SpeckCast

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Texas City Dike, TX

29.3906° N, 94.8849° W 85.8°F water Model-written

Texas City, Galveston Bay tide station · Well up inside Galveston Bay. Clean Gulf water rarely reaches here, so clarity is mostly about whether wind is stirring the shallow bay rather than which direction it blows from.

The 48-hour setup

Last 48 hours of wind is exactly what this pass wants. Buoy 42035 shows SSE 148 degrees at 7.3 kt over 48 hours, SE 128 degrees at 5.8 kt over the last 24, top gust only 17.5 kt, and it is ENE 60 degrees at 3.9 kt right now with the barometer flat at 1014.9 hPa. That is the direction that builds green water - a steady SE push stacks clean Gulf water on the beach and feeds it through the throat on the incoming, and at 6 to 8 kt it does it without stirring sand. Nothing out of the north or west has blown long enough to dirty the bay. Water temp is 85.8 F, the one bad number in the pile.

  • Buoy 42035: 48-hour vector-mean wind SSE (148 deg) at 7.3 kt; 24-hour mean SE at 5.8 kt. Peak gust in the last 48 hours: 17.5 kt.
  • GRRT2 latest: SE at 4.1 kt, gusting 6 kt. Pressure 1013.8 hPa. Water temp 85.8 F.

The bottom line

Saturday, September 5 is the day. Be in the water by 7:00 AM and fish through 10:30 - the major runs 7:18 to 9:18 AM, the 1.5 ft high tops at 8:30, and the fall kicks in right behind it. Sunday is nearly as good an hour later; after that the bite shifts to the evening fall and Thursday is not worth the gas.

Best day SATURDAY September 5 PERFECT DAY 90 7:00 - 10:30 AM

The week

0.01 ft – 1.49 ft · 7 days

Day by day

SATURDAY

September 5 · Day 1 of 7

PERFECT DAY 90/100

Best window 7:00 - 10:30 AM

Sandy Green sandy green in the throat, stained on the back-bay side

Lure 91 Bait 88

Either

Nothing separates them today (lure 91, bait 88) - fish whichever you enjoy more.

Cork or free-line, no problem

Tide (ft) & Wind (kt) by hour 1.49 ft · strong · peak 0.12 ft/hr
Hourly tide for Saturday, September 5 High 8:30 AM - 1.5 ft | Low 8:33 PM - 0.01 ft. 10 of 24 hours score as fishable. Best window 7:00 - 10:30 AM. H 1.5 8:30 AM L 0.01 8:33 PM 12a 6a 12p 6p
Wind dir

S

·

·

·

·

N

NE

E

SE

SE

SE

·
Wind kt
400004444440
Tide ft
0.60.91.21.41.51.51.31.00.60.20.00.1

prime good fair slow

Hourly tide and fishing score for Saturday, September 5
HourTide (ft)ScoreFishable
12 AM 0.59 64 No
1 AM 0.76 63 No
2 AM 0.93 59 No
3 AM 1.07 56 No
4 AM 1.2 53 No
5 AM 1.31 67 No
6 AM 1.4 62 No
7 AM 1.46 69 Yes
8 AM 1.49 61 Yes
9 AM 1.49 66 Yes
10 AM 1.47 69 Yes
11 AM 1.41 76 Yes
12 PM 1.3 70 No
1 PM 1.15 75 No
2 PM 0.97 80 No
3 PM 0.76 81 No
4 PM 0.55 80 No
5 PM 0.35 74 No
6 PM 0.2 70 No
7 PM 0.09 74 Yes
8 PM 0.02 64 Yes
9 PM 0.02 59 Yes
10 PM 0.09 52 Yes
11 PM 0.22 52 Yes
  • Clarity 80
  • Tide 100
  • Wind 100
  • Solunar 78
Tide
High 8:30 AM (1.5) -> Low 8:33 PM (0.01)
Range
1.49 ft · strong · peak 0.12 ft/hr
Wind
S ~4 kt -> **SE 4 kt** late48-hr mean SSE 7.3 kt · veering to SE
Pressure
29.97 inHg, steady
Sky
Partly Cloudy · 90°F · 53% rain
Moon
Waning Crescent 34%
Sun
6:59 AM → 7:37 PM

Best lure windows · score /100

  • 7:18 AM - 9:18 AM 95 Major - moon overhead
  • 8:30 AM - 11:00 AM 100 First of the outgoing off the 8:30 AM high
  • 7:43 PM - 9:43 PM 95 Major - moon underfoot
  • 8:33 PM - 11:03 PM 8 First of the incoming off the 8:33 PM low
Why this rating

Two days of SSE at 7.3 kt has pushed clean water into the pass and today's forecast wind never gets past 4 kt, so lure control is perfect. The tide is the best of the week: 1.5 ft high at 8:30 AM draining to 0.01 ft at 8:33 PM, one long uninterrupted fall with no slack in the middle of it. The major from 7:18 to 9:18 AM lands on sunrise and the tide turn together. Baseline calls it EITHER and that is right - the water is clean enough for plastics but 85.8 F means bait keeps producing after the sun gets up.

Speckled trout tactic

Slick calm and low light, so start on top but go small - bone Super Spook Jr or a chrome/black She Dog walked slow over the bar on the last of the incoming. Once the sun is up and the fall gets going, drop to a 1/8 oz jighead and a Down South Super Model in Chicken on a Chain or a Bass Assassin Sea Shad in Opening Night, working the sandy green edge where the current dumps off the bar. Natural and translucent - the water is clean enough that you do not need a loud colour.

Live bait tactic

Live shrimp under a popping cork drifted along the outside of the sandbar on the falling water, hooked through the horn on a 1/0 kahle. Once it warms past mid-morning, switch to a free-lined live croaker on 3/0 with just enough weight to bump bottom and set it on the up-current side of the drop. Fish from the sand - do not wade out toward the channel on this fall.

Water clarity read

Sustained SE flow at 5 to 8 kt has fed Gulf water in without churning the bottom, so the throat and the beachfront guts run sandy green. Back in the bay behind the sandbar it is still a shade off with the light N drift early.

Reds & flounder

Redfish will be working the beachfront guts on the drop with a gold spoon or a 1/4 oz jig on bottom. Flounder are starting to stage on the drains behind the bar - a mud minnow or finger mullet on a light Carolina rig dragged slow will find them.

SUNDAY

September 6 · Day 2 of 7

PERFECT DAY 88/100

Best window 8:00 - 11:30 AM

Sandy Green greenish along the beach, chalky where the bay drains out

Lure 89 Bait 87

Either

Nothing separates them today (lure 89, bait 87) - fish whichever you enjoy more.

Cork or free-line, no problem

Tide (ft) & Wind (kt) by hour 1.48 ft · strong · peak 0.12 ft/hr
Hourly tide for Sunday, September 6 High 9:43 AM - 1.48 ft | Low 9:36 PM - 0 ft. 10 of 24 hours score as fishable. Best window 8:00 - 11:30 AM. H 1.48 9:43 AM L 0 9:36 PM 12a 6a 12p 6p
Wind dir

·

·

·

·

·

NW

E

SE

S

S

S

S
Wind kt
000004444444
Tide ft
0.40.81.11.31.51.51.41.20.80.40.10.0

prime good fair slow

Hourly tide and fishing score for Sunday, September 6
HourTide (ft)ScoreFishable
12 AM 0.4 66 No
1 AM 0.58 65 No
2 AM 0.76 63 No
3 AM 0.93 60 No
4 AM 1.08 57 No
5 AM 1.21 54 No
6 AM 1.32 66 No
7 AM 1.41 60 No
8 AM 1.46 67 Yes
9 AM 1.48 61 Yes
10 AM 1.48 62 Yes
11 AM 1.47 62 Yes
12 PM 1.43 70 Yes
1 PM 1.34 69 No
2 PM 1.2 76 No
3 PM 1.02 80 No
4 PM 0.81 88 Yes
5 PM 0.6 85 Yes
6 PM 0.4 79 No
7 PM 0.23 73 No
8 PM 0.1 62 Yes
9 PM 0.02 34 Yes
10 PM 0.01 45 Yes
11 PM 0.09 49 No
  • Clarity 78
  • Tide 100
  • Wind 100
  • Solunar 73
Tide
High 9:43 AM (1.48) -> Low 9:36 PM (0)
Range
1.48 ft · strong · peak 0.12 ft/hr
Wind
NW ~4 kt -> **S 4 kt** late48-hr mean SSE 7.3 kt · veering to SE
Pressure
29.97 inHg, steady
Sky
Chance Rain Showers · 91°F · 53% rain
Moon
Waning Crescent 24%
Sun
7:00 AM → 7:35 PM

Best lure windows · score /100

  • 8:20 AM - 10:20 AM 95 Major - moon overhead
  • 9:43 AM - 12:13 PM 82 First of the outgoing off the 9:43 AM high
  • 4:10 PM - 5:10 PM 60 Minor - moonset
  • 8:45 PM - 10:45 PM 18 Major - moon underfoot
Why this rating

Same green water carried over from the SE fetch, and the light NW breath early is 5 kt - that does not blow this system out, it just puts a little chop line on the bay side. Tide is another full-day fall, 1.48 ft at 9:43 AM down to flat 0.0 ft at 9:36 PM, so current runs hard through the afternoon. Major 8:20 to 10:20 AM stacks on the high tide turn. EITHER stands - lures are entirely workable in 4 kt, but with 53 percent storm coverage and hot water, bait is the easier day.

Speckled trout tactic

Topwater window is short with the later high - a bone Spook Jr right at grey light, then get under them. Lil John in plum/chartreuse or a Sea Shad in Texas Roach on a 1/8 oz head, cast up-current and let it swing down the face of the bar. As the fall strengthens after 11 go to 1/4 oz to keep contact. Watch the radar and get off the water when it builds.

Live bait tactic

Live shrimp under a rattling cork on the bay-side shell as the water starts pulling out, then a live croaker free-lined on 3/0 on the deep edge once the sun is high. Finger mullet free-lined in the wash works too if the shrimp get picked apart by hardheads.

Water clarity read

The 24-hour mean is still SE 128 degrees at 5.8 kt, so the Gulf side holds its colour. That 5 kt NW puff mid-morning only touches the back side, where the outgoing pulls stained bay water into the throat as the fall builds.

Reds & flounder

Reds will slide onto the outside bar with the falling water - a Sea Shad in morning glory on 1/4 oz or a chunk of mullet on the bottom. Flounder on the drains as the tide empties, slow-dragged plastic or a live mud minnow.

MONDAY

September 7 · Day 3 of 7

PERFECT DAY 87/100

Best window 4:30 - 7:30 PM

Sandy / Salty Green salty green through the throat, light stain up the bayou side

Lure 89 Bait 84

Either

Nothing separates them today (lure 89, bait 84) - fish whichever you enjoy more.

Cork or free-line, no problem

Tide (ft) & Wind (kt) by hour 1.4 ft · strong · peak 0.14 ft/hr
Hourly tide for Monday, September 7 High 12:11 PM - 1.45 ft | Low 10:27 PM - 0.05 ft. 11 of 24 hours score as fishable. Best window 4:30 - 7:30 PM. H 1.45 12:11 PM L 0.05 10:27 PM 12a 6a 12p 6p
Wind dir

S

·

·

·

·

SW

SE

SE

SE

S

S

S
Wind kt
400004444444
Tide ft
0.20.60.91.21.41.41.41.41.10.70.30.1

prime good fair slow

Hourly tide and fishing score for Monday, September 7
HourTide (ft)ScoreFishable
12 AM 0.24 66 No
1 AM 0.42 67 No
2 AM 0.6 65 No
3 AM 0.78 63 No
4 AM 0.94 60 No
5 AM 1.08 57 No
6 AM 1.2 69 No
7 AM 1.3 63 No
8 AM 1.36 57 No
9 AM 1.39 64 Yes
10 AM 1.41 65 Yes
11 AM 1.43 62 Yes
12 PM 1.44 58 Yes
1 PM 1.43 68 Yes
2 PM 1.36 77 Yes
3 PM 1.23 75 No
4 PM 1.06 87 Yes
5 PM 0.86 88 Yes
6 PM 0.66 85 No
7 PM 0.46 82 No
8 PM 0.29 77 No
9 PM 0.14 47 Yes
10 PM 0.06 33 Yes
11 PM 0.06 33 Yes
  • Clarity 85
  • Tide 90
  • Wind 100
  • Solunar 78
Tide
High 12:11 PM (1.45) -> Low 10:27 PM (0.05)
Range
1.4 ft · strong · peak 0.14 ft/hr
Wind
SW 0-4 kt48-hr mean SSE 7.3 kt · veering to SE
Pressure
29.97 inHg, steady
Sky
Mostly Clear · 92°F
Moon
Waning Crescent 15%
Sun
7:00 AM → 7:34 PM

Best lure windows · score /100

  • 9:20 AM - 11:20 AM 102 Major - moon overhead, on max tidal flow
  • 12:11 PM - 2:41 PM 82 First of the outgoing off the 12:11 PM high
  • 4:57 PM - 5:57 PM 60 Minor - moonset
  • 9:45 PM - 11:45 PM 18 Major - moon underfoot
Why this rating

Third day of southerly flow, wind still 4 kt out of the SW then SE, and the water in the throat is the cleanest it has been. The catch is timing - the high does not top until 12:11 PM, so dawn is the slow tail of a 14-hour rise and the real current does not stack up until afternoon, running to a 0.05 ft low at 10:27 PM. That is still a strong fall, just late. EITHER, and at 92 F the deep-water croaker bite will beat plastics between noon and 4.

Speckled trout tactic

Fish the evening on the fall. MirrOdine XL in bone or chrome twitched over the deeper edge of the bar, then a Down South Super Model in Texas Roach or morning glory on 1/4 oz worked slow along the drop. Salty green water means natural and translucent, not loud. Save the bone Spook Jr for the last half hour of light when they come up shallow to feed.

Live bait tactic

This is a croaker afternoon - 85.8 F water, fish sulking deep. Free-line a lively croaker on a 3/0 kahle with a small split shot on the deep side of the drop and let the outgoing carry it. Live shrimp under a cork on the shallow bar picks up again the last hour before sunset at 7:34 PM.

Water clarity read

Forty-eight hours of SSE at 7.3 kt has salted the pass up and the incoming carries clean water well past the bar. Back in the coves and up the bayou side it is a shade dirtier where nothing has flushed.

Reds & flounder

Reds move up on the flats behind the bar during that long slow rise in the morning - a weedless spoon or a cut mullet chunk. Flounder pin down on the drain mouths as the evening fall pulls out.

TUESDAY

September 8 · Day 4 of 7

WORTH A TRIP 86/100

Best window 5:30 - 7:30 PM

Clear Green green water pushing in off the beach, bay side still soft

Lure 89 Bait 82

Either

Nothing separates them today (lure 89, bait 82) - fish whichever you enjoy more.

Cork or free-line, no problem

Tide (ft) & Wind (kt) by hour 1.25 ft · strong · peak 0.13 ft/hr
Hourly tide for Tuesday, September 8 High 1:34 PM - 1.4 ft | Low 11:11 PM - 0.15 ft. 9 of 24 hours score as fishable. Best window 5:30 - 7:30 PM. H 1.4 1:34 PM L 0.15 11:11 PM 12a 6a 12p 6p
Wind dir

S

SW

·

·

·

S

SE

SE

SE

SE

SE

SE
Wind kt
440004499944
Tide ft
0.20.50.81.11.21.31.31.41.20.90.50.2

prime good fair slow

Hourly tide and fishing score for Tuesday, September 8
HourTide (ft)ScoreFishable
12 AM 0.16 65 No
1 AM 0.32 67 No
2 AM 0.49 66 No
3 AM 0.66 64 No
4 AM 0.81 61 No
5 AM 0.95 58 No
6 AM 1.07 69 No
7 AM 1.16 64 No
8 AM 1.23 58 No
9 AM 1.26 51 No
10 AM 1.27 66 Yes
11 AM 1.3 67 Yes
12 PM 1.34 67 Yes
1 PM 1.39 56 Yes
2 PM 1.39 66 Yes
3 PM 1.34 75 Yes
4 PM 1.23 85 Yes
5 PM 1.08 92 Yes
6 PM 0.91 99 Yes
7 PM 0.72 87 No
8 PM 0.53 84 No
9 PM 0.35 60 No
10 PM 0.22 47 No
11 PM 0.16 47 No
  • Clarity 90
  • Tide 83
  • Wind 100
  • Solunar 78
Tide
High 1:34 PM (1.4) -> Low 11:11 PM (0.15)
Range
1.25 ft · strong · peak 0.13 ft/hr
Wind
S ~4 kt -> **SE 9 kt** late48-hr mean SSE 7.3 kt · veering to SE
Pressure
29.97 inHg, steady
Sky
Mostly Clear · 92°F
Moon
Waning Crescent 8%
Sun
7:01 AM → 7:33 PM

Best lure windows · score /100

  • 10:16 AM - 12:16 PM 102 Major - moon overhead, on max tidal flow
  • 1:34 PM - 4:04 PM 82 First of the outgoing off the 1:34 PM high
  • 5:38 PM - 6:38 PM 97 Minor - moonset, on max tidal flow
  • 10:41 PM - 12:41 AM 18 Major - moon underfoot
Why this rating

Nothing wrong with the water - four days of S and SE at 4 to 9 kt has this pass as clean as it gets in September, and lures are dead easy to fish in that. The problem is the clock: high 1:34 PM at 1.4 ft, low 11:11 PM at 0.15 ft, so all the moving water lands in 92 F afternoon heat and the dawn window is a dying slow rise. Fishable and worth going, but you are fishing one evening shift, not a day. EITHER holds, with the edge to bait until the sun drops.

Speckled trout tactic

Clear water and 9 kt of SE means light and natural. Down South Super Model in morning glory or Texas Roach on a 1/8 to 1/4 oz head, drifted along the windward edge of the bar with the outgoing. Long casts, light fluorocarbon leader - they will look at it in this water. Bone Spook Jr the last thirty minutes to sunset at 7:33 PM if you see bait flicking.

Live bait tactic

Live croaker is the play until the sun is off the water - free-lined on 3/0, weighted just enough to hold in the outgoing, dropped on the deep edge of the drop-off. After 6 PM switch to live shrimp under a popping cork worked over the bar. Piggy perch will hold up better than shrimp in the current.

Water clarity read

The 48-hour SSE mean of 7.3 kt keeps pumping Gulf water through, and by now the throat and the surf side are honest green. The bay side behind the sandbar is a step down but nothing that stops a plastic.

Reds & flounder

Redfish are the better bet at midday - cracked crab or cut mullet on a fish-finder rig in the guts off the beach. Flounder on the drains the last two hours of light, slow drag a 1/4 oz jig or a live mud minnow.

WEDNESDAY

September 9 · Day 5 of 7

WORTH A TRIP 82/100

Best window 5:30 - 7:30 PM

Clear Green clean green on the gulf side, thin stain in the back lakes

Lure 85 Bait 77

Either

Nothing separates them today (lure 85, bait 77) - fish whichever you enjoy more.

Cork or free-line, no problem

Tide (ft) & Wind (kt) by hour 1.01 ft · moderate · peak 0.11 ft/hr
Hourly tide for Wednesday, September 9 High 2:50 PM - 1.32 ft | Low 11:51 PM - 0.31 ft. 11 of 24 hours score as fishable. Best window 5:30 - 7:30 PM. H 1.32 2:50 PM L 0.31 11:51 PM 12a 6a 12p 6p
Wind dir

S

S

S

·

·

SE

SE

SE

SE

SE

SE

S
Wind kt
444004499944
Tide ft
0.20.50.71.01.11.11.21.31.31.10.80.4

prime good fair slow

Hourly tide and fishing score for Wednesday, September 9
HourTide (ft)ScoreFishable
12 AM 0.19 58 No
1 AM 0.3 65 No
2 AM 0.45 65 No
3 AM 0.6 63 No
4 AM 0.74 56 Yes
5 AM 0.86 52 Yes
6 AM 0.97 68 No
7 AM 1.05 61 No
8 AM 1.09 56 No
9 AM 1.11 49 No
10 AM 1.12 51 No
11 AM 1.13 66 Yes
12 PM 1.17 71 Yes
1 PM 1.24 70 Yes
2 PM 1.3 59 Yes
3 PM 1.32 62 Yes
4 PM 1.28 73 Yes
5 PM 1.2 80 Yes
6 PM 1.09 93 Yes
7 PM 0.95 99 Yes
8 PM 0.78 87 No
9 PM 0.6 66 No
10 PM 0.44 56 No
11 PM 0.34 56 No
  • Clarity 90
  • Tide 73
  • Wind 100
  • Solunar 75
Tide
High 2:50 PM (1.32) -> Low 11:51 PM (0.31)
Range
1.01 ft · moderate · peak 0.11 ft/hr
Wind
S 0-9 kt48-hr mean SSE 7.3 kt · veering to SE
Pressure
29.97 inHg, steady
Sky
Mostly Clear · 91°F · 32% rain
Moon
Waning Crescent 3%
Sun
7:01 AM → 7:32 PM

Best lure windows · score /100

  • 4:53 AM - 5:53 AM 12 Minor - moonrise
  • 11:08 AM - 1:08 PM 92 Major - moon overhead, on max tidal flow
  • 2:50 PM - 5:20 PM 82 First of the outgoing off the 2:50 PM high
  • 6:14 PM - 7:14 PM 97 Minor - moonset, on max tidal flow
Why this rating

Water and wind are still right - S to SE at 4 to 9 kt, clean green, no lure problem at all. The tide is the weak link: 1.32 ft high at 2:50 PM and the low not until 11:51 PM at 0.31 ft, so you get one late shove of current in the hottest part of the day and a short window at the end of it. Go in the evening or do not bother going. EITHER on the technique, though live bait covers the dead midday stretch better than a jig will.

Speckled trout tactic

Fish the tail of the fall into dark. Lil John or Bass Assassin Sea Shad in morning glory on 1/4 oz, worked along the deeper edge where the bar drops off, slow with long pauses. Go to 3/8 oz if the current stacks up. In water this clean use a MirrOdine XL in chrome/black over the sand and let it hang - a suspending bait beats a rattle here.

Live bait tactic

Live croaker on a 3/0 kahle, free-lined and bumped along the bottom of the drop, is the mid-afternoon answer in 91 F water. Come sunset at 7:32 PM, live shrimp under a popping cork along the bar edge will get the topwater-style bite without the topwater refusal.

Water clarity read

Five days of steady southerly flow off a 148 degree, 7.3 kt 48-hour mean has kept clean Gulf water in the pass. Only the back lakes and the far bay shoreline still carry a stain, and the weak tide is not pulling much of it out.

Reds & flounder

Reds will be cruising the surf guts early before the heat - gold spoon or cut mullet on bottom. Flounder are thin with this weak a tide but the drain mouths on the late fall are still the spot.

THURSDAY

September 10 · Day 6 of 7

DON'T BOTHER 68/100

Best window 6:15 - 8:30 AM

Clear Green green and slick throughout, no current line to hunt

Lure 73 Bait 60

Either

Nothing separates them today (lure 73, bait 60) - fish whichever you enjoy more.

Cork or free-line, no problem

Tide (ft) & Wind (kt) by hour 0.26 ft · weak · peak 0.05 ft/hr
Hourly tide for Thursday, September 10 High 8:04 AM - 1 ft | Low 10:59 AM - 0.96 ft | High 4:23 PM - 1.22 ft. 10 of 24 hours score as fishable. Best window 6:15 - 8:30 AM. H 1 8:04 AM L 0.96 10:59 AM H 1.22 4:23 PM 12a 6a 12p 6p
Wind dir

S

S

S

·

·

S

SE

SE

SE

S

S

S
Wind kt
444004444994
Tide ft
0.30.50.70.91.01.01.01.11.21.21.00.7

prime good fair slow

Hourly tide and fishing score for Thursday, September 10
HourTide (ft)ScoreFishable
12 AM 0.31 48 No
1 AM 0.36 62 No
2 AM 0.48 66 No
3 AM 0.6 64 No
4 AM 0.72 61 No
5 AM 0.83 57 No
6 AM 0.92 66 No
7 AM 0.98 57 No
8 AM 1 67 Yes
9 AM 0.99 66 Yes
10 AM 0.97 64 Yes
11 AM 0.96 61 Yes
12 PM 0.97 70 Yes
1 PM 1.03 76 Yes
2 PM 1.11 63 No
3 PM 1.18 55 No
4 PM 1.22 59 Yes
5 PM 1.21 67 Yes
6 PM 1.17 83 Yes
7 PM 1.09 93 Yes
8 PM 0.97 87 No
9 PM 0.83 70 No
10 PM 0.68 63 No
11 PM 0.57 63 No
  • Clarity 90
  • Tide 32
  • Wind 100
  • Solunar 75
Tide
High 8:04 AM (1) -> Low 10:59 AM (0.96) -> High 4:23 PM (1.22)
Range
0.26 ft · weak · peak 0.05 ft/hr
Wind
S 0-9 kt48-hr mean SSE 7.3 kt · veering to SE
Pressure
29.97 inHg, steady
Sky
Partly Cloudy · 92°F · 23% rain
Moon
New Moon 0%
Sun
7:02 AM → 7:31 PM

Best lure windows · score /100

  • 8:04 AM - 10:34 AM 100 First of the outgoing off the 8:04 AM high
  • 11:56 AM - 1:56 PM 92 Major - moon overhead, on max tidal flow
  • 4:23 PM - 6:53 PM 82 First of the outgoing off the 4:23 PM high
  • 6:46 PM - 7:46 PM 97 Minor - moonset, on max tidal flow
Why this rating

The water is fine and the wind is nothing - that is not the issue. The tide is: 1.0 ft high at 8:04 AM, a so-called low of 0.96 ft at 10:59 AM, then 1.22 ft at 4:23 PM. That is four hundredths of a foot of movement across the middle of the day, effectively slack all day at a pass that only fishes when water is ripping. Add 92 F and there is no reason to burn a tank. Technique is academic at this point - neither a lure nor a croaker fixes dead water.

Speckled trout tactic

If you go anyway, it is a first-light-only deal. Bone Super Spook Jr walked over the shallow bar before sunrise at 7:02 AM, then a Lil John in morning glory on a 1/8 oz head fished painfully slow on the small high at 8:04. Downsize everything, long casts, and expect one or two fish rather than a box.

Live bait tactic

Scent is the only thing that will drag a bite out of dead water - live shrimp under a popping cork, popped hard and often on the shallow bar at first light, or a free-lined finger mullet in the wash. Do not waste good croaker on this day.

Water clarity read

Steady S and SE at 4 to 9 kt off a 7.3 kt SSE 48-hour mean has the pass clean top to bottom. Trouble is with no tide the water never sets up a colour change or a rip to fish, bay side or Gulf side.

Reds & flounder

Redfish are the salvage play - they will still eat with no current. Cut mullet or crab on a fish-finder rig in the beachfront guts. Flounder need moving water on the drains and there is none.

FRIDAY

September 11 · Day 7 of 7

WORTH A TRIP 75/100

Best window 6:30 - 9:00 AM

Sandy Green green on the beachfront, a little milk on the west wind side

Lure 78 Bait 70

Either

Nothing separates them today (lure 78, bait 70) - fish whichever you enjoy more.

Cork or free-line, no problem

Tide (ft) & Wind (kt) by hour 0.65 ft · soft · peak 0.07 ft/hr
Hourly tide for Friday, September 11 Low 12:28 AM - 0.5 ft | High 7:23 AM - 0.96 ft | Low 11:57 AM - 0.8 ft | High 6:19 PM - 1.15 ft. 9 of 24 hours score as fishable. Best window 6:30 - 9:00 AM. L 0.5 12:28 AM H 0.96 7:23 AM L 0.8 11:57 AM H 1.15 6:19 PM 12a 6a 12p 6p
Wind dir

S

SSW

SW

WSW

W

W

SE

SE

SSE

SSE

SSE

S
Wind kt
46544351011988
Tide ft
0.50.60.80.91.00.90.80.91.11.11.10.9

prime good fair slow

Hourly tide and fishing score for Friday, September 11
HourTide (ft)ScoreFishable
12 AM 0.51 36 No
1 AM 0.51 56 No
2 AM 0.57 67 No
3 AM 0.67 68 No
4 AM 0.77 63 No
5 AM 0.86 57 No
6 AM 0.92 63 No
7 AM 0.96 67 Yes
8 AM 0.96 78 Yes
9 AM 0.91 79 Yes
10 AM 0.86 62 No
11 AM 0.82 51 No
12 PM 0.8 60 Yes
1 PM 0.82 72 Yes
2 PM 0.88 81 Yes
3 PM 0.97 66 No
4 PM 1.06 61 No
5 PM 1.12 51 No
6 PM 1.15 68 Yes
7 PM 1.14 82 Yes
8 PM 1.09 95 Yes
9 PM 0.99 71 No
10 PM 0.88 66 No
11 PM 0.79 66 No
  • Clarity 80
  • Tide 63
  • Wind 100
  • Solunar 64
Tide
Low 12:28 AM (0.5) -> High 7:23 AM (0.96) -> Low 11:57 AM (0.8) -> High 6:19 PM (1.15)
Range
0.65 ft · soft · peak 0.07 ft/hr
Wind
W 1-11 kt48-hr mean SSE 7.3 kt · veering to SE
Pressure
29.97 inHg, steady
Sky
Mostly Clear · 92°F
Moon
New Moon 0%
Sun
7:02 AM → 7:29 PM

Best lure windows · score /100

  • 7:00 AM - 8:00 AM 75 Minor - moonrise
  • 7:23 AM - 9:53 AM 100 First of the outgoing off the 7:23 AM high
  • 12:42 PM - 2:42 PM 70 Major - moon overhead
  • 6:19 PM - 8:49 PM 100 First of the outgoing off the 6:19 PM high
Why this rating

Light W and WSW at 3 to 4 kt in the morning is too weak to hurt anything, and the SE fills back in to 11 kt by afternoon, so the water holds. Tide is split and modest - 0.96 ft high at 7:23 AM, 0.8 ft low at 11:57 AM, then a long slow build to 1.15 ft at 6:19 PM - but the piece that matters is that water is still rising into first light with the minor at 7:00 to 8:00 AM on it. Wind at 11 kt is prime soft-plastic drifting, so EITHER is right with lures perfectly workable.

Speckled trout tactic

Water moving at grey light is worth more than a big tide later. Bone Super Spook Jr or a She Dog in chrome/black over the bar from first light through the 7:23 AM high, then switch to a Bass Assassin Sea Shad in Opening Night or Down South in Chicken on a Chain on a 1/8 oz head as it starts back out. Afternoon SE chop makes a 1/4 oz drift along the windward edge the better bet.

Live bait tactic

Live shrimp under a popping cork on the bar edge through that dawn high is the highest-percentage rig of the day. Free-lined finger mullet in the wash on the beachfront side after the sun is up. If it stays slow into the afternoon rise, go to a live croaker on the deep edge.

Water clarity read

The western breath early is only 3 to 4 kt, nowhere near enough to blow this bay out, so the beachfront and throat stay sandy green. Expect a slight milky edge on the west bank shoreline until the SE fills back in around midday.

Reds & flounder

Reds should be on the beachfront guts with the morning water - spoon, or mullet chunk on bottom. Flounder pick up on the afternoon rise around the drain mouths, dragged jig or live mud minnow.

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What this forecast cannot tell you (3)
  • The NWS hourly forecast reaches about 6.5 days, which stops short of the end of this window. Wind, temperature and sky for Friday come from Open-Meteo alone, with no second model to check them against. Treat the last of the week as a trend, not a plan.
  • Wind is cross-checked against two independent models: the NWS gridpoint forecast for this spot, and Open-Meteo running gfs_seamless at 29.383762, -94.90577. Across the overlapping mornings the two agree to within 1.3 kt on average (worst 3.3 kt). Where they diverge, treat that day's wind as less certain.
  • Water clarity is inferred from measured 48-hour buoy wind history and forecast wind vectors. It is not visually confirmed - local webcams are video streams and cannot be read automatically. Check a cam before you load the truck.
Data sources (6)
Compare this forecast (1)
Earlier runs (4)

Issued Friday, September 4, 2026 at 1:31 PM CT