Galveston, Galveston Channel tide station · Sits in the Galveston Channel just inside Bolivar Roads, so Gulf water arrives on the incoming but is already mixed with ship-channel traffic and bay outflow.
The 48-hour setup
Last 48 hours have been light and out of the south southwest - Mean48 sits at 195 degrees SSW at 3.0 kt, Mean24 at 203 degrees SSW at 4.4 kt, and the latest read off 42035 is due S 180 degrees at 3.9 kt gusting 5.8. Pressure is flat and high at 1013.2 hPa at the buoy, 1012.0 at GTOT2, which is fair-weather stable and no help or hurt. SSW is the direction that leans on the bay side and can stain it, but at 3 to 5 kt it does not have the muscle to blow anything out - the only real punch was a 21.4 kt gust in the last 48 and that was a thunderstorm, not a sustained blow. Water temp is 89.6 F at the coastal station, which is bathwater and matters more than the wind this week.
Buoy 42035: 48-hour vector-mean wind SSW (195 deg) at 3 kt; 24-hour mean SSW at 4.4 kt. Peak gust in the last 48 hours: 21.4 kt.
GTOT2 latest: S at 6 kt, gusting 9.9 kt. Pressure 1012 hPa. Water temp 89.6 F.
The bottom line
Wednesday, September 9 is the day - be standing in the water at first light and fish the fall off the 4:50 AM high, 6:30 to 9:30 AM. Thursday is nearly its equal with a longer, softer fall and a 5:07 AM high. Every day this week is fishable at dawn, but the bite dies hard by 10 AM in 89 degree water, so nobody should be planning an afternoon trip with a rod in their hand.
Sandy Greensandy green in the throat, off-colour on the bay side
Lure74·Bait84
Either
Nothing separates them today (lure 74, bait 84) - fish whichever you enjoy more.
Cork or free-line, no problem
Tide (ft) & Wind (kt) by hour1.63 ft · strong · peak 0.2 ft/hr
Wind dir
↑ S
↑ S
↗ SW
→ W
↘ NW
↘ NW
← E
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
Wind kt
9
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
9
9
9
9
Tide ft
0.7
1.4
1.7
1.7
1.6
1.6
1.7
1.6
1.3
0.6
0.1
0.1
primegoodfairslow
Hourly tide and fishing score for Tuesday, September 8
Hour
Tide (ft)
Score
Fishable
12 AM
0.74
71
No
1 AM
1.08
66
No
2 AM
1.38
57
No
3 AM
1.59
45
No
4 AM
1.68
36
No
5 AM
1.69
39
No
6 AM
1.66
55
No
7 AM
1.63
54
No
8 AM
1.61
63
Yes
9 AM
1.6
61
Yes
10 AM
1.62
65
Yes
11 AM
1.65
63
Yes
12 PM
1.69
60
Yes
1 PM
1.7
51
No
2 PM
1.65
60
No
3 PM
1.51
72
No
4 PM
1.26
82
No
5 PM
0.93
95
Yes
6 PM
0.6
93
Yes
7 PM
0.32
71
No
8 PM
0.14
59
No
9 PM
0.07
41
No
10 PM
0.12
53
No
11 PM
0.29
53
No
Clarity50
Tide93
Wind100
Solunar78
Tide
High 4:35 AM (1.69) -> Low 8:46 AM (1.6) -> High 12:45 PM (1.7) -> Low 9:05 PM (0.07)
Range
1.63 ft · strong · peak 0.2 ft/hr
Wind
S ~4 kt -> **SE 9 kt** late48-hr mean SSW 3 kt · no shift
Pressure
29.92 inHg, falling
Sky
Partly Cloudy · 91°F · 25% rain
Moon
Waning Crescent 8%
Sun
7:00 AM → 7:33 PM
Best lure windows · score /100
8:46 AM - 11:16 AM90First of the incoming off the 8:46 AM low
10:15 AM - 12:15 PM102Major - moon overhead, on max tidal flow
5:38 PM - 6:38 PM97Minor - moonset, on max tidal flow
10:40 PM - 12:40 AM40Major - moon underfoot, on max tidal flow
Why this rating
Two days of light SSW at 3-4 kt has not blown anything out, but it has not pushed clean Gulf water in either, so the pass is middling and the bay side is soft. Tide is the reason to go - strong movement off the 4:35 AM high with the fall into the 8:46 AM low landing right on sunrise at 7:00 AM. Wind is nothing, 4-9 kt swinging W then NW mid-morning, so lures are fully workable even if the water is not pretty; that light-air, average-clarity mix is why this scores as either lures or bait rather than one clearly beating the other. The 1.6 ft low is a shallow fall, so the movement is real but not violent.
Speckled trout tactic
Start dark and get right at first light: a bone or chrome/black Super Spook Jr walked over the bar edges while the water is still falling, and give it eight or ten casts in one spot before moving. When they quit blowing up, switch to a 1/4 oz jighead with a Down South Super Model in Chicken on a Chain or plum/chartreuse, cast up-current and let it swing along the drop. Sandy green wants some flash but not neon - Texas Roach is the safe middle. Off the topwater by 9:00.
Live bait tactic
Live shrimp under a popping cork, 18 to 24 inches of 20 lb leader, drifted along the outside of the second bar on the falling tide. If the trout go quiet after 9:00, switch to a free-lined finger mullet on a 2/0 kahle down the deeper edge - no weight, let the current carry it.
Water clarity read
Light SSW at 3.0 kt over 48 hours has left the throat sandy green where the Gulf pushes in but the West Bay side of the pass stays off-colour with no onshore wind to clean it. Expect a visible colour change line along the sandbar edge - fish it.
Reds & flounder
Reds will stack on the last of that fall to the 9:05 PM 0.07 ft low along the sand pockets on the bay side. Flounder are worth a shot on a 3/8 oz jighead dragged slow on the sand-to-mud transitions.
WEDNESDAY
September 9 · Day 2 of 7
PERFECT DAY89/100
Best window6:30 - 9:30 AM
Sandy / Salty Greensalty green through the throat, sandy green on the bay side
Lure91·Bait87
Either
Nothing separates them today (lure 91, bait 87) - fish whichever you enjoy more.
Cork or free-line, no problem
Tide (ft) & Wind (kt) by hour1.43 ft · strong · peak 0.19 ft/hr
Wind dir
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
↙ NE
← E
← E
← E
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
Wind kt
9
4
4
4
4
4
4
9
9
9
9
9
Tide ft
0.5
1.2
1.6
1.6
1.4
1.4
1.5
1.7
1.6
1.0
0.5
0.3
primegoodfairslow
Hourly tide and fishing score for Wednesday, September 9
Hour
Tide (ft)
Score
Fishable
12 AM
0.54
70
No
1 AM
0.85
70
No
2 AM
1.16
64
No
3 AM
1.42
53
No
4 AM
1.57
49
Yes
5 AM
1.61
50
Yes
6 AM
1.56
69
Yes
7 AM
1.49
68
Yes
8 AM
1.43
55
No
9 AM
1.41
50
No
10 AM
1.42
54
No
11 AM
1.47
66
Yes
12 PM
1.54
67
Yes
1 PM
1.63
64
Yes
2 PM
1.68
56
Yes
3 PM
1.68
68
Yes
4 PM
1.57
83
Yes
5 PM
1.34
83
No
6 PM
1.03
99
Yes
7 PM
0.72
93
Yes
8 PM
0.46
69
No
9 PM
0.31
41
No
10 PM
0.26
43
No
11 PM
0.32
43
No
Clarity83
Tide100
Wind100
Solunar75
Tide
High 4:50 AM (1.61) -> Low 9:13 AM (1.41) -> High 2:26 PM (1.69) -> Low 9:55 PM (0.26)
Range
1.43 ft · strong · peak 0.19 ft/hr
Wind
SE 4-9 kt48-hr mean SSW 3 kt · no shift
Pressure
29.92 inHg, falling
Sky
Mostly Clear · 90°F · 69% rain
Moon
Waning Crescent 3%
Sun
7:01 AM → 7:31 PM
Best lure windows · score /100
4:50 AM - 7:20 AM82First of the outgoing off the 4:50 AM high
11:07 AM - 1:07 PM92Major - moon overhead, on max tidal flow
2:26 PM - 4:56 PM82First of the outgoing off the 2:26 PM high
6:13 PM - 7:13 PM97Minor - moonset, on max tidal flow
Why this rating
The wind finally comes SE at 4-9 kt and that is the direction that builds green water at this pass - it is only one night of it, but it stacks on top of the best tide of the week. The 4:50 AM high dumps into a 9:13 AM low then climbs all the way to 2:26 PM, so you get uninterrupted movement through the whole low-light stretch. Wind under 10 kt means full lure control and topwater is on the table; the water is clean enough for artificials and calm enough that bait is not needed, which is why it grades either way. Storms are the one wrinkle - 53 to 69 percent through the morning, so watch the radar and get off the sand when it lights up.
Speckled trout tactic
This is the morning to throw a topwater and mean it. Bone Super Spook Jr or a MirrOlure She Dog in chrome/black across the bar tops right at 7:01 sunrise, walked slow with long pauses on the falling water. Back it up with a MirrOdine XL in a natural mullet pattern for the ones that swirl and miss. Once the sun is up, go 1/8 oz jighead with a Bass Assassin Sea Shad in Opening Night or a Lil John in morning glory - clean water means translucent and natural, not loud.
Live bait tactic
Live croaker on a 3/0 kahle, free-lined or with a single split shot, pitched to the deeper cuts along the bar edge - in 89 degree water croaker is the big-trout bait and it will out-fish plastic once the sun gets high. Live shrimp under a cork works the first two hours if you cannot get croaker.
Water clarity read
Overnight SE flow at 5-10 kt is pushing Gulf water in, so the throat and the Gulf-side bars should be the cleanest they have been all week. The bay side lags but is only a shade behind - a light stain rather than mud.
Reds & flounder
Slot reds should be running the guts on that morning fall - a gold spoon or a Sea Shad in Texas Roach gets bit. Flounder are moving on the drain edges; slow-drag a 1/4 oz jighead where the sand meets the shell.
THURSDAY
September 10 · Day 3 of 7
PERFECT DAY85/100
Best window6:15 - 9:45 AM
Sandy / Salty Greenclean sandy green throughout, best water of the week
Lure87·Bait83
Either
Nothing separates them today (lure 87, bait 83) - fish whichever you enjoy more.
Cork or free-line, no problem
Tide (ft) & Wind (kt) by hour1.18 ft · strong · peak 0.17 ft/hr
Wind dir
↖ SE
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↖ SE
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
Wind kt
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
Tide ft
0.5
1.0
1.5
1.5
1.3
1.2
1.3
1.5
1.7
1.4
0.8
0.5
primegoodfairslow
Hourly tide and fishing score for Thursday, September 10
Hour
Tide (ft)
Score
Fishable
12 AM
0.49
66
No
1 AM
0.73
70
No
2 AM
1
69
No
3 AM
1.27
60
No
4 AM
1.46
46
No
5 AM
1.54
54
Yes
6 AM
1.5
79
Yes
7 AM
1.39
79
Yes
8 AM
1.28
61
No
9 AM
1.2
51
No
10 AM
1.18
52
No
11 AM
1.21
68
Yes
12 PM
1.29
73
Yes
1 PM
1.41
74
Yes
2 PM
1.54
59
No
3 PM
1.64
60
Yes
4 PM
1.68
68
Yes
5 PM
1.6
83
Yes
6 PM
1.4
99
Yes
7 PM
1.12
99
Yes
8 PM
0.84
78
No
9 PM
0.64
50
No
10 PM
0.52
37
No
11 PM
0.51
37
No
Clarity80
Tide90
Wind100
Solunar75
Tide
High 5:07 AM (1.54) -> Low 9:55 AM (1.18) -> High 3:51 PM (1.68) -> Low 10:40 PM (0.5)
Range
1.18 ft · strong · peak 0.17 ft/hr
Wind
SE ~4 kt -> **S 4 kt** late48-hr mean SSW 3 kt · no shift
Pressure
29.92 inHg, falling
Sky
Partly Cloudy · 90°F · 46% rain
Moon
New Moon 0%
Sun
7:01 AM → 7:30 PM
Best lure windows · score /100
5:07 AM - 7:37 AM100First of the outgoing off the 5:07 AM high
11:55 AM - 1:55 PM92Major - moon overhead, on max tidal flow
3:51 PM - 6:21 PM82First of the outgoing off the 3:51 PM high
6:45 PM - 7:45 PM97Minor - moonset, on max tidal flow
Why this rating
Second night of onshore SE flow then S all day at a dead-flat 4 kt - the water should hold that clean push and the pass will lay down slick. The 5:07 AM high falls all the way to a 9:55 AM 1.18 ft low, a long uninterrupted morning drain that carries right through sunrise at 7:01. Four knots of wind is as good as lure conditions get here, so artificials are absolutely workable; bait scores just as well only because the water is 89 degrees and croaker starts to matter late. Rain chance sits 37 to 46 percent most of the day, so plan around it.
Speckled trout tactic
Slick calm and clean water means downsize and go quiet. Bone Super Spook Jr at grey light, but the moment the surface bite fades drop to a 1/8 oz jighead with a Down South Super Model in Texas Roach or a Lil John in morning glory and fish it with a slow lift-and-fall along the bar drop. Long casts and light leader - 20 lb fluoro - because they will see everything in this water. A MirrOdine XL twitched over the deeper edge is the sleeper.
Live bait tactic
Live croaker on a 3/0 kahle, free-lined into the deeper cuts and along the drop, is the play from 9:00 on - the water is 89 degrees and the trout go deep and sulky by mid-morning, and croaker will beat plastic badly in that stretch. Live shrimp under a cork over the shallow bar for the first light hour.
Water clarity read
Two straight days of SE and S under 10 kt with no north or west component means Gulf water has had time to seat itself in the pass. Bay side and Gulf side should look close to the same for once.
Reds & flounder
Reds on the flat behind the bar during the long fall, and this is a good flounder morning - the slow drain pulls bait off the shallows onto the drop edges. Drag a 1/4 oz head with a Sea Shad.
FRIDAY
September 11 · Day 4 of 7
WORTH A TRIP80/100
Best window6:30 - 10:00 AM
Sandy Greensandy green in the throat, stained on the bay side
Lure81·Bait78
Either
Nothing separates them today (lure 81, bait 78) - fish whichever you enjoy more.
Cork or free-line, no problem
Tide (ft) & Wind (kt) by hour0.88 ft · moderate · peak 0.14 ft/hr
Wind dir
↑ S
↑ S
↗ SW
↗ SW
↗ SW
↗ SW
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
Wind kt
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
9
9
9
9
9
Tide ft
0.6
0.9
1.4
1.5
1.2
1.0
1.0
1.3
1.6
1.6
1.2
0.8
primegoodfairslow
Hourly tide and fishing score for Friday, September 11
Hour
Tide (ft)
Score
Fishable
12 AM
0.58
59
No
1 AM
0.74
67
No
2 AM
0.95
70
No
3 AM
1.18
65
No
4 AM
1.38
52
No
5 AM
1.49
50
Yes
6 AM
1.48
83
Yes
7 AM
1.35
90
Yes
8 AM
1.18
74
No
9 AM
1.04
61
No
10 AM
0.96
50
No
11 AM
0.95
54
No
12 PM
1
75
Yes
1 PM
1.12
81
Yes
2 PM
1.28
83
Yes
3 PM
1.45
68
No
4 PM
1.6
59
No
5 PM
1.66
56
No
6 PM
1.61
78
No
7 PM
1.44
99
Yes
8 PM
1.21
97
Yes
9 PM
0.99
58
No
10 PM
0.85
45
No
11 PM
0.78
45
No
Clarity71
Tide76
Wind100
Solunar80
Tide
High 5:24 AM (1.5) -> Low 10:40 AM (0.94) -> High 5:07 PM (1.66) -> Low 11:21 PM (0.78)
Range
0.88 ft · moderate · peak 0.14 ft/hr
Wind
SW 4-9 kt48-hr mean SSW 3 kt · no shift
Pressure
29.92 inHg, falling
Sky
Partly Cloudy · 90°F · 43% rain
Moon
New Moon 0%
Sun
7:02 AM → 7:29 PM
Best lure windows · score /100
5:24 AM - 7:54 AM100First of the outgoing off the 5:24 AM high
6:59 AM - 7:59 AM97Minor - moonrise, on max tidal flow
12:41 PM - 2:41 PM92Major - moon overhead, on max tidal flow
7:16 PM - 8:16 PM97Minor - moonset, on max tidal flow
Why this rating
Wind backs SW at 4-9 kt for the morning, which is the direction that starts putting bay water back into the pass, so expect a step down in colour from Thursday. Tide is the weaker part - the 5:24 AM high falls to a 10:40 AM 0.94 ft low, a decent slide but slower and later than earlier in the week. Wind stays under 10 kt so lures still work fine, and both methods grade even; you are just fishing slightly dirtier water on a slightly softer tide. Storm chance runs 39 to 43 percent through the morning.
Speckled trout tactic
Go a shade louder with the stain coming back. Chrome/black Super Spook Jr at first light, then a 1/4 oz jighead with a Down South Super Model in plum/chartreuse or Chicken on a Chain - dark topside with a bright tail is what you want when visibility drops. Work the colour change where the clean throat water meets the stained bay water; that seam is the whole game on a day like this. Slow the retrieve down and keep it near bottom after 9:00.
Live bait tactic
Live shrimp under a rattling popping cork on the bay side where the water is off-colour - the rattle and the scent do the work the plastic cannot. Croaker free-lined on a 3/0 kahle in the deeper throat water once the sun is high and the trout drop off the bars.
Water clarity read
Morning SW flow works against the clean push and puts a stain back on the West Bay side of the pass. The throat and the Gulf-side bars hold sandy green because the tide is still bringing water in through the afternoon.
Reds & flounder
Stained bay-side water is redfish water - a live mullet under a cork or a gold spoon along the shoreline pockets. Flounder should be on the drain mouths as the tide bottoms out near 10:40 AM.
SATURDAY
September 12 · Day 5 of 7
WORTH A TRIP78/100
Best window6:30 - 10:00 AM
Sandy Greensandy green in the throat, light stain west of the bridge
Lure78·Bait78
Either
Nothing separates them today (lure 78, bait 78) - fish whichever you enjoy more.
Cork or free-line, no problem
Tide (ft) & Wind (kt) by hour0.92 ft · moderate · peak 0.13 ft/hr
Wind dir
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↗ SW
↗ SW
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
Wind kt
9
9
9
9
4
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
Tide ft
0.8
1.0
1.3
1.5
1.2
0.8
0.7
1.0
1.4
1.6
1.5
1.2
primegoodfairslow
Hourly tide and fishing score for Saturday, September 12
Hour
Tide (ft)
Score
Fishable
12 AM
0.79
49
No
1 AM
0.87
58
No
2 AM
1
63
No
3 AM
1.17
63
No
4 AM
1.33
55
No
5 AM
1.45
52
Yes
6 AM
1.47
82
Yes
7 AM
1.36
97
Yes
8 AM
1.17
100
Yes
9 AM
0.96
87
Yes
10 AM
0.81
61
No
11 AM
0.73
47
No
12 PM
0.74
60
No
1 PM
0.82
82
Yes
2 PM
0.97
90
Yes
3 PM
1.16
92
Yes
4 PM
1.37
78
No
5 PM
1.55
64
No
6 PM
1.64
69
Yes
7 PM
1.62
87
Yes
8 PM
1.49
94
Yes
9 PM
1.32
61
No
10 PM
1.16
50
No
11 PM
1.08
50
No
Clarity76
Tide77
Wind82
Solunar80
Tide
High 5:39 AM (1.47) -> Low 11:26 AM (0.73) -> High 6:18 PM (1.65)
Range
0.92 ft · moderate · peak 0.13 ft/hr
Wind
S 4-9 kt48-hr mean SSW 3 kt · no shift
Pressure
29.92 inHg, falling
Sky
Partly Cloudy · 91°F · 36% rain
Moon
Waxing Crescent 3%
Sun
7:03 AM → 7:28 PM
Best lure windows · score /100
5:39 AM - 8:09 AM100First of the outgoing off the 5:39 AM high
8:00 AM - 9:00 AM97Minor - moonrise, on max tidal flow
1:27 PM - 3:27 PM92Major - moon overhead, on max tidal flow
6:18 PM - 8:48 PM100First of the outgoing off the 6:18 PM high
Why this rating
S and SW at 9 kt most of the day - onshore enough to hold the water together but with a SW lean early that keeps the bay side dirty. The 5:39 AM high falls to a 11:26 AM 0.73 ft low, which is a long slow drain rather than a hard one, so you get all-morning movement without much punch. Nine knots is easy soft-plastic drifting weather so lures are workable and the two methods stay even. Saturday crowds will be on the sand, so get there early.
Speckled trout tactic
Nine knots is drifting wind - work the windward edge of the bar with a 1/4 oz jighead and a Bass Assassin Sea Shad in Opening Night, letting the wind push the drift and keeping the line tight enough to feel the tick. Bone Super Spook Jr for the first thirty minutes of light before the breeze puts a chop on. If the surface stays slick in a lull, a MirrOlure She Dog will pull a bigger fish off the bar top.
Live bait tactic
Live shrimp under a popping cork is made for this - 9 kt of wind gives you a natural drift along the bar edge and the cork does the popping for you. Keep it 24 inches under and drift the outside line. Free-lined croaker in the deeper water once the sun is up.
Water clarity read
Steady S at 9 kt keeps Gulf water working in, but the early SW at 9 kt puts a light stain on the West Bay side. The throat holds the better colour all day.
Reds & flounder
Reds will be working the windward bar edge with the drift - same jighead, Texas Roach. Flounder on the sand-to-shell edges as the water bottoms out late morning.
SUNDAY
September 13 · Day 6 of 7
PERFECT DAY83/100
Best window6:30 - 10:00 AM
Sandy / Salty Greensalty green in the throat, sandy green on the bay side
Lure85·Bait81
Either
Nothing separates them today (lure 85, bait 81) - fish whichever you enjoy more.
Cork or free-line, no problem
Tide (ft) & Wind (kt) by hour1.09 ft · strong · peak 0.15 ft/hr
Wind dir
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
Wind kt
9
9
4
4
4
4
4
9
9
9
9
9
Tide ft
1.1
1.1
1.4
1.5
1.2
0.8
0.6
0.7
1.1
1.5
1.6
1.4
primegoodfairslow
Hourly tide and fishing score for Sunday, September 13
Hour
Tide (ft)
Score
Fishable
12 AM
1.05
39
No
1 AM
1.08
46
No
2 AM
1.14
50
No
3 AM
1.24
52
No
4 AM
1.35
49
No
5 AM
1.44
52
Yes
6 AM
1.47
76
Yes
7 AM
1.39
91
Yes
8 AM
1.22
100
Yes
9 AM
0.98
94
Yes
10 AM
0.76
70
No
11 AM
0.61
55
No
12 PM
0.55
50
No
1 PM
0.58
62
No
2 PM
0.68
84
Yes
3 PM
0.86
91
Yes
4 PM
1.09
95
Yes
5 PM
1.32
77
No
6 PM
1.52
69
No
7 PM
1.63
65
Yes
8 PM
1.63
78
Yes
9 PM
1.55
65
Yes
10 PM
1.43
61
Yes
11 PM
1.35
48
No
Clarity80
Tide84
Wind100
Solunar75
Tide
Low 12:00 AM (1.05) -> High 5:49 AM (1.47) -> Low 12:12 PM (0.55) -> High 7:31 PM (1.64)
Range
1.09 ft · strong · peak 0.15 ft/hr
Wind
S ~4 kt -> **SE 9 kt** late48-hr mean SSW 3 kt · no shift
Pressure
29.92 inHg, falling
Sky
Partly Cloudy · 90°F · 32% rain
Moon
Waxing Crescent 8%
Sun
7:03 AM → 7:27 PM
Best lure windows · score /100
5:49 AM - 8:19 AM100First of the outgoing off the 5:49 AM high
8:59 AM - 9:59 AM97Minor - moonrise, on max tidal flow
2:12 PM - 4:12 PM92Major - moon overhead, on max tidal flow
7:31 PM - 10:01 PM100First of the outgoing off the 7:31 PM high
Why this rating
S at 4-9 kt turning SE by mid-morning with no west component all day - that is the clean-water direction and the water should be back to its best. The 5:49 AM high starts a long fall that runs all the way to a 12:12 PM 0.55 ft low, uninterrupted movement through the entire fishable morning, and 0.9 ft of drop is real current over the bars. Wind under 10 kt means full lure control from first light; both methods grade close because the heat, not the conditions, is the limiter. Rain chance 31 percent, background summer stuff.
Speckled trout tactic
Long fall and clean water - start with a bone Super Spook Jr walked over the bar tops at 7:03 sunrise, then transition to a 1/8 to 1/4 oz jighead with a Down South Super Model in Texas Roach or a Lil John in morning glory as the sun climbs. Fish the current seams where the drain water pushes off the bar into the deeper cut; that is where they sit on a long slow fall. Natural and translucent, not loud - they can see it all in this water.
Live bait tactic
Free-lined live croaker on a 3/0 kahle down the deeper edge is the mid-morning bait once the water hits 89 and the trout sulk on the bottom. Live shrimp under a cork on the shallow bar for the first two hours while they are still up.
Water clarity read
No west or north component in the wind for two days running and a steady S to SE beam means Gulf water sits well up into the pass. Bay side is a shade greener than it has been but still lags the throat.
Reds & flounder
That long drain pulls bait out of the back and reds will set up at the drain mouths - live mullet under a cork or a gold spoon. Good flounder tide too as the water empties toward noon.
MONDAY
September 14 · Day 7 of 7
WORTH A TRIP77/100
Best window6:30 - 10:00 AM
Sandy Greensandy green throughout, chop stirring the shallow bar tops
Lure74·Bait79
Either
Nothing separates them today (lure 74, bait 79) - fish whichever you enjoy more.
Drift it, a little extra weight
Tide (ft) & Wind (kt) by hour1.23 ft · strong · peak 0.16 ft/hr
Wind dir
↑ S
↑ S
↑ SSE
↑ SSE
↑ SSE
↑ SSE
↑ SSE
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
Wind kt
9
9
14
13
11
8
8
8
9
10
11
13
Tide ft
1.3
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.3
0.8
0.5
0.5
0.8
1.3
1.6
1.6
primegoodfairslow
Hourly tide and fishing score for Monday, September 14
Hour
Tide (ft)
Score
Fishable
12 AM
1.31
36
No
1 AM
1.3
38
No
2 AM
1.32
43
Yes
3 AM
1.36
44
Yes
4 AM
1.42
36
Yes
5 AM
1.47
43
Yes
6 AM
1.48
66
Yes
7 AM
1.42
78
Yes
8 AM
1.28
89
Yes
9 AM
1.06
93
Yes
10 AM
0.81
87
Yes
11 AM
0.6
64
No
12 PM
0.47
52
No
1 PM
0.42
52
No
2 PM
0.47
75
Yes
3 PM
0.6
86
Yes
4 PM
0.8
94
Yes
5 PM
1.05
83
No
6 PM
1.29
80
No
7 PM
1.5
62
No
8 PM
1.62
49
No
9 PM
1.65
34
No
10 PM
1.61
37
No
11 PM
1.55
37
No
Clarity75
Tide91
Wind62
Solunar71
Tide
Low 12:40 AM (1.3) -> High 5:44 AM (1.48) -> Low 12:59 PM (0.42) -> High 8:51 PM (1.65)
Range
1.23 ft · strong · peak 0.16 ft/hr
Wind
S ~13 kt -> **SSE 14 kt** late48-hr mean SSW 3 kt · no shift
Pressure
29.92 inHg, falling
Sky
Partly Cloudy · 85°F
Moon
Waxing Crescent 14%
Sun
7:04 AM → 7:25 PM
Best lure windows · score /100
2:33 AM - 4:33 AM40Major - moon underfoot, on max tidal flow
5:44 AM - 8:14 AM100First of the outgoing off the 5:44 AM high
9:59 AM - 10:59 AM82Minor - moonrise, on max tidal flow
2:58 PM - 4:58 PM92Major - moon overhead, on max tidal flow
Why this rating
Wind builds SSE to 14 kt overnight and holds 11 to 13 kt through daylight before easing - onshore, so the water quality holds, but that is the windiest morning of the stretch and it puts real chop and line sag on you. Tide is strong: the 5:44 AM high runs down to a 12:59 PM 0.42 ft low, over an inch of drop per hour all morning. Fourteen knots is still workable soft-plastic drifting weather so lures are on, but bait tolerates the belly in the line better and that is why the two grade close with a slight edge to bait. Skip the topwater unless there is a lull.
Speckled trout tactic
Go heavier to beat the wind - 3/8 oz jighead with a Down South Super Model in Chicken on a Chain or plum/chartreuse, fished on a tight line with the rod tip low so the chop does not put a belly in it. Drift the windward edge and let the wind do the work. A MirrOdine XL casts well into this breeze and stays in the strike zone. Keep the topwater in the box unless it lays down.
Live bait tactic
This is the day the popping cork earns its keep - live shrimp 24 inches under a rattling cork, drifted along the windward bar edge, and the chop keeps it working on its own. Free-lined croaker in the deeper cut for the bigger fish once the sun is up.
Water clarity read
Sustained SSE keeps Gulf water coming so the colour holds, but 13 to 14 kt of wind puts enough chop on the shallow bars to stir sand into the top of the water column. Deeper edges stay cleaner than the flats.
Reds & flounder
Reds like the wind-driven chop on the bar edges - same 3/8 oz jighead and a dark plastic. Flounder are a long shot in this much water movement; fish the leeward drain mouths if you want one.
Have this in your inbox at 7 PM
Pick your spots and your days — Friday, Saturday, Sunday, or all three. One mail, no app.
The NWS hourly forecast reaches about 6.5 days, which stops short of the end of this window. Wind, temperature and sky for Monday come from Open-Meteo alone, with no second model to check them against. Treat the last of the week as a trend, not a plan.
Wind is cross-checked against two independent models: the NWS gridpoint forecast for this spot, and Open-Meteo running gfs_seamless at 29.300776, -94.78618. Across the overlapping mornings the two agree to within 4.2 kt on average (worst 7.2 kt). Where they diverge, treat that day's wind as less certain.
Water clarity is inferred from measured 48-hour buoy wind history and forecast wind vectors. It is not visually confirmed - local webcams are video streams and cannot be read automatically. Check a cam before you load the truck.