Texas City, Galveston Bay tide station · Well up inside Galveston Bay. Clean Gulf water rarely reaches here, so clarity is mostly about whether wind is stirring the shallow bay rather than which direction it blows from.
The 48-hour setup
The last 48 hours at buoy 42035 have averaged SSW at 195 degrees, 3.0 kt vector and 5.2 kt scalar, with the last 24 sitting SSW at 203 degrees and 4.5 kt. Latest reading is S at 190 degrees, 3.9 kt gusting 5.8, pressure flat at 1013.1 hPa, and the coastal station at Galveston is SSE 150 at 6.0 kt with water at 91 degrees. The direction is the right half of the compass - there is no north or hard west anywhere in the record, so nothing has been blown out - but 3 to 5 kt of SSW does not stack Gulf water into the pass either. Max gust in 48 hours was 21.4 kt and that was a passing cell, not a pattern. Call it sandy green and holding, not a green-water push.
Buoy 42035: 48-hour vector-mean wind SSW (195 deg) at 3 kt; 24-hour mean SSW at 4.5 kt. Peak gust in the last 48 hours: 21.4 kt.
GRRT2 latest: SSE at 6 kt, gusting 8.9 kt. Pressure 1012.2 hPa. Water temp 91 F.
The bottom line
Tuesday is the day. Fish the fall from 5:30 to 8:00 PM working the Gulf-side bars as the water drops off the 1:34 PM high at 1.4 ft toward 0.15 ft, with the moonset minor at 5:38 PM sitting right in the middle of it. If the weekend is your only shot, Sunday and Monday mornings both give you a long uninterrupted fall starting at daylight.
Sandy Greensandy green in the throat, a shade stained on the bay side
Lure86·Bait81
Either
Nothing separates them today (lure 86, bait 81) - fish whichever you enjoy more.
Cork or free-line, no problem
Tide (ft) & Wind (kt) by hour1.25 ft · strong · peak 0.13 ft/hr
Wind dir
↑ S
↗ SW
·
·
·
·
← E
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
Wind kt
4
4
0
0
0
0
4
4
4
4
4
4
Tide ft
0.2
0.5
0.8
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.3
1.4
1.2
0.9
0.5
0.2
primegoodfairslow
Hourly tide and fishing score for Tuesday, September 8
Hour
Tide (ft)
Score
Fishable
12 AM
0.16
65
No
1 AM
0.32
67
No
2 AM
0.49
66
No
3 AM
0.66
64
No
4 AM
0.81
61
No
5 AM
0.95
58
No
6 AM
1.07
69
No
7 AM
1.16
64
No
8 AM
1.23
58
No
9 AM
1.26
51
No
10 AM
1.27
66
Yes
11 AM
1.3
67
Yes
12 PM
1.34
67
Yes
1 PM
1.39
56
Yes
2 PM
1.39
66
Yes
3 PM
1.34
75
Yes
4 PM
1.23
85
Yes
5 PM
1.08
92
Yes
6 PM
0.91
99
Yes
7 PM
0.72
87
No
8 PM
0.53
84
No
9 PM
0.35
60
No
10 PM
0.22
47
No
11 PM
0.16
47
No
Clarity81
Tide83
Wind100
Solunar78
Tide
High 1:34 PM (1.4) -> Low 11:11 PM (0.15)
Range
1.25 ft · strong · peak 0.13 ft/hr
Wind
S ~0 kt -> **SE 4 kt** late48-hr mean SSW 3 kt · no shift
Pressure
29.92 inHg, falling
Sky
Partly Cloudy · 93°F
Moon
Waning Crescent 8%
Sun
7:01 AM → 7:33 PM
Best lure windows · score /100
10:16 AM - 12:16 PM102Major - moon overhead, on max tidal flow
1:34 PM - 4:04 PM82First of the outgoing off the 1:34 PM high
5:38 PM - 6:38 PM97Minor - moonset, on max tidal flow
10:41 PM - 12:41 AM18Major - moon underfoot
Why this rating
Two days of SSW at 3 to 5 kt did not build green water, but with no north or west component in the record it did not ruin it either. The tide is why this rates out: one uninterrupted fall from the 1:34 PM high at 1.4 ft all the way down to 0.15 ft at 11:11 PM, the single strongest move on the whole board. Wind under 5 kt all day means topwater and light jigheads are completely workable, so it is EITHER on method - lures own the last three hours of light, live croaker owns the middle of the day when 91-degree water shoves trout into the deep guts.
Speckled trout tactic
Fish the fall. Walk a bone Super Spook Jr over the outside bars starting around 5:30, and switch to chrome/black once the sun is off the water. When they blow up short, follow with a 1/8 oz jighead and a Down South Super Model in Chicken on a Chain worked with the current, not against it. Sandy green calls for natural and translucent - Texas Roach or plum/chartreuse on a Lil John is the backup. Midday there is no artificial worth throwing but a 3/8 oz head bumped slow down the drop.
Live bait tactic
Live croaker on a 3/0 kahle, free-lined with one small split shot, drifted along the deep edge of the first bar. At 91 degrees croaker will outfish any plastic between 10 AM and 4 PM and it is not close. Live shrimp under a popping cork on the bay-side flats early and late. Stay on the bar, do not wade toward the channel on that evening fall - the current gets serious in a hurry.
Water clarity read
Light SSW at 3 to 5 kt for two days has kept the water settled without flushing it, so expect sandy green with a couple feet of visibility on the Gulf side. The bay side behind the bars will run a shade dirtier and warmer.
Reds & flounder
Reds will be nosing the guts on the last of the fall - a gold spoon or a mullet chunk on a fish-finder rig at the mouth of a drain. Flounder are stacking on the down-current side of the sandbars, so a 1/4 oz jighead crawled slow will pick up a couple.
WEDNESDAY
September 9 · Day 2 of 7
WORTH A TRIP81/100
Best window6:00 - 8:30 PM
Sandy / Salty Greensalty green through the throat, off-color where runoff drains
Lure84·Bait77
Either
Nothing separates them today (lure 84, bait 77) - fish whichever you enjoy more.
Cork or free-line, no problem
Tide (ft) & Wind (kt) by hour1.01 ft · moderate · peak 0.11 ft/hr
Wind dir
↖ SE
·
·
·
·
↙ NE
← E
← E
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
Wind kt
4
0
0
0
0
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
Tide ft
0.2
0.5
0.7
1.0
1.1
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.3
1.1
0.8
0.4
primegoodfairslow
Hourly tide and fishing score for Wednesday, September 9
Hour
Tide (ft)
Score
Fishable
12 AM
0.19
58
No
1 AM
0.3
65
No
2 AM
0.45
65
No
3 AM
0.6
63
No
4 AM
0.74
56
Yes
5 AM
0.86
52
Yes
6 AM
0.97
68
No
7 AM
1.05
61
No
8 AM
1.09
56
No
9 AM
1.11
49
No
10 AM
1.12
51
No
11 AM
1.13
66
Yes
12 PM
1.17
71
Yes
1 PM
1.24
70
Yes
2 PM
1.3
59
Yes
3 PM
1.32
62
Yes
4 PM
1.28
73
Yes
5 PM
1.2
80
Yes
6 PM
1.09
93
Yes
7 PM
0.95
99
Yes
8 PM
0.78
87
No
9 PM
0.6
66
No
10 PM
0.44
56
No
11 PM
0.34
56
No
Clarity86
Tide73
Wind100
Solunar75
Tide
High 2:50 PM (1.32) -> Low 11:51 PM (0.31)
Range
1.01 ft · moderate · peak 0.11 ft/hr
Wind
E 0-4 kt48-hr mean SSW 3 kt · no shift
Pressure
29.92 inHg, falling
Sky
Mostly Clear · 91°F · 67% rain
Moon
Waning Crescent 3%
Sun
7:01 AM → 7:32 PM
Best lure windows · score /100
4:53 AM - 5:53 AM12Minor - moonrise
11:08 AM - 1:08 PM92Major - moon overhead, on max tidal flow
2:50 PM - 5:20 PM82First of the outgoing off the 2:50 PM high
6:14 PM - 7:14 PM97Minor - moonset, on max tidal flow
Why this rating
Wind history is unchanged - light SSW to SE, nothing to dirty the water, so clarity is actually the best of the early week. Tide is a step weaker than Tuesday: high 2:50 PM at 1.32 ft falling to 0.31 ft at 11:51 PM, still a long single fall but with less range in it. The real problem is the sky, with storms likely at 62 to 67 percent from 8 AM through 7 PM. Lures are workable when the water is clean and the wind is nothing, so it stays EITHER - just be ready to lose hours to lightning.
Speckled trout tactic
Wait out the cells and fish the back end of the fall with the moonset minor at 6:14 PM. Clean water and dead-calm surface says finesse: a MirrOdine XL in a natural bone or olive pattern twitched over the bar edge, or a Bass Assassin Sea Shad on a 1/8 oz head in morning glory. If the surface is glass at dusk, a She Dog worked slow with long pauses over the second bar will draw the biggest fish of the day. Stay translucent - do not go dark in water this clean.
Live bait tactic
Live shrimp under a rattling popping cork set 24 to 30 inches, drifted along the bar edges on the outgoing. Croaker on a light Carolina rig for the deeper trout while the water is 90-plus. Get off the water when you hear thunder - this pass is no place to be caught out.
Water clarity read
Days of light southerly with no wind event has the pass sitting salty green on the Gulf side. Watch for storm runoff dirtying up the bay-side drains through the afternoon.
Reds & flounder
Slot reds will work the bay-side shorelines hard right after a rain cell drops the temperature. Flounder bite picks up on the last two hours of the fall along the sand-to-mud transitions.
THURSDAY
September 10 · Day 3 of 7
WORTH A TRIP67/100
Best window6:00 - 8:00 PM
Sandy / Salty Greensalty green outside, slower and stained behind the bars
Lure72·Bait60
Either
Nothing separates them today (lure 72, bait 60) - fish whichever you enjoy more.
Cork or free-line, no problem
Tide (ft) & Wind (kt) by hour0.26 ft · weak · peak 0.05 ft/hr
Wind dir
↖ SE
·
·
·
·
↑ S
↑ S
↖ SE
↖ SE
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
Wind kt
4
0
0
0
0
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
Tide ft
0.3
0.5
0.7
0.9
1.0
1.0
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.2
1.0
0.7
primegoodfairslow
Hourly tide and fishing score for Thursday, September 10
Hour
Tide (ft)
Score
Fishable
12 AM
0.31
48
No
1 AM
0.36
62
No
2 AM
0.48
66
No
3 AM
0.6
64
No
4 AM
0.72
61
No
5 AM
0.83
57
No
6 AM
0.92
66
No
7 AM
0.98
57
No
8 AM
1
67
Yes
9 AM
0.99
66
Yes
10 AM
0.97
64
Yes
11 AM
0.96
61
Yes
12 PM
0.97
70
Yes
1 PM
1.03
76
Yes
2 PM
1.11
63
No
3 PM
1.18
55
No
4 PM
1.22
59
Yes
5 PM
1.21
67
Yes
6 PM
1.17
83
Yes
7 PM
1.09
93
Yes
8 PM
0.97
87
No
9 PM
0.83
70
No
10 PM
0.68
63
No
11 PM
0.57
63
No
Clarity86
Tide32
Wind100
Solunar75
Tide
High 8:04 AM (1) -> Low 10:59 AM (0.96) -> High 4:23 PM (1.22)
Range
0.26 ft · weak · peak 0.05 ft/hr
Wind
SE ~4 kt -> **S 4 kt** late48-hr mean SSW 3 kt · no shift
Pressure
29.92 inHg, falling
Sky
Partly Cloudy · 89°F · 41% rain
Moon
New Moon 0%
Sun
7:02 AM → 7:31 PM
Best lure windows · score /100
8:04 AM - 10:34 AM100First of the outgoing off the 8:04 AM high
11:56 AM - 1:56 PM92Major - moon overhead, on max tidal flow
4:23 PM - 6:53 PM82First of the outgoing off the 4:23 PM high
6:46 PM - 7:46 PM97Minor - moonset, on max tidal flow
Why this rating
Clarity is fine and the wind is nothing - light S at 4 kt - but the tide is the weakest of the week by a mile. The 8:04 AM high at 1.0 ft only drops to 0.96 ft by 10:59 AM, which is not a fall, it is the water breathing. The one usable move is the rise into the 4:23 PM high at 1.22 ft and the fall that follows it. Lures are physically workable in calm clean water, so it stays EITHER, but with no current to position fish, bait scent is doing more of the work than a jig will.
Speckled trout tactic
Do not waste the middle of the day chasing dead water. Get on the outside bar for the fall off the 4:23 PM high with the moonset minor at 6:46 PM. Bone Spook Jr on top, and a Down South Super Model in Opening Night on a 1/8 oz head as the light goes. With current this weak, slow everything down and let the tail do the work on the drop - a 1/4 oz head fished on a long, lazy lift-and-fall will get bit when a fast retrieve will not.
Live bait tactic
This is the day live bait earns its money. Free-lined live croaker on a 2/0 to 3/0 kahle, tossed up-current and allowed to swim down the bar edge. If you want a cork, live shrimp under a popping cork on the bay-side guts on the afternoon rise. Do not cross a gut to reach the outside bar - there is not enough tide to read the water and it will fool you.
Water clarity read
Still no wind event to stir anything, so the Gulf side holds salty green. With almost no tidal exchange midday the bay side goes slack and stained, and it will stay that way until the afternoon rise.
Reds & flounder
Reds are the better target on a slack day - work a live mullet on the bottom near the pilings and the deeper drains. Flounder are worth a shot on the afternoon rise where the sand drops into the channel edge.
FRIDAY
September 11 · Day 4 of 7
WORTH A TRIP75/100
Best window6:30 - 9:30 AM
Sandy Greensandy green on the Gulf side, murkier where the SW pushes bay water out
Lure78·Bait70
Either
Nothing separates them today (lure 78, bait 70) - fish whichever you enjoy more.
Cork or free-line, no problem
Tide (ft) & Wind (kt) by hour0.65 ft · soft · peak 0.07 ft/hr
Wind dir
↑ S
↑ S
↗ SW
↗ SW
↗ SW
↗ SW
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
Wind kt
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
9
9
9
9
9
Tide ft
0.5
0.6
0.8
0.9
1.0
0.9
0.8
0.9
1.1
1.1
1.1
0.9
primegoodfairslow
Hourly tide and fishing score for Friday, September 11
Hour
Tide (ft)
Score
Fishable
12 AM
0.51
36
No
1 AM
0.51
56
No
2 AM
0.57
67
No
3 AM
0.67
68
No
4 AM
0.77
63
No
5 AM
0.86
57
No
6 AM
0.92
63
No
7 AM
0.96
67
Yes
8 AM
0.96
78
Yes
9 AM
0.91
79
Yes
10 AM
0.86
62
No
11 AM
0.82
51
No
12 PM
0.8
60
Yes
1 PM
0.82
72
Yes
2 PM
0.88
81
Yes
3 PM
0.97
73
No
4 PM
1.06
68
No
5 PM
1.12
58
No
6 PM
1.15
68
Yes
7 PM
1.14
82
Yes
8 PM
1.09
95
Yes
9 PM
0.99
71
No
10 PM
0.88
66
No
11 PM
0.79
66
No
Clarity81
Tide63
Wind100
Solunar64
Tide
Low 12:28 AM (0.5) -> High 7:23 AM (0.96) -> Low 11:57 AM (0.8) -> High 6:19 PM (1.15)
Range
0.65 ft · soft · peak 0.07 ft/hr
Wind
SW 4-9 kt48-hr mean SSW 3 kt · no shift
Pressure
29.92 inHg, falling
Sky
Partly Cloudy · 91°F · 42% rain
Moon
New Moon 0%
Sun
7:02 AM → 7:29 PM
Best lure windows · score /100
7:00 AM - 8:00 AM75Minor - moonrise
7:23 AM - 9:53 AM100First of the outgoing off the 7:23 AM high
12:42 PM - 2:42 PM70Major - moon overhead
6:19 PM - 8:49 PM100First of the outgoing off the 6:19 PM high
Why this rating
The forecast shows SW through the morning, but at 4 to 9 kt that is not the blowout direction, that is a breeze - it takes 18-plus out of the SW to turn this system to chocolate milk. Tide gives you four moves, and the one that counts is the 7:23 AM high at 0.96 ft turning over right at sunrise with the moonrise minor from 7:00 to 8:00 AM sitting on top of it. Wind stays under 10 kt so lure control is never in question, keeping it EITHER, though 91-degree water will shut the artificial bite down hard by mid-morning.
Speckled trout tactic
First light is the whole day. Start with a bone Super Spook Jr walked over the shallow bar tops while it is still gray, then move to a Bass Assassin Sea Shad or Down South in Chicken on a Chain on a 1/8 oz jighead once the sun clears the horizon. With the SW taking the edge off the clarity, lean slightly louder - a chartreuse tail or plum/chartreuse gets seen. By 9:30 go to 3/8 oz and hunt the deeper guts or go home.
Live bait tactic
Live croaker free-lined at the drop-off on the top of that 7:23 AM tide, and again on the afternoon rise into the 6:19 PM high. Live shrimp under a popping cork works the bay-side shoreline all morning. Croaker is the clear play once the sun is up and the water hits 90-plus.
Water clarity read
Light SW for the morning hours will nudge dirtier bay water toward the pass, but at 4 to 9 kt it only takes the polish off. Expect sandy green outside and a distinctly murkier line on the bay side of the bars.
Reds & flounder
Reds should be pushing the bar tops on that early high water - a live finger mullet on a light Carolina rig or a weedless gold spoon. Flounder set up on the afternoon rise where the sand tapers into the deeper cuts.
SATURDAY
September 12 · Day 5 of 7
WORTH A TRIP73/100
Best window6:45 - 9:30 AM
Sandy / Salty Greensalty green in the throat, sandier along the surf line
Lure77·Bait67
Either
Nothing separates them today (lure 77, bait 67) - fish whichever you enjoy more.
Cork or free-line, no problem
Tide (ft) & Wind (kt) by hour0.45 ft · soft · peak 0.07 ft/hr
Wind dir
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↗ SW
↗ SW
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
Wind kt
4
4
4
4
4
4
9
9
9
9
9
4
Tide ft
0.7
0.7
0.9
1.0
1.0
0.8
0.7
0.7
0.8
1.0
1.1
1.0
primegoodfairslow
Hourly tide and fishing score for Saturday, September 12
Hour
Tide (ft)
Score
Fishable
12 AM
0.73
44
No
1 AM
0.7
42
No
2 AM
0.72
56
No
3 AM
0.78
62
No
4 AM
0.86
60
No
5 AM
0.93
51
No
6 AM
0.98
70
Yes
7 AM
0.99
74
Yes
8 AM
0.97
88
Yes
9 AM
0.9
91
Yes
10 AM
0.81
75
No
11 AM
0.73
63
No
12 PM
0.68
52
No
1 PM
0.66
60
Yes
2 PM
0.68
75
Yes
3 PM
0.75
85
Yes
4 PM
0.84
83
No
5 PM
0.95
77
No
6 PM
1.04
70
No
7 PM
1.09
70
Yes
8 PM
1.11
74
Yes
9 PM
1.08
68
Yes
10 PM
1.02
68
Yes
11 PM
0.96
55
No
Clarity86
Tide56
Wind100
Solunar64
Tide
Low 1:05 AM (0.7) -> High 6:52 AM (0.99) -> Low 12:58 PM (0.66) -> High 7:50 PM (1.11)
Range
0.45 ft · soft · peak 0.07 ft/hr
Wind
S 4-9 kt48-hr mean SSW 3 kt · no shift
Pressure
29.92 inHg, falling
Sky
Partly Cloudy · 92°F · 33% rain
Moon
Waxing Crescent 3%
Sun
7:03 AM → 7:28 PM
Best lure windows · score /100
6:52 AM - 9:22 AM100First of the outgoing off the 6:52 AM high
8:00 AM - 9:00 AM75Minor - moonrise
1:27 PM - 3:27 PM70Major - moon overhead
7:50 PM - 10:20 PM100First of the outgoing off the 7:50 PM high
Why this rating
Wind is straight S at 4 to 9 kt, the friendly direction, and there has still been nothing in the record with enough speed to dirty the pass. Tide is moderate: high 6:52 AM at 0.99 ft falling steadily to 0.66 ft at 12:58 PM, which puts moving water under you right at sunrise - that is worth extra. Nine knots is prime soft-plastic drifting along the windward edges, so lures stay in play, EITHER on the call, but the artificial window closes fast when the water sits at 91 degrees.
Speckled trout tactic
Be standing on the bar at 6:45 with a topwater tied on - bone Spook Jr or a She Dog worked over the bar tops on the first of the fall. When it gets bright, drift the windward edge with a Down South Super Model on a 1/8 oz head, Texas Roach or morning glory for clean water. Let the S wind push your drift and keep the line tight through the swing; that fall is slow, so the bite is subtle. Bump up to 1/4 oz if you cannot feel bottom.
Live bait tactic
Live shrimp under a popping cork worked along the bar edge on that morning fall - the S wind drift makes the cork do the work for you. Once the sun is high, switch to live croaker on a 3/0 kahle down the drop-off for the bigger sulky trout. Fish the bar tops, not the channel side.
Water clarity read
Straight S at single digits keeps Gulf water leaning in without churning it, so the throat should show salty green with decent visibility. The bay side is a touch off-color but nothing that hurts a lure.
Reds & flounder
Reds will be on the outside of the bars chasing bait on the falling water - a live mullet under a cork or a chunk on the bottom. Flounder show up on the bottom of the tide near the 12:58 PM low along the sandy edges.
SUNDAY
September 13 · Day 6 of 7
WORTH A TRIP77/100
Best window6:45 - 10:00 AM
Sandy / Salty Greensalty green outside, cleaning up as the SE fills in
Lure81·Bait72
Either
Nothing separates them today (lure 81, bait 72) - fish whichever you enjoy more.
Cork or free-line, no problem
Tide (ft) & Wind (kt) by hour0.53 ft · soft · peak 0.07 ft/hr
Wind dir
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
Wind kt
4
4
4
4
4
4
9
9
9
9
9
4
Tide ft
0.9
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.0
0.8
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.9
1.0
1.1
primegoodfairslow
Hourly tide and fishing score for Sunday, September 13
Hour
Tide (ft)
Score
Fishable
12 AM
0.92
42
No
1 AM
0.9
37
No
2 AM
0.89
42
No
3 AM
0.92
50
No
4 AM
0.97
52
No
5 AM
1.02
47
No
6 AM
1.06
65
Yes
7 AM
1.06
78
Yes
8 AM
1.02
90
Yes
9 AM
0.93
93
Yes
10 AM
0.82
93
Yes
11 AM
0.7
70
No
12 PM
0.62
61
No
1 PM
0.57
52
No
2 PM
0.55
59
Yes
3 PM
0.56
74
Yes
4 PM
0.64
88
Yes
5 PM
0.75
83
No
6 PM
0.87
81
No
7 PM
0.98
71
No
8 PM
1.04
61
No
9 PM
1.08
36
No
10 PM
1.08
39
No
11 PM
1.06
39
No
Clarity86
Tide62
Wind100
Solunar75
Tide
Low 1:41 AM (0.89) -> High 6:29 AM (1.07) -> Low 2:04 PM (0.55) -> High 9:31 PM (1.08)
Range
0.53 ft · soft · peak 0.07 ft/hr
Wind
S ~4 kt -> **SE 9 kt** late48-hr mean SSW 3 kt · no shift
Pressure
29.92 inHg, falling
Sky
Partly Cloudy · 92°F · 33% rain
Moon
Waxing Crescent 8%
Sun
7:03 AM → 7:27 PM
Best lure windows · score /100
6:29 AM - 8:59 AM100First of the outgoing off the 6:29 AM high
9:00 AM - 10:00 AM97Minor - moonrise, on max tidal flow
2:04 PM - 4:34 PM72First of the incoming off the 2:04 PM low
2:12 PM - 4:12 PM70Major - moon overhead
Why this rating
SE finally fills in at 9 to 10 kt in the afternoon and that is the direction that pushes clean Gulf water into the pass - it will not have worked its magic in one day, but it starts. Tide is the best of the weekend: high 6:29 AM at 1.07 ft falling uninterrupted to 0.55 ft at 2:04 PM, seven and a half hours of one-way current starting at daylight. Ten knots is ideal soft-plastic weather along the windward edges, so lures are entirely workable and it stays EITHER, with bait taking the middle of the day on 91-degree water.
Speckled trout tactic
This is the morning to grind a long fall. Bone or chrome/black Super Spook Jr over the bar tops from daylight to about 8, then a Down South Super Model or Lil John on a 1/8 oz head in Chicken on a Chain drifted with the SE breeze down the windward edge. The moonrise minor from 9:00 to 10:00 AM lines up with the middle of that fall - stay put and work it. Go 1/4 to 3/8 oz once the current gets moving hard in the throat.
Live bait tactic
Live shrimp under a popping cork worked down the bar edge with the falling water, and live croaker free-lined on a 3/0 kahle along the drop once the sun is high. Long fall means real current - anchor the drift, keep your feet on the bar and do not follow that water toward the channel.
Water clarity read
Two days of light southerly with an SE lean has the Gulf side sitting salty green. The bay side stays a step behind and will not clean up until this SE has run a full day or two.
Reds & flounder
Reds will hold at the mouths of the drains as the water pulls out of the back marsh - live mullet or a gold spoon. Flounder pile up on the same drain mouths on the last two hours of the fall.
MONDAY
September 14 · Day 7 of 7
WORTH A TRIP77/100
Best window6:45 - 10:30 AM
Sandy Greensandy green with more stir in it along the surf line
Lure80·Bait72
Either
Nothing separates them today (lure 80, bait 72) - fish whichever you enjoy more.
Cork or free-line, no problem
Tide (ft) & Wind (kt) by hour0.7 ft · soft · peak 0.08 ft/hr
Wind dir
↑ S
↑ S
↑ SSE
↑ S
↑ S
↑ SSE
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
Wind kt
4
4
8
6
6
7
8
10
10
9
8
8
Tide ft
1.1
1.1
1.1
1.1
1.1
0.9
0.6
0.5
0.5
0.7
0.9
1.1
primegoodfairslow
Hourly tide and fishing score for Monday, September 14
Hour
Tide (ft)
Score
Fishable
12 AM
1.06
36
No
1 AM
1.06
36
No
2 AM
1.06
37
Yes
3 AM
1.06
42
Yes
4 AM
1.08
47
Yes
5 AM
1.12
45
No
6 AM
1.15
66
Yes
7 AM
1.15
79
Yes
8 AM
1.1
91
Yes
9 AM
1
91
Yes
10 AM
0.87
93
Yes
11 AM
0.74
76
No
12 PM
0.62
69
No
1 PM
0.54
61
No
2 PM
0.48
59
Yes
3 PM
0.46
60
Yes
4 PM
0.48
78
Yes
5 PM
0.57
82
No
6 PM
0.7
86
No
7 PM
0.83
80
No
8 PM
0.93
71
No
9 PM
1
49
No
10 PM
1.06
45
No
11 PM
1.09
45
No
Clarity80
Tide70
Wind100
Solunar64
Tide
Low 12:21 AM (1.06) -> High 6:27 AM (1.16) -> Low 3:04 PM (0.46)
Range
0.7 ft · soft · peak 0.08 ft/hr
Wind
S ~8 kt -> **SE 10 kt** late48-hr mean SSW 3 kt · no shift
Pressure
29.92 inHg, falling
Sky
Partly Cloudy · 91°F
Moon
Waxing Crescent 14%
Sun
7:04 AM → 7:26 PM
Best lure windows · score /100
2:33 AM - 4:33 AM40Major - moon underfoot, on max tidal flow
6:27 AM - 8:57 AM100First of the outgoing off the 6:27 AM high
9:59 AM - 10:59 AM82Minor - moonrise, on max tidal flow
2:58 PM - 4:58 PM70Major - moon overhead
Why this rating
SE at 6 to 10 kt all day, the water-building direction, but it puts more stir in the surf line so clarity is a shade behind the weekend. Tide is the strongest of the back half by a good margin: high 6:27 AM at 1.16 ft draining all the way to 0.46 ft at 3:04 PM, an eight and a half hour one-way fall that starts at sunrise. Ten knots of SE is good drifting wind, not a problem, so lures stay fully workable and it holds at EITHER - just expect the artificial bite to fade as the water warms toward 90 again.
Speckled trout tactic
Best falling tide of the week - fish it. Topwater at daylight, bone Spook Jr or a chrome/black She Dog over the bar tops, then swing to a Down South Super Model on a 1/8 to 1/4 oz head as the sun gets up. With sand in the water lean a touch louder: Opening Night or plum/chartreuse over anything translucent. The moonrise minor at 9:59 AM lands in the meat of the fall, so plan to still be on the bar at 10. Go 3/8 oz where the current rips through the throat.
Live bait tactic
Live croaker on a 3/0 kahle, free-lined and swum down the deep edge of the bar - with eight hours of outgoing pull, one small split shot is usually enough. Live shrimp under a popping cork works the bay-side edges early before the SE stands the chop up. That is a hard, long fall through the throat; fish the bar tops only and get out well before the water starts running you.
Water clarity read
Sustained SE at 8 to 10 kt is the direction that eventually builds green water here, but on day one it kicks sand into the surf line, so expect sandy green outside. The bay side behind the bars will actually be the calmer, more readable water early.
Reds & flounder
Reds will be stacked where the outgoing dumps over the bar - live mullet on a fish-finder rig or a gold spoon in the wash. Flounder should be excellent on the last of that fall along the sandy drop-offs.
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Pick your spots and your days — Friday, Saturday, Sunday, or all three. One mail, no app.
The NWS hourly forecast reaches about 6.5 days, which stops short of the end of this window. Wind, temperature and sky for Monday come from Open-Meteo alone, with no second model to check them against. Treat the last of the week as a trend, not a plan.
Wind is cross-checked against two independent models: the NWS gridpoint forecast for this spot, and Open-Meteo running gfs_seamless at 29.383762, -94.90577. Across the overlapping mornings the two agree to within 2 kt on average (worst 3.3 kt). Where they diverge, treat that day's wind as less certain.
Water clarity is inferred from measured 48-hour buoy wind history and forecast wind vectors. It is not visually confirmed - local webcams are video streams and cannot be read automatically. Check a cam before you load the truck.