Galveston, Galveston Channel tide station · Sits in the Galveston Channel just inside Bolivar Roads, so Gulf water arrives on the incoming but is already mixed with ship-channel traffic and bay outflow.
The 48-hour setup
Last 48 hours the buoy at 42035 averaged SSE, 153 degrees at 5.5 kt, and the last 24 tightened to due S, 174 degrees at 5.1 kt. Right now it is S at 180 degrees, 3.9 kt gusting 5.8, pressure 1012.7, and the biggest gust in two days was only 21.4 kt. That is the direction that builds green water - SSE and S push clean Gulf in through the throat - but at 5 kt it is a slow feed, not a hard scrub. Nothing out of the north or west with any weight behind it, so the bay side has had time to settle out. GTOT2 reads 89.4 F water, and that is the one number working against you.
Buoy 42035: 48-hour vector-mean wind SSE (153 deg) at 2.1 kt; 24-hour mean S at 1.9 kt. Peak gust in the last 48 hours: 21.4 kt.
GTOT2 latest: S at 5.1 kt, gusting 7 kt. Pressure 1011.4 hPa. Water temp 89.4 F.
The bottom line
Wednesday, September 9 is the day - be on the bar at 5:30 PM and fish the fall through 8:00 PM. Monday at first light is the backup, with water already dumping at sunrise and no wind to fight. Friday is the throwaway; the tide barely moves and it goes slack through the hottest part of the day.
Sandy Greensandy green in the throat, light stain on the bay side
Lure86·Bait83
Either
Nothing separates them today (lure 86, bait 83) - fish whichever you enjoy more.
Cork or free-line, no problem
Tide (ft) & Wind (kt) by hour1.82 ft · strong · peak 0.12 ft/hr
Wind dir
↗ SW
↗ SW
→ W
→ W
→ W
↘ NW
↓ N
↖ SE
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
Wind kt
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
9
9
9
Tide ft
1.1
1.6
1.8
1.8
1.7
1.7
1.7
1.4
0.8
0.2
-0.0
0.2
primegoodfairslow
Hourly tide and fishing score for Monday, September 7
Hour
Tide (ft)
Score
Fishable
12 AM
1.05
68
No
1 AM
1.36
60
No
2 AM
1.6
49
No
3 AM
1.73
40
No
4 AM
1.77
45
Yes
5 AM
1.77
46
Yes
6 AM
1.76
63
Yes
7 AM
1.75
53
No
8 AM
1.74
53
No
9 AM
1.73
49
No
10 AM
1.72
49
No
11 AM
1.72
50
No
12 PM
1.68
55
No
1 PM
1.59
63
No
2 PM
1.42
73
No
3 PM
1.16
80
No
4 PM
0.83
93
Yes
5 PM
0.49
87
Yes
6 PM
0.21
71
No
7 PM
0.03
60
No
8 PM
-0.04
67
Yes
9 PM
0
63
Yes
10 PM
0.16
74
Yes
11 PM
0.42
64
Yes
Clarity72
Tide98
Wind100
Solunar64
Tide
High 4:28 AM (1.77) -> Low 8:08 PM (-0.05)
Range
1.82 ft · strong · peak 0.12 ft/hr
Wind
SW ~4 kt -> **S 9 kt** late48-hr mean SSE 2.1 kt · veering to S
Pressure
29.91 inHg, falling
Sky
Mostly Clear · 90°F
Moon
Waning Crescent 15%
Sun
7:00 AM → 7:34 PM
Best lure windows · score /100
4:28 AM - 6:58 AM82First of the outgoing off the 4:28 AM high
4:57 PM - 5:57 PM82Minor - moonset, on max tidal flow
8:08 PM - 10:38 PM90First of the incoming off the 8:08 PM low
9:45 PM - 11:45 PM40Major - moon underfoot, on max tidal flow
Why this rating
Two days of light S and SSE have kept clean water feeding in, and nothing north or west has been strong enough to dirty it - 5 kt out of the W at daybreak will not move the needle in this system. The tide is the reason to go: one uninterrupted fall from 1.77 ft at 4:28 AM all the way to -0.05 ft at 8:08 PM, already dumping at sunrise. Wind under 5 kt means topwater and a 1/8 oz jighead are both fully workable, so either method scores - lures at daylight, croaker once it heats up.
Speckled trout tactic
Start dark with a Super Spook Jr in bone on the sand off the second bar - flat water and a hard fall, walk it slow with long pauses. When the sun gets up, switch to a Down South Super Model on a 1/8 oz head in Chicken on a Chain and swim it with the current across the drop, or work a MirrOdine XL in chrome and black through the guts. Cast up-current and let the fall do the work. If you are getting short strikes, downsize to a Lil John in Texas Roach.
Live bait tactic
Water is 89.4 F, so live croaker is hard to beat once the sun is up - free-line a lively one on a 3/0 kahle with a small split shot and let it swim down the edge of the drop. Early, a live shrimp under a popping cork worked over the reef shell on the bay side will get bit. Fish from the bank or the shallow sand only - do not wade toward the channel on a fall this long and this hard.
Water clarity read
The 48 hour SSE mean at 5.5 kt has fed clean water into the pass but slowly, so expect sandy green over the bars with a shade of stain where the bay drains in. The light W and NW hours before noon are too weak to dirty anything.
Reds & flounder
Reds will be stacked where the falling water pours off the flats into the guts - a gold spoon, or cut mullet on a fish finder rig on the sand. Flounder are starting to stage for the fall run; drag a 1/4 oz jighead and a white paddletail slow along the drains.
TUESDAY
September 8 · Day 2 of 7
WORTH A TRIP86/100
Best window5:00 - 7:30 PM
Sandy Greensandy green over the bars, dingy where the bay drains
Lure86·Bait85
Either
Nothing separates them today (lure 86, bait 85) - fish whichever you enjoy more.
Cork or free-line, no problem
Tide (ft) & Wind (kt) by hour1.63 ft · strong · peak 0.2 ft/hr
Wind dir
↑ S
↗ SW
↗ SW
↗ SW
→ W
→ W
↑ S
↖ SE
↖ SE
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
Wind kt
9
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
9
9
9
9
Tide ft
0.7
1.4
1.7
1.7
1.6
1.6
1.7
1.6
1.3
0.6
0.1
0.1
primegoodfairslow
Hourly tide and fishing score for Tuesday, September 8
Hour
Tide (ft)
Score
Fishable
12 AM
0.74
71
No
1 AM
1.08
66
No
2 AM
1.38
57
No
3 AM
1.59
45
No
4 AM
1.68
36
No
5 AM
1.69
39
No
6 AM
1.66
55
No
7 AM
1.63
54
No
8 AM
1.61
63
Yes
9 AM
1.6
61
Yes
10 AM
1.62
65
Yes
11 AM
1.65
63
Yes
12 PM
1.69
60
Yes
1 PM
1.7
51
No
2 PM
1.65
60
No
3 PM
1.51
72
No
4 PM
1.26
82
No
5 PM
0.93
95
Yes
6 PM
0.6
93
Yes
7 PM
0.32
71
No
8 PM
0.14
59
No
9 PM
0.07
41
No
10 PM
0.12
53
No
11 PM
0.29
53
No
Clarity72
Tide93
Wind100
Solunar78
Tide
High 4:35 AM (1.69) -> Low 8:46 AM (1.6) -> High 12:45 PM (1.7) -> Low 9:05 PM (0.07)
Range
1.63 ft · strong · peak 0.2 ft/hr
Wind
W 4-9 kt48-hr mean SSE 2.1 kt · veering to S
Pressure
29.91 inHg, falling
Sky
Mostly Clear · 90°F
Moon
Waning Crescent 8%
Sun
7:00 AM → 7:33 PM
Best lure windows · score /100
8:46 AM - 11:16 AM90First of the incoming off the 8:46 AM low
10:15 AM - 12:15 PM102Major - moon overhead, on max tidal flow
5:38 PM - 6:38 PM97Minor - moonset, on max tidal flow
10:40 PM - 12:40 AM40Major - moon underfoot, on max tidal flow
Why this rating
Clarity is the same sandy green as Monday - light S and SSE history, nothing dirty behind it - but the tide falls apart in the morning. It only drops from 1.69 ft at 4:35 AM to 1.60 ft at 8:46 AM, which is four hours of dead water right through first light. The real move is the 1.63 ft fall off the 12:45 PM high, and by then it is 90 degrees. Wind stays under 10 kt so lures are workable and bait scores even, but heat and slack push this one to an evening trip.
Speckled trout tactic
Skip the dead morning and hit the evening fall. Bass Assassin Sea Shad or Down South Super Model on a 1/4 oz head, Opening Night or plum and chartreuse, swum along the windward edge of the bar as the water drains. Last hour of light, put a MirrOlure She Dog over the shallow sand and make some noise - low sun and 89 degree water means they will come up late. Slow roll it, do not burn it.
Live bait tactic
Live croaker free-lined on a 2/0 or 3/0 kahle down the deeper edge is the play in 89 degree water - the fish sulk deep until dark. Live shrimp under a rattling cork drifted along the reef takes over the last hour of light. Stay out of the current and fish from the sand.
Water clarity read
A 24 hour mean of 5.1 kt out of the S keeps clean water trickling in, but a few W hours mid-morning will put a little color on the bay side. Gulf side stays the better looking water all day.
Reds & flounder
Reds will feed on the evening fall along the shorelines - free-lined finger mullet under a cork, or a soft plastic in morning glory. Flounder pick up at the mouths of the drains as the water pulls out after dark.
WEDNESDAY
September 9 · Day 3 of 7
PERFECT DAY91/100
Best window5:30 - 8:00 PM
Sandy / Salty Greensalty green through the throat, sandy green on the bay side
Lure93·Bait88
Either
Nothing separates them today (lure 93, bait 88) - fish whichever you enjoy more.
Cork or free-line, no problem
Tide (ft) & Wind (kt) by hour1.43 ft · strong · peak 0.19 ft/hr
Wind dir
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
Wind kt
9
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
9
4
4
Tide ft
0.5
1.2
1.6
1.6
1.4
1.4
1.5
1.7
1.6
1.0
0.5
0.3
primegoodfairslow
Hourly tide and fishing score for Wednesday, September 9
Hour
Tide (ft)
Score
Fishable
12 AM
0.54
70
No
1 AM
0.85
70
No
2 AM
1.16
64
No
3 AM
1.42
53
No
4 AM
1.57
49
Yes
5 AM
1.61
50
Yes
6 AM
1.56
69
Yes
7 AM
1.49
68
Yes
8 AM
1.43
55
No
9 AM
1.41
50
No
10 AM
1.42
54
No
11 AM
1.47
66
Yes
12 PM
1.54
67
Yes
1 PM
1.63
64
Yes
2 PM
1.68
56
Yes
3 PM
1.68
68
Yes
4 PM
1.57
83
Yes
5 PM
1.34
83
No
6 PM
1.03
99
Yes
7 PM
0.72
93
Yes
8 PM
0.46
69
No
9 PM
0.31
41
No
10 PM
0.26
43
No
11 PM
0.32
43
No
Clarity90
Tide100
Wind100
Solunar75
Tide
High 4:50 AM (1.61) -> Low 9:13 AM (1.41) -> High 2:26 PM (1.69) -> Low 9:55 PM (0.26)
Range
1.43 ft · strong · peak 0.19 ft/hr
Wind
S ~4 kt -> **SE 9 kt** late48-hr mean SSE 2.1 kt · veering to S
Pressure
29.91 inHg, falling
Sky
Mostly Clear · 88°F · 41% rain
Moon
Waning Crescent 3%
Sun
7:01 AM → 7:31 PM
Best lure windows · score /100
4:50 AM - 7:20 AM82First of the outgoing off the 4:50 AM high
11:07 AM - 1:07 PM92Major - moon overhead, on max tidal flow
2:26 PM - 4:56 PM82First of the outgoing off the 2:26 PM high
6:13 PM - 7:13 PM97Minor - moonset, on max tidal flow
Why this rating
Best water of the week. Forty-eight hours of S and SE with no north component at all, and the wind holds S to SE at 4-9 kt all day - that is the direction that builds green water in this pass. Tide is the strongest of the stretch: a fall to 1.41 ft at 9:13 AM, a long rise to 1.69 ft at 2:26 PM, then 1.43 ft of drop straight through to 9:55 PM. Light wind and clean water means lures are fully workable, and 89 degree water still makes croaker deadly - genuinely either.
Speckled trout tactic
Evening fall, clean water, dying light - Super Spook Jr in bone or chrome and black over the sand, walked steady across the bar. Follow it with a Down South Super Model on a 1/8 oz head in Texas Roach, or a Lil John in plum and chartreuse, cast up-current and swung with the drop. Keep colors natural and translucent; this water is clean enough that they will inspect it. Storms run 41 percent mid-day, so watch the sky and get off the water when it builds.
Live bait tactic
Free-lined live croaker on a 3/0 kahle along the drop is meat and potatoes in 89 degree water, especially 2:30 to 6:00 PM. As the light dies, switch to live shrimp under a popping cork over the reef and shell. Fish it from the bank and the shallow sand - the fall after 2:26 PM runs hard and the guts are not worth crossing.
Water clarity read
A steady SE feed on top of a 153 degree 48 hour mean has cleaned this up about as well as it gets in September. Gulf side will be the prettiest water; the bay side lags a shade sandier but is still clean enough to fish on sight.
Reds & flounder
Best redfish day of the week too - cut mullet on the bottom where the fall dumps out of the guts, or a live finger mullet under a cork along the shoreline. Flounder will sit on the down-current side of the drains as the tide pulls.
THURSDAY
September 10 · Day 4 of 7
WORTH A TRIP86/100
Best window6:00 - 8:30 PM
Sandy Greensandy green on the sand, stained in the back bay
Lure88·Bait83
Either
Nothing separates them today (lure 88, bait 83) - fish whichever you enjoy more.
Cork or free-line, no problem
Tide (ft) & Wind (kt) by hour1.18 ft · strong · peak 0.17 ft/hr
Wind dir
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↗ SW
↗ SW
↗ SW
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
Wind kt
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
9
9
9
Tide ft
0.5
1.0
1.5
1.5
1.3
1.2
1.3
1.5
1.7
1.4
0.8
0.5
primegoodfairslow
Hourly tide and fishing score for Thursday, September 10
Hour
Tide (ft)
Score
Fishable
12 AM
0.49
66
No
1 AM
0.73
70
No
2 AM
1
69
No
3 AM
1.27
60
No
4 AM
1.46
46
No
5 AM
1.54
54
Yes
6 AM
1.5
79
Yes
7 AM
1.39
79
Yes
8 AM
1.28
61
No
9 AM
1.2
51
No
10 AM
1.18
52
No
11 AM
1.21
68
Yes
12 PM
1.29
73
Yes
1 PM
1.41
74
Yes
2 PM
1.54
59
No
3 PM
1.64
60
Yes
4 PM
1.68
68
Yes
5 PM
1.6
83
Yes
6 PM
1.4
99
Yes
7 PM
1.12
99
Yes
8 PM
0.84
78
No
9 PM
0.64
50
No
10 PM
0.52
37
No
11 PM
0.51
37
No
Clarity81
Tide90
Wind100
Solunar75
Tide
High 5:07 AM (1.54) -> Low 9:55 AM (1.18) -> High 3:51 PM (1.68) -> Low 10:40 PM (0.5)
Range
1.18 ft · strong · peak 0.17 ft/hr
Wind
SW 4-9 kt48-hr mean SSE 2.1 kt · veering to S
Pressure
29.91 inHg, falling
Sky
Partly Cloudy · 90°F · 29% rain
Moon
New Moon 0%
Sun
7:01 AM → 7:30 PM
Best lure windows · score /100
5:07 AM - 7:37 AM100First of the outgoing off the 5:07 AM high
11:55 AM - 1:55 PM92Major - moon overhead, on max tidal flow
3:51 PM - 6:21 PM82First of the outgoing off the 3:51 PM high
6:45 PM - 7:45 PM97Minor - moonset, on max tidal flow
Why this rating
Water is still good - a run of S and SW at 4-9 kt with no real north in it keeps this sandy green - but the tide gives some back. The morning only drops 0.36 ft, from 1.54 ft at 5:07 AM to 1.18 ft at 9:55 AM, so first light is soft. The evening makes up for it: 1.68 ft at 3:51 PM falling to 0.5 ft at 10:40 PM on the new moon. Light wind keeps lures honest, but 89 degree water tilts the middle of the day to croaker - either method, just pick your hour.
Speckled trout tactic
Work the evening drop. MirrOdine XL in chrome and black along the deeper edge, or a Bass Assassin Sea Shad in morning glory on a 1/4 oz head bumped down the slope. New moon dark comes on fast, so put a Super Spook Jr in bone over the shallow sand for the last thirty minutes of light. Vary the retrieve until you find them - soft tide means they will not chase far.
Live bait tactic
Live croaker free-lined down the drop through the afternoon, then live shrimp or a finger mullet under a popping cork over the shell as it gets dark. New moon usually means a good night bite off the lighted bank - keep the bait moving with the current and stay well off the channel edge.
Water clarity read
SW at 4 kt through the morning is far too light to blow this system out, but it does nothing to clean it either, so expect sandy green over the bars. Gulf side stays a notch clearer than the bay side.
Reds & flounder
Reds should work the shoreline on the evening fall - free-lined mullet or a gold spoon. Flounder are staging; a live mud minnow or shrimp on a light Carolina rig near the drains beats a lure for them right now.
FRIDAY
September 11 · Day 5 of 7
DON'T BOTHER79/100
Best window6:00 - 8:00 PM
Sandy Greensandy green and lazy, no push through the throat
Lure79·Bait78
Either
Nothing separates them today (lure 79, bait 78) - fish whichever you enjoy more.
Cork or free-line, no problem
Tide (ft) & Wind (kt) by hour0.88 ft · moderate · peak 0.14 ft/hr
Wind dir
↑ S
↗ SW
↗ SW
↗ SW
↗ SW
↗ SW
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
Wind kt
9
9
9
4
4
4
4
9
9
9
9
9
Tide ft
0.6
0.9
1.4
1.5
1.2
1.0
1.0
1.3
1.6
1.6
1.2
0.8
primegoodfairslow
Hourly tide and fishing score for Friday, September 11
Hour
Tide (ft)
Score
Fishable
12 AM
0.58
59
No
1 AM
0.74
67
No
2 AM
0.95
70
No
3 AM
1.18
65
No
4 AM
1.38
52
No
5 AM
1.49
50
Yes
6 AM
1.48
83
Yes
7 AM
1.35
90
Yes
8 AM
1.18
74
No
9 AM
1.04
61
No
10 AM
0.96
50
No
11 AM
0.95
54
No
12 PM
1
75
Yes
1 PM
1.12
81
Yes
2 PM
1.28
83
Yes
3 PM
1.45
68
No
4 PM
1.6
59
No
5 PM
1.66
56
No
6 PM
1.61
78
No
7 PM
1.44
99
Yes
8 PM
1.21
97
Yes
9 PM
0.99
58
No
10 PM
0.85
45
No
11 PM
0.78
45
No
Clarity78
Tide76
Wind82
Solunar80
Tide
High 5:24 AM (1.5) -> Low 10:40 AM (0.94) -> High 5:07 PM (1.66) -> Low 11:21 PM (0.78)
Range
0.88 ft · moderate · peak 0.14 ft/hr
Wind
SW 4-9 kt48-hr mean SSE 2.1 kt · veering to S
Pressure
29.91 inHg, falling
Sky
Mostly Clear · 91°F · 25% rain
Moon
New Moon 0%
Sun
7:02 AM → 7:29 PM
Best lure windows · score /100
5:24 AM - 7:54 AM100First of the outgoing off the 5:24 AM high
6:59 AM - 7:59 AM97Minor - moonrise, on max tidal flow
12:41 PM - 2:41 PM92Major - moon overhead, on max tidal flow
7:16 PM - 8:16 PM97Minor - moonset, on max tidal flow
Why this rating
Clarity is fine and the wind is nothing - SW at 4-9 kt will not hurt water that has had two days of S behind it. The problem is the tide: 1.5 ft at 5:24 AM down to 0.94 ft at 10:40 AM is a 0.56 ft fall over five hours, the weakest movement of the whole stretch, and it goes slack through the hottest part of a 91 degree day. Lures are workable on paper and dead in practice when nothing is pulling over the bars. Save the day and fish Wednesday or Saturday instead.
Speckled trout tactic
If you go anyway, wait on the drop off the 5:07 PM high and fish light - a Lil John or Down South Super Model on a 1/8 oz head in Texas Roach, worked slow and low along the deepest edge you can reach. A Super Spook Jr in bone at last light is your one honest shot at a decent fish. Do not expect a topwater grind in dead water.
Live bait tactic
Bait is the only fair way to catch on a day like this - free-lined live croaker on the deep edge, or live shrimp under a cork drifted with whatever current you can find. Fish the last two hours of light. Even then, keep expectations low.
Water clarity read
Two days of light S and SW leave the water the same sandy green it has been, but with 0.56 ft of range there is no current to keep it stirred and clean over the reefs. Bay side will look flat and tired.
Reds & flounder
Reds are the better target - cut mullet, or a live piggy perch under a cork along the shoreline where the little bit of fall drains out. Flounder are not worth chasing with this little water movement.
SATURDAY
September 12 · Day 6 of 7
WORTH A TRIP80/100
Best window7:00 - 10:00 AM
Sandy / Salty Greensandy green on the bars, greener toward the gulf
Lure82·Bait78
Either
Nothing separates them today (lure 82, bait 78) - fish whichever you enjoy more.
Cork or free-line, no problem
Tide (ft) & Wind (kt) by hour0.92 ft · moderate · peak 0.13 ft/hr
Wind dir
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
Wind kt
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
Tide ft
0.8
1.0
1.3
1.5
1.2
0.8
0.7
1.0
1.4
1.6
1.5
1.2
primegoodfairslow
Hourly tide and fishing score for Saturday, September 12
Hour
Tide (ft)
Score
Fishable
12 AM
0.79
49
No
1 AM
0.87
58
No
2 AM
1
63
No
3 AM
1.17
63
No
4 AM
1.33
55
No
5 AM
1.45
52
Yes
6 AM
1.47
82
Yes
7 AM
1.36
97
Yes
8 AM
1.17
100
Yes
9 AM
0.96
87
Yes
10 AM
0.81
61
No
11 AM
0.73
47
No
12 PM
0.74
60
No
1 PM
0.82
82
Yes
2 PM
0.97
90
Yes
3 PM
1.16
92
Yes
4 PM
1.37
78
No
5 PM
1.55
64
No
6 PM
1.64
69
Yes
7 PM
1.62
87
Yes
8 PM
1.49
94
Yes
9 PM
1.32
61
No
10 PM
1.16
50
No
11 PM
1.08
50
No
Clarity87
Tide77
Wind82
Solunar80
Tide
High 5:39 AM (1.47) -> Low 11:26 AM (0.73) -> High 6:18 PM (1.65)
Range
0.92 ft · moderate · peak 0.13 ft/hr
Wind
S 9 kt48-hr mean SSE 2.1 kt · veering to S
Pressure
29.91 inHg, falling
Sky
Partly Cloudy · 90°F · 29% rain
Moon
Waxing Crescent 3%
Sun
7:03 AM → 7:28 PM
Best lure windows · score /100
5:39 AM - 8:09 AM100First of the outgoing off the 5:39 AM high
8:00 AM - 9:00 AM97Minor - moonrise, on max tidal flow
1:27 PM - 3:27 PM92Major - moon overhead, on max tidal flow
6:18 PM - 8:48 PM100First of the outgoing off the 6:18 PM high
Why this rating
S at 9 kt all day and all night is exactly the direction you want, and clarity is the second best of the week behind Wednesday. Tide beats Friday - 1.47 ft at 5:39 AM falling to 0.73 ft at 11:26 AM, so water is moving at sunrise and keeps pulling through mid-morning. Nine knots is prime soft plastic drifting along the windward edge, and bait scores nearly the same, so take the morning and be off before the heat.
Speckled trout tactic
Drift the windward edge with a Down South Super Model on a 1/4 oz head in Chicken on a Chain or plum and chartreuse - the 9 kt chop lets you get close before they spook. Start at sunrise with a Super Spook Jr in bone over the shallow sand while the fall is fresh, then go subsurface as the sun climbs. Cast into the wind-driven current line off the bar and let the plastic sweep across the drop.
Live bait tactic
A live shrimp under a rattling popping cork drifted along the bar with the 9 kt wind is the classic rig for this - it covers water and the rattle calls them in the chop. Switch to free-lined live croaker after 9:00 AM when they slide deeper. Stay on the shallow sand, never toward the channel.
Water clarity read
A solid 24 hours of S at 9 kt keeps pushing Gulf water in and there is no north or west in the forecast to undo it. Cleanest water will be the Gulf side of the throat, with a slight stain where the bay empties out.
Reds & flounder
Reds cruising the sand will eat a gold spoon or a free-lined mullet on the falling water. Flounder are moving toward the pass for fall - work a live mud minnow slow on the bottom near the drains.
SUNDAY
September 13 · Day 7 of 7
WORTH A TRIP76/100
Best window7:00 - 10:00 AM
Sandy Greensandy green with a chop, cleaner on the gulf side
Lure74·Bait78
Either
Nothing separates them today (lure 74, bait 78) - fish whichever you enjoy more.
Drift it, a little extra weight
Tide (ft) & Wind (kt) by hour1.09 ft · strong · peak 0.15 ft/hr
Wind dir
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↑ SSE
↑ SSE
↑ SSE
↖ SE
↖ SE
Wind kt
9
9
15
15
14
13
11
11
11
12
14
15
Tide ft
1.1
1.1
1.4
1.5
1.2
0.8
0.6
0.7
1.1
1.5
1.6
1.4
primegoodfairslow
Hourly tide and fishing score for Sunday, September 13
Hour
Tide (ft)
Score
Fishable
12 AM
1.05
39
No
1 AM
1.08
46
No
2 AM
1.14
50
No
3 AM
1.24
52
No
4 AM
1.35
33
No
5 AM
1.44
37
Yes
6 AM
1.47
69
Yes
7 AM
1.39
84
Yes
8 AM
1.22
93
Yes
9 AM
0.98
87
Yes
10 AM
0.76
63
No
11 AM
0.61
48
No
12 PM
0.55
43
No
1 PM
0.58
55
No
2 PM
0.68
77
Yes
3 PM
0.86
84
Yes
4 PM
1.09
88
Yes
5 PM
1.32
70
No
6 PM
1.52
62
No
7 PM
1.63
58
Yes
8 PM
1.63
71
Yes
9 PM
1.55
58
Yes
10 PM
1.43
46
Yes
11 PM
1.35
33
No
Clarity80
Tide84
Wind62
Solunar75
Tide
Low 12:00 AM (1.05) -> High 5:49 AM (1.47) -> Low 12:12 PM (0.55) -> High 7:31 PM (1.64)
Range
1.09 ft · strong · peak 0.15 ft/hr
Wind
S ~15 kt -> **SE 15 kt** late48-hr mean SSE 2.1 kt · veering to S
Pressure
29.91 inHg, falling
Sky
Partly Cloudy · 85°F · 24% rain
Moon
Waxing Crescent 8%
Sun
7:03 AM → 7:27 PM
Best lure windows · score /100
5:49 AM - 8:19 AM100First of the outgoing off the 5:49 AM high
8:59 AM - 9:59 AM97Minor - moonrise, on max tidal flow
2:12 PM - 4:12 PM92Major - moon overhead, on max tidal flow
7:31 PM - 10:01 PM100First of the outgoing off the 7:31 PM high
Why this rating
S at 15 kt in the morning is the top end of comfortable, but it is the right direction - days of S and SE have this water in decent shape, so the wind builds it rather than ruins it. Tide is solid: 1.47 ft at 5:49 AM falling to 0.55 ft at 12:12 PM, moving at sunrise and pulling all morning. At 15 kt you get line sag and less feel, so a cork holds up better than a light jighead - lean bait, but a heavier head keeps lures in the game.
Speckled trout tactic
Go heavier to beat the wind - 3/8 oz head with a Down South Super Model or Bass Assassin Sea Shad in Opening Night or plum and chartreuse, rod tip low to cut the line belly. Fish the windward side where the chop stacks bait against the bar. First light, a MirrOlure She Dog will call them up out of the rough water - the rattles carry when a quiet bait would not.
Live bait tactic
This is the day the cork earns its keep - live shrimp or a small croaker under a rattling popping cork, cast down-wind and drifted along the bar. The chop and the rattle do the work when a lure gets hard to feel. Keep your feet on the sand; 15 kt of S wind on a falling tide makes the guts and the channel edge no place to be.
Water clarity read
Fifteen knots of S is a clean-water wind here, but it will stir sand off the bars and knock visibility back to sandy green. Bay side will be choppier and dingier than the Gulf side.
Reds & flounder
Reds like a chop - free-line a finger mullet or a piggy perch along the windward shoreline on the morning fall. Flounder will tuck out of the current behind the bar; a live mud minnow on a light Carolina rig is the way to reach them.
Have this in your inbox at 7 PM
Pick your spots and your days — Friday, Saturday, Sunday, or all three. One mail, no app.
The NWS hourly forecast reaches about 6.5 days, which stops short of the end of this window. Wind, temperature and sky for Sunday come from Open-Meteo alone, with no second model to check them against. Treat the last of the week as a trend, not a plan.
Wind is cross-checked against two independent models: the NWS gridpoint forecast for this spot, and Open-Meteo running gfs_seamless at 29.300776, -94.78618. Across the overlapping mornings the two agree to within 2.5 kt on average (worst 3.8 kt). Where they diverge, treat that day's wind as less certain.
Water clarity is inferred from measured 48-hour buoy wind history and forecast wind vectors. It is not visually confirmed - local webcams are video streams and cannot be read automatically. Check a cam before you load the truck.