ft · strong · peak 0.2 ft/hr
Wind dir
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
Wind kt
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
9
9
9
9
9
Tide ft
1.2
1.7
1.9
1.7
1.6
1.5
1.6
1.4
0.8
0.2
-0.1
0.2
primegoodfairslow
Hourly tide and fishing score for Tuesday, September 8
Hour
Tide (ft)
Score
Fishable
12 AM
1.16
71
No
1 AM
1.51
59
No
2 AM
1.74
47
No
3 AM
1.85
38
No
4 AM
1.87
40
No
5 AM
1.83
44
No
6 AM
1.74
62
No
7 AM
1.64
62
No
8 AM
1.55
58
No
9 AM
1.49
49
No
10 AM
1.49
65
Yes
11 AM
1.53
62
Yes
12 PM
1.55
64
Yes
1 PM
1.51
62
No
2 PM
1.35
72
No
3 PM
1.09
78
No
4 PM
0.77
80
No
5 PM
0.46
88
Yes
6 PM
0.2
83
Yes
7 PM
0.01
60
No
8 PM
-0.06
68
Yes
9 PM
-0.02
65
Yes
10 PM
0.17
77
Yes
11 PM
0.47
66
No
Clarity91
Tide100
Wind100
Solunar78
Tide
High 3:45 AM (1.87) -> Low 9:30 AM (1.48) -> High 11:59 AM (1.55) -> Low 8:09 PM (-0.06)
Range
1.93 ft · strong · peak 0.2 ft/hr
Wind
S ~4 kt -> **SE 9 kt** late48-hr mean SE 6.1 kt · no shift
Pressure
29.92 inHg, rising
Sky
Mostly Clear · 86°F · 34% rain
Moon
Waning Crescent 8%
Sun
7:03 AM → 7:34 PM
Best lure windows · score /100
10:18 AM - 12:18 PM102Major - moon overhead, on max tidal flow
5:39 PM - 6:39 PM97Minor - moonset, on max tidal flow
8:09 PM - 10:39 PM90First of the incoming off the 8:09 PM low
10:43 PM - 12:43 AM40Major - moon underfoot, on max tidal flow
Why this rating
Best water of the week. Three days of SE at 4 to 9 kt has the pass cleaned up and the forecast holds SE all day with nothing above 9 kt. Morning tide is weak - only 0.39 ft of fall from 3:45 AM to 9:30 AM - but the afternoon makes up for it: 1.55 ft at 11:59 AM dropping to -0.06 ft at 8:09 PM, a hard eight-hour pull with the major running 10:18 AM to 12:18 PM right into it. Clean water and dead-calm wind is a lure setup, so it moves to LURE EDGE, but croaker stays deadly in 86 degree water.
Speckled trout tactic
Skip the dead morning and fish the back half of the fall. MirrOdine XL twitched over the bar shoulder as the water pulls, then a 1/8 oz jighead with a Lil John in Texas Roach or a Down South Super Model in morning glory swum with the current. Clean water calls for natural and translucent - do not go loud. Last hour before sunset at 7:34, put a bone Super Spook Jr back on and walk it across the shallow bar for the biggest fish of the day.
Live bait tactic
Live croaker on a 1/4 oz Carolina rig bounced along the drop is the heavy-fish play in 86 degree water. Popping cork with a live shrimp over the reef edge for numbers through the evening. Stay on the bar and let the current bring the fish to you - the fall runs hard here from noon on.
Water clarity read
Sustained SE at a measured 6.1 kt over 48 hours has pushed salty green well up into the pass. Bay side is close behind - the difference between Gulf and bay water is the smallest it will be all week.
Reds & flounder
Reds will be stacked on the bar tips in the last two hours of the fall. Gold spoon or free-lined mullet. Flounder pick up hard on this kind of long evening drain - work the gut mouths with a 3/8 oz jighead and slow drags.
WEDNESDAY
September 9 · Day 4 of 7
PERFECT DAY91/100
Best window4:00 - 7:30 PM
Clear Greenclear green from the beachfront through the throat
Lure94·Bait87
Either
Nothing separates them today (lure 94, bait 87) - fish whichever you enjoy more.
Cork or free-line, no problem
Tide (ft) & Wind (kt) by hour1.59 ft · strong · peak 0.19 ft/hr
Wind dir
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
Wind kt
9
4
4
4
4
4
4
9
9
9
9
9
Tide ft
0.8
1.5
1.7
1.6
1.4
1.4
1.5
1.6
1.2
0.6
0.2
0.2
primegoodfairslow
Hourly tide and fishing score for Wednesday, September 9
Hour
Tide (ft)
Score
Fishable
12 AM
0.84
71
No
1 AM
1.2
63
No
2 AM
1.48
52
No
3 AM
1.66
41
No
4 AM
1.71
48
Yes
5 AM
1.69
53
Yes
6 AM
1.6
71
Yes
7 AM
1.5
61
No
8 AM
1.4
58
No
9 AM
1.35
49
No
10 AM
1.35
55
No
11 AM
1.41
67
Yes
12 PM
1.51
64
Yes
1 PM
1.58
58
Yes
2 PM
1.57
68
Yes
3 PM
1.45
78
Yes
4 PM
1.22
77
No
5 PM
0.92
77
No
6 PM
0.62
89
Yes
7 PM
0.37
81
Yes
8 PM
0.2
58
No
9 PM
0.13
41
No
10 PM
0.19
53
No
11 PM
0.37
53
No
Clarity95
Tide99
Wind100
Solunar75
Tide
High 4:07 AM (1.72) -> Low 9:28 AM (1.34) -> High 1:25 PM (1.59) -> Low 9:02 PM (0.13)
Range
1.59 ft · strong · peak 0.19 ft/hr
Wind
SE 4-9 kt48-hr mean SE 6.1 kt · no shift
Pressure
29.92 inHg, rising
Sky
Partly Cloudy · 85°F · 62% rain
Moon
Waning Crescent 3%
Sun
7:03 AM → 7:33 PM
Best lure windows · score /100
4:07 AM - 6:37 AM82First of the outgoing off the 4:07 AM high
11:09 AM - 1:09 PM92Major - moon overhead, on max tidal flow
1:25 PM - 3:55 PM82First of the outgoing off the 1:25 PM high
6:15 PM - 7:15 PM97Minor - moonset, on max tidal flow
Why this rating
Cleanest water on the board. SE all day at 4 to 9 kt, riding on top of a measured 48-hour SE mean, means the pass is green front to back. High 1.72 ft at 4:07 AM, slack-ish through the 9:28 AM low at 1.34 ft, then a 1.59 ft high at 1:25 PM falling to 0.13 ft at 9:02 PM - a strong seven and a half hour drop with the major overlapping the turn. LURE EDGE with clarity this good and wind this light. The catch is 62 percent storm chance from 8 AM to noon, so plan the afternoon and watch the radar.
Speckled trout tactic
Clear water and light wind means long casts and small profiles. Down South Super Model in Texas Roach or morning glory on a 1/8 oz jighead, fished on 15 lb braid with a 20 lb fluorocarbon leader, swum just off the bottom on the drop-off. Work the windward edge as the fall builds. From 6:30 PM to sunset at 7:33, a bone Super Spook Jr over the shallow bar. If they short-strike the walker, a MirrOdine XL on a slow twitch-pause cleans them up.
Live bait tactic
Live shrimp under a rattling cork over the shell and reef edges on the afternoon fall. In water this warm, a live croaker free-lined or on a light Carolina rig into the deeper gut is the better big-trout bait. Popping cork on the bay side, free-line in the moving current on the Gulf side.
Water clarity read
Four straight days of southeast wind under 10 kt has the beachfront and the throat running clear green. Bay side is a shade off but still very fishable - this is as good as this pass gets in September.
Reds & flounder
Reds cruising the clear shallows in the evening - sight-cast a gold spoon and lead them well ahead, they spook easy in this water. Flounder are moving on the September drains; slow-drag the gut mouths on the last of the fall.
THURSDAY
September 10 · Day 5 of 7
WORTH A TRIP87/100
Best window5:00 - 7:45 PM
Sandy / Salty Greensalty green in the pass, softer color on the bay side
Lure90·Bait83
Either
Nothing separates them today (lure 90, bait 83) - fish whichever you enjoy more.
Cork or free-line, no problem
Tide (ft) & Wind (kt) by hour1.23 ft · strong · peak 0.17 ft/hr
Wind dir
↖ SE
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
Wind kt
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
9
9
9
9
9
Tide ft
0.6
1.3
1.6
1.4
1.2
1.1
1.3
1.6
1.5
1.1
0.6
0.4
primegoodfairslow
Hourly tide and fishing score for Thursday, September 10
Hour
Tide (ft)
Score
Fishable
12 AM
0.64
71
No
1 AM
0.96
68
No
2 AM
1.25
59
No
3 AM
1.45
46
No
4 AM
1.55
47
Yes
5 AM
1.53
55
Yes
6 AM
1.44
75
Yes
7 AM
1.32
64
No
8 AM
1.21
60
No
9 AM
1.14
49
No
10 AM
1.13
56
No
11 AM
1.2
71
Yes
12 PM
1.32
74
Yes
1 PM
1.47
70
Yes
2 PM
1.58
49
No
3 PM
1.62
55
No
4 PM
1.53
70
No
5 PM
1.34
78
No
6 PM
1.07
95
Yes
7 PM
0.8
90
Yes
8 PM
0.57
68
No
9 PM
0.43
40
No
10 PM
0.39
43
No
11 PM
0.46
43
No
Clarity91
Tide88
Wind100
Solunar75
Tide
High 4:21 AM (1.55) -> Low 9:36 AM (1.13) -> High 2:48 PM (1.62) -> Low 9:52 PM (0.39)
Range
1.23 ft · strong · peak 0.17 ft/hr
Wind
SE ~4 kt -> **S 9 kt** late48-hr mean SE 6.1 kt · no shift
Pressure
29.92 inHg, rising
Sky
Partly Cloudy · 86°F · 32% rain
Moon
New Moon 0%
Sun
7:04 AM → 7:32 PM
Best lure windows · score /100
4:21 AM - 6:51 AM82First of the outgoing off the 4:21 AM high
11:58 AM - 1:58 PM92Major - moon overhead, on max tidal flow
6:47 PM - 7:47 PM97Minor - moonset, on max tidal flow
11:33 PM - 1:33 AM40Major - moon underfoot, on max tidal flow
Why this rating
Water quality holds - S and SE at 4 to 9 kt all day, no direction change worth worrying about. What softens this day is the tide: the 4:21 AM high is only 1.55 ft and the morning fall to 1.13 ft at 9:36 AM is barely a foot and a half of range across the whole day, down to 0.39 ft at 9:52 PM. Less push through the throat means the fish spread out. Lures are workable all day in this wind, but the reduced flow keeps it a good trip rather than a great one. EITHER stands.
Speckled trout tactic
With less current, go heavier and cover water: 1/4 to 3/8 oz jighead with a Bass Assassin Sea Shad in plum/chartreuse, hopped along the deeper side of the drop until you find a group. Once you get bit, slow down and work that spot. Last 45 minutes before sunset at 7:32, switch to a bone Super Spook Jr or a chrome/black She Dog on the bar top. A Lil John in Opening Night on 1/8 oz is the finesse answer if the bite goes soft.
Live bait tactic
Slow tide means a popping cork earns its keep - live shrimp 24 inches under a cork, pop it hard and let it sit. Live croaker on a Carolina rig in the deeper holes for the better fish, water still running mid-80s. Fish from the bar side and stay well off the channel.
Water clarity read
The persistent southerly flow keeps salty green in the pass, though the light overnight SW puts a shade more color on the bay side than Wednesday had. Gulf side stays the clean water.
Reds & flounder
Reds are the better bet than trout on a weak tide - work the shorelines and bar tips with cut mullet on a fish-finder rig. Flounder on the evening drain at the gut mouths, slow drag with a 3/8 oz jighead.
FRIDAY
September 11 · Day 6 of 7
WORTH A TRIP82/100
Best window5:30 - 8:00 PM
Sandy Greensandy green, slight sw haze on the back side
Lure84·Bait79
Either
Nothing separates them today (lure 84, bait 79) - fish whichever you enjoy more.
Cork or free-line, no problem
Tide (ft) & Wind (kt) by hour0.97 ft · moderate · peak 0.15 ft/hr
Wind dir
↑ S
↑ S
↗ SW
↗ SW
↗ SW
↗ SW
↑ S
↑ SSE
↑ SSE
↑ SSE
↑ SSE
↑ S
Wind kt
4
4
4
4
4
4
7
10
10
9
8
7
Tide ft
0.6
1.1
1.4
1.3
1.0
0.9
1.1
1.4
1.6
1.4
1.0
0.7
primegoodfairslow
Hourly tide and fishing score for Friday, September 11
Hour
Tide (ft)
Score
Fishable
12 AM
0.61
69
Yes
1 AM
0.84
72
Yes
2 AM
1.08
66
Yes
3 AM
1.29
53
No
4 AM
1.4
36
No
5 AM
1.41
49
No
6 AM
1.31
73
No
7 AM
1.17
85
Yes
8 AM
1.02
79
Yes
9 AM
0.92
53
No
10 AM
0.89
55
No
11 AM
0.94
63
No
12 PM
1.06
82
Yes
1 PM
1.23
85
Yes
2 PM
1.42
80
Yes
3 PM
1.58
56
No
4 PM
1.65
56
No
5 PM
1.6
72
No
6 PM
1.44
85
No
7 PM
1.21
98
Yes
8 PM
0.98
90
Yes
9 PM
0.8
50
No
10 PM
0.7
38
No
11 PM
0.68
38
No
Clarity81
Tide76
Wind100
Solunar80
Tide
High 4:32 AM (1.42) -> Low 9:54 AM (0.89) -> High 4:06 PM (1.65) -> Low 10:45 PM (0.68)
Range
0.97 ft · moderate · peak 0.15 ft/hr
Wind
SW 4-10 kt48-hr mean SE 6.1 kt · no shift
Pressure
29.92 inHg, rising
Sky
Partly Cloudy · 92°F
Moon
New Moon 0%
Sun
7:04 AM → 7:31 PM
Best lure windows · score /100
12:19 AM - 2:19 AM40Major - moon underfoot, on max tidal flow
7:01 AM - 8:01 AM97Minor - moonrise, on max tidal flow
12:44 PM - 2:44 PM92Major - moon overhead, on max tidal flow
7:18 PM - 8:18 PM97Minor - moonset, on max tidal flow
Why this rating
Weakest tide of the week - 1.42 ft at 4:32 AM down to only 0.89 ft at 9:54 AM, then a rebuild to 1.65 ft at 4:06 PM and a fall to 0.68 ft at 10:45 PM. Light SW through the morning at 4 kt does not hurt the water, but it does not help it either, and afternoon temps hit 92 with water in the upper 80s. Wind stays under 10 kt so lures are workable, and the majors line up well at 12:44 to 2:44 PM. Fishable and worth going, just not the week's standout. EITHER holds.
Speckled trout tactic
Fish the last of the evening fall after the 4:06 PM high. 1/4 oz jighead with a Down South Super Model in Chicken on a Chain worked along the current seam where the water finally starts to move. Sandy green wants a little more contrast than earlier in the week - plum/chartreuse is the backup. From the minor at 7:18 PM to dark, a bone Super Spook Jr on the bar top. With a weak fall, hunt the spots where the bar pinches the flow.
Live bait tactic
Popping cork with live shrimp is the play on a slow tide - the noise does the work the current will not. Live piggy perch or a small croaker free-lined near the bar tips for the better trout as the light goes. Water is still hot, so keep the bait lively and change it often.
Water clarity read
The forecast SW through the morning at 4 kt is too light to blow this system out, but it stalls the clean-up. Expect sandy green through the throat and a touch more haze on the bay side than the last two days.
Reds & flounder
Reds will be the more reliable catch on this tide. Cut mullet on a fish-finder rig on the beach side, or a gold spoon along the flats. Flounder at the drains on the last of the evening drop.
SATURDAY
September 12 · Day 7 of 7
WORTH A TRIP85/100
Best window6:00 - 8:30 PM
Sandy / Salty Greensalty green in the throat, sandy on the surf side
Lure88·Bait80
Either
Nothing separates them today (lure 88, bait 80) - fish whichever you enjoy more.
Cork or free-line, no problem
Tide (ft) & Wind (kt) by hour1.01 ft · moderate · peak 0.15 ft/hr
Wind dir
↑ S
↑ S
↑ SSW
↑ S
↑ S
↑ SSE
↖ SE
↖ SE
← ESE
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
Wind kt
7
6
5
5
6
7
7
8
10
10
9
7
Tide ft
0.7
1.0
1.3
1.2
0.9
0.7
0.8
1.1
1.6
1.6
1.3
1.0
primegoodfairslow
Hourly tide and fishing score for Saturday, September 12
Hour
Tide (ft)
Score
Fishable
12 AM
0.73
53
No
1 AM
0.85
61
Yes
2 AM
1.01
62
Yes
3 AM
1.18
54
Yes
4 AM
1.3
39
No
5 AM
1.32
49
No
6 AM
1.23
76
No
7 AM
1.07
79
No
8 AM
0.89
85
Yes
9 AM
0.75
71
Yes
10 AM
0.68
50
No
11 AM
0.7
59
No
12 PM
0.78
70
No
1 PM
0.94
89
Yes
2 PM
1.15
92
Yes
3 PM
1.38
87
Yes
4 PM
1.58
63
No
5 PM
1.68
45
No
6 PM
1.65
65
No
7 PM
1.52
92
Yes
8 PM
1.33
91
Yes
9 PM
1.15
55
No
10 PM
1.03
46
No
11 PM
0.96
46
No
Clarity91
Tide78
Wind100
Solunar80
Tide
High 4:42 AM (1.32) -> Low 10:20 AM (0.68) -> High 5:17 PM (1.69) -> Low 11:53 PM (0.94)
Range
1.01 ft · moderate · peak 0.15 ft/hr
Wind
S ~7 kt -> **SE 10 kt** late48-hr mean SE 6.1 kt · no shift
Pressure
29.92 inHg, rising
Sky
Cloudy · 91°F
Moon
Waxing Crescent 3%
Sun
7:05 AM → 7:30 PM
Best lure windows · score /100
1:04 AM - 3:04 AM40Major - moon underfoot, on max tidal flow
8:02 AM - 9:02 AM97Minor - moonrise, on max tidal flow
1:29 PM - 3:29 PM92Major - moon overhead, on max tidal flow
7:49 PM - 8:49 PM97Minor - moonset, on max tidal flow
Why this rating
A week of unbroken southerly wind - measured SE mean over 48 hours and S at 5 to 10 kt in the forecast - has the water salty green and the pass clean. Tide is still modest: 1.32 ft at 4:42 AM to 0.68 ft at 10:20 AM, then a build to 1.69 ft at 5:17 PM and a fall into the night. The morning fall is workable and the evening turn is better. Clarity and calm push it to LURE EDGE, but it is a Saturday - expect company on every bar.
Speckled trout tactic
Evening is the window - fish the turn off the 5:17 PM high into the fall. Lil John in Texas Roach or a Down South Super Model in morning glory on a 1/8 oz jighead, swum with the outgoing current along the drop. Clean water, so keep it natural. Sunset at 7:30 is prime topwater - bone Super Spook Jr walked across the shallow bar for the last hour of light. If the crowd is thick, run the beachfront bars instead of the throat. A MirrOdine XL covers water between groups.
Live bait tactic
Live croaker free-lined into the current seam at the bar tip on the evening fall - water in the mid-80s still favors it heavily. Live shrimp under a popping cork over the reef edges for numbers. Fish from the bar and stay off the channel side; Saturday crowds push people into water they should not be in.
Water clarity read
Sustained south and southeast wind under 10 kt keeps salty green pushed into the throat. The surf side runs a touch sandier with the ESE at 10 kt in the afternoon, but both sides are fishable.
Reds & flounder
Morning fall from first light to 10:20 AM is the redfish window - gold spoon or cut mullet on the flats and bar tips. Flounder on the evening drain at the gut mouths, slow-dragging a 3/8 oz jighead.
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Pick your spots and your days — Friday, Saturday, Sunday, or all three. One mail, no app.
The NWS hourly forecast reaches about 6.5 days, which stops short of the end of this window. Wind, temperature and sky for Friday and Saturday come from Open-Meteo alone, with no second model to check them against. Treat the last of the week as a trend, not a plan.
Wind is cross-checked against two independent models: the NWS gridpoint forecast for this spot, and Open-Meteo running gfs_seamless at 28.9401, -95.31561. Across the overlapping mornings the two agree to within 0.6 kt on average (worst 1.2 kt). Where they diverge, treat that day's wind as less certain.
Water clarity is inferred from measured 48-hour buoy wind history and forecast wind vectors. It is not visually confirmed - local webcams are video streams and cannot be read automatically. Check a cam before you load the truck.