SpeckCast

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Freeport Jetties, TX

28.9303° N, 95.3059° W 87.6°F water Model-written

Freeport Entrance Jetty tide station · Deep jettied entrance with direct Gulf exchange - the biggest tide range of these spots, and green water shows here first when the wind turns onshore.

The 48-hour setup

The last 48 hours have averaged SSE at 155 degrees and 6.8 knots, with the last 24 tightening up to SE at 134 degrees and 7.2 knots. That is the exact direction that stacks clean Gulf water into the pass, and it has been soft enough that nothing got churned off the bottom - top gust in two days was only 23.3. Pressure is sitting fat at 1015.6, the coastal station is reading 1013.7, and the water at the beach is 87.6 degrees. Right now it has swung ENE at 70 degrees, 7.8 gusting 11.7, which is neutral. The throat should be carrying green water in on every flood.

  • Buoy 42035: 48-hour vector-mean wind SSE (155 deg) at 3.6 kt; 24-hour mean SE at 3 kt. Peak gust in the last 48 hours: 23.3 kt.
  • FPST2 latest: E at 7 kt, gusting 8.9 kt. Pressure 1013.7 hPa. Water temp 87.6 F.

The bottom line

Saturday, September 5 is the day. Fish 6:45 to 9:30 AM with the moon-overhead major running straight through sunrise on a 2.25 foot fall out of the 1:13 AM high. Friday morning is nearly identical if you can get off work, and Tuesday through Thursday are all fishable early - just do not expect much once the sun gets high on 87 degree water.

Best day SATURDAY September 5 PERFECT DAY 95 6:45 - 9:30 AM

The week

-0.22 ft – 2.05 ft · 7 days

Day by day

TUESDAY

September 1 · Day 1 of 7

WORTH A TRIP 80/100

Best window 6:30 - 10:00 AM

Sandy Green sandy green in the throat, stained on the bay side

Lure 78 Bait 81

Either

Nothing separates them today (lure 78, bait 81) - fish whichever you enjoy more.

Cork or free-line, no problem

Tide (ft) & Wind (kt) by hour 1.37 ft · strong · peak 0.17 ft/hr
Hourly tide for Tuesday, September 1 Low 1:54 AM - 1.08 ft | High 5:37 AM - 1.24 ft | Low 12:25 PM - 0.29 ft | High 8:40 PM - 1.66 ft. 11 of 24 hours score as fishable. Best window 6:30 - 10:00 AM. L 1.08 1:54 AM H 1.24 5:37 AM L 0.29 12:25 PM H 1.66 8:40 PM 12a 6a 12p 6p
Wind dir

SE

S

W

NW

NW

NW

NW

W

S

S

S

S
Wind kt
444449999999
Tide ft
1.11.11.21.21.00.50.30.40.81.41.61.6

prime good fair slow

Hourly tide and fishing score for Tuesday, September 1
HourTide (ft)ScoreFishable
12 AM 1.15 42 No
1 AM 1.1 37 No
2 AM 1.08 39 No
3 AM 1.11 44 Yes
4 AM 1.17 44 Yes
5 AM 1.23 66 Yes
6 AM 1.24 76 Yes
7 AM 1.15 87 Yes
8 AM 0.98 90 Yes
9 AM 0.75 75 No
10 AM 0.54 73 Yes
11 AM 0.38 63 Yes
12 PM 0.3 47 No
1 PM 0.31 57 No
2 PM 0.4 68 No
3 PM 0.57 88 Yes
4 PM 0.81 95 Yes
5 PM 1.09 93 Yes
6 PM 1.35 76 No
7 PM 1.55 64 No
8 PM 1.64 54 No
9 PM 1.66 41 No
10 PM 1.62 44 No
11 PM 1.55 44 No
  • Clarity 63
  • Tide 92
  • Wind 82
  • Solunar 71
Tide
Low 1:54 AM (1.08) -> High 5:37 AM (1.24) -> Low 12:25 PM (0.29) -> High 8:40 PM (1.66)
Range
1.37 ft · strong · peak 0.17 ft/hr
Wind
SE ~9 kt -> **S 9 kt** late48-hr mean SSE 3.6 kt · veering to SE
Pressure
29.99 inHg, falling
Sky
Partly Cloudy · 88°F · 62% rain
Moon
Waning Gibbous 78%
Sun
6:59 AM → 7:43 PM

Best lure windows · score /100

  • 3:27 AM - 5:27 AM 40 Major - moon overhead, on max tidal flow
  • 5:37 AM - 8:07 AM 100 First of the outgoing off the 5:37 AM high
  • 10:51 AM - 11:51 AM 72 Minor - moonset, on max tidal flow
  • 3:52 PM - 5:52 PM 92 Major - moon underfoot, on max tidal flow
Why this rating

Forty-eight hours of SSE has the pass in decent shape and the NW shift behind Tuesday's storms only carries 4 to 9 knots - nowhere near enough push to blow this bay out. You get one uninterrupted fall from the 5:37 AM high all the way down to the 12:25 PM low, so the water is moving at first light. Lures are workable in that light wind, but a 40 to 50 percent storm chance and 87 degree water keep it EITHER rather than a clean lure day. Get in early and watch the radar.

Speckled trout tactic

Start on top in the low light with a bone Super Spook Jr walked slow along the bar edges while the fall is still pulling hard. When the sun burns through, drop to a 1/4 oz jighead with a Down South Super Model in Chicken on a Chain or a Bass Assassin Sea Shad in plum/chartreuse - the stain wants some color. Fish the down-current side of the guts and let it sweep. Do not go lighter on the head and fight the current.

Live bait tactic

Live shrimp under a popping cork on a 24 inch leader over the sand-to-grass transition on the bay side, where the stain is worst and scent earns its keep. Once the sun is up and the fish slide off, free-line a live croaker on a 1/0 kahle down the deeper edge of the guts. Bring extra shrimp - the storms will move you around.

Water clarity read

The SSE 155-degree mean over two days built the green water, and 4 to 9 knots of NW is too weak to undo it in one morning. The Gulf side of the throat will be the cleanest water you can reach; back toward the bay it goes noticeably dirtier after the overnight rain.

Reds & flounder

Redfish will push the shorelines on the falling water; a gold spoon or a cut mullet chunk on a fish-finder rig at the drain mouths gets bit. Flounder are stacking on those same drains this time of year.

WEDNESDAY

September 2 · Day 2 of 7

PERFECT DAY 83/100

Best window 6:30 - 10:00 AM

Sandy Green green through the throat, sandy where the current rips

Lure 83 Bait 82

Either

Nothing separates them today (lure 83, bait 82) - fish whichever you enjoy more.

Cork or free-line, no problem

Tide (ft) & Wind (kt) by hour 1.7 ft · strong · peak 0.18 ft/hr
Hourly tide for Wednesday, September 2 Low 1:19 PM - 0.1 ft | High 10:40 PM - 1.8 ft. 11 of 24 hours score as fishable. Best window 6:30 - 10:00 AM. L 0.1 1:19 PM H 1.8 10:40 PM 12a 6a 12p 6p
Wind dir

S

S

S

SW

SW

SW

S

S

S

S

S

S
Wind kt
999994999999
Tide ft
1.51.31.31.31.00.60.20.10.51.01.61.8

prime good fair slow

Hourly tide and fishing score for Wednesday, September 2
HourTide (ft)ScoreFishable
12 AM 1.47 44 No
1 AM 1.4 43 No
2 AM 1.33 41 No
3 AM 1.28 37 No
4 AM 1.27 33 Yes
5 AM 1.27 34 Yes
6 AM 1.26 57 Yes
7 AM 1.19 69 No
8 AM 1.04 77 No
9 AM 0.82 76 No
10 AM 0.57 74 No
11 AM 0.34 67 Yes
12 PM 0.18 58 Yes
1 PM 0.1 55 Yes
2 PM 0.12 67 Yes
3 PM 0.24 77 Yes
4 PM 0.45 93 Yes
5 PM 0.73 96 Yes
6 PM 1.04 98 Yes
7 PM 1.33 78 No
8 PM 1.56 69 No
9 PM 1.72 44 No
10 PM 1.79 37 No
11 PM 1.8 37 No
  • Clarity 80
  • Tide 89
  • Wind 82
  • Solunar 78
Tide
Low 1:19 PM (0.1) -> High 10:40 PM (1.8)
Range
1.7 ft · strong · peak 0.18 ft/hr
Wind
SW 4-9 kt48-hr mean SSE 3.6 kt · veering to SE
Pressure
29.99 inHg, falling
Sky
Partly Cloudy · 89°F · 42% rain
Moon
Waning Gibbous 68%
Sun
7:00 AM → 7:42 PM

Best lure windows · score /100

  • 4:19 AM - 6:19 AM 18 Major - moon overhead
  • 11:57 AM - 12:57 PM 50 Minor - moonset
  • 1:19 PM - 3:49 PM 72 First of the incoming off the 1:19 PM low
  • 4:44 PM - 6:44 PM 102 Major - moon underfoot, on max tidal flow
Why this rating

Wind never tops 10 knots, swinging SW early then back S, and 4 to 9 knots of SW cannot dirty this pass - the two days of SSE underneath it still own the water. Better still, there is one long unbroken fall from the overnight high all the way to the 1:19 PM low, so the current works the entire morning instead of dying at nine. The 4:19 to 6:19 AM major runs right up to sunrise. Lures and bait both score in the low 80s, so EITHER is the honest call, with lures getting the nod until the water heats up.

Speckled trout tactic

Topwater at first light - a chrome/black MirrOlure She Dog or a bone Spook Jr walked across the bar edges while the fall is ripping. Once the sun is on the water, go subsurface with a MirrOdine XL in Texas Roach or a Lil John on a 1/8 oz head fished slow along the drop. Sandy green wants translucent and natural, not loud.

Live bait tactic

Live shrimp under a rattling cork drifted with the falling tide along the bars, letting it swing into the deeper cuts. After about nine, switch to a live croaker free-lined with one small split shot and put it in the guts - 87 degree water turns the better trout to croaker fast.

Water clarity read

Light southerly flow keeps clean water coming in on every flood, and the light SW does not have the speed to reverse it. The bay side still carries color from Tuesday's runoff, so work from the Gulf side of the throat outward.

Reds & flounder

Redfish will work the bars all morning on that long fall - a live mullet under a cork will find them. Flounder sit on the drain mouths; slow-drag on the last of the fall.

THURSDAY

September 3 · Day 3 of 7

WORTH A TRIP 70/100

Best window 6:00 - 8:30 AM

Clear Green clear green in the throat, light sand along the bar

Lure 73 Bait 66

Either

Nothing separates them today (lure 73, bait 66) - fish whichever you enjoy more.

Cork or free-line, no problem

Tide (ft) & Wind (kt) by hour 0 ft · weak
Hourly tide for Thursday, September 3 Low 2:18 PM - -0.05 ft. 10 of 24 hours score as fishable. Best window 6:00 - 8:30 AM. L -0.05 2:18 PM 12a 6a 12p 6p
Wind dir

S

S

S

S

S

S

S

S

S

SE

SE

SE
Wind kt
999944999999
Tide ft
1.81.61.41.41.10.70.2-0.10.10.61.31.8

prime good fair slow

Hourly tide and fishing score for Thursday, September 3
HourTide (ft)ScoreFishable
12 AM 1.76 43 No
1 AM 1.7 45 No
2 AM 1.61 45 No
3 AM 1.52 43 No
4 AM 1.45 41 No
5 AM 1.4 38 Yes
6 AM 1.35 57 Yes
7 AM 1.27 62 Yes
8 AM 1.15 72 No
9 AM 0.96 74 No
10 AM 0.72 76 No
11 AM 0.46 71 No
12 PM 0.22 65 No
1 PM 0.04 58 Yes
2 PM -0.05 56 Yes
3 PM -0.03 67 Yes
4 PM 0.1 79 Yes
5 PM 0.33 92 Yes
6 PM 0.62 100 Yes
7 PM 0.95 100 Yes
8 PM 1.28 82 No
9 PM 1.57 58 No
10 PM 1.78 49 No
11 PM 1.91 49 No
  • Clarity 90
  • Tide 40
  • Wind 82
  • Solunar 89
Tide
Low 2:18 PM (-0.05)
Range
0 ft · weak
Wind
S ~9 kt -> **SE 9 kt** late48-hr mean SSE 3.6 kt · veering to SE
Pressure
29.99 inHg, falling
Sky
Partly Cloudy · 88°F · 24% rain
Moon
Waning Gibbous 57%
Sun
7:00 AM → 7:40 PM

Best lure windows · score /100

  • 5:16 AM - 7:16 AM 18 Major - moon overhead
  • 1:05 PM - 2:05 PM 50 Minor - moonset
  • 2:18 PM - 4:48 PM 72 First of the incoming off the 2:18 PM low
  • 5:41 PM - 7:41 PM 117 Major - moon underfoot, on max tidal flow
Why this rating

Cleanest water of the stretch so far - three days of S and SE under 10 knots has the pass looking right. The problem is the tide. One lonely low at 2:18 PM with nothing else on the board means a long, lazy drain with very little push behind it, and slack-feeling water at this pass is what kills trips. What saves the morning is the 5:16 to 7:16 AM major landing straight on sunrise. Be there for it and be gone by nine. Lures and bait score close enough to call it EITHER.

Speckled trout tactic

Clear water and a weak tide means finesse. Walk a bone or okie shad Spook Jr at gray light, then go to a Down South Super Model in Opening Night or a Lil John in Opening Night on a 1/8 oz head - lighter head, slower fall, longer casts. Do not overwork it. If they short-strike, drop to 15 lb fluoro leader.

Live bait tactic

Free-lined live shrimp with no weight along the bar drop is the play in clear, slow water - a cork makes too much racket. As the sun climbs, put a live croaker on the bottom in the deepest cut you can safely reach from shore and leave it there.

Water clarity read

Sustained S flow at 4 to 9 knots is the classic green-water setup and it has now had three days to work. Bay side is finally catching up and should be closer to sandy green than stained.

Reds & flounder

Redfish will be the more reliable target on a weak tide - work the shoreline sand with a live mullet or a piggy perch on a light cork. Flounder should be on the drains but expect a slow bite until water starts moving.

FRIDAY

September 4 · Day 4 of 7

PERFECT DAY 94/100

Best window 6:30 - 9:30 AM

Clear Green clear green start to finish, gulf side gin

Lure 96 Bait 92

Either

Nothing separates them today (lure 96, bait 92) - fish whichever you enjoy more.

Cork or free-line, no problem

Tide (ft) & Wind (kt) by hour 2.11 ft · strong · peak 0.14 ft/hr
Hourly tide for Friday, September 4 High 12:06 AM - 1.95 ft | Low 3:22 PM - -0.16 ft. 12 of 24 hours score as fishable. Best window 6:30 - 9:30 AM. H 1.95 12:06 AM L -0.16 3:22 PM 12a 6a 12p 6p
Wind dir

S

S

S

S

S

SE

SE

SE

SE

SE

SE

SE
Wind kt
994444999999
Tide ft
1.91.91.71.51.30.90.4-0.1-0.10.20.81.6

prime good fair slow

Hourly tide and fishing score for Friday, September 4
HourTide (ft)ScoreFishable
12 AM 1.95 32 Yes
1 AM 1.93 37 Yes
2 AM 1.86 39 Yes
3 AM 1.77 45 No
4 AM 1.68 45 No
5 AM 1.58 44 No
6 AM 1.49 73 Yes
7 AM 1.4 74 Yes
8 AM 1.29 78 Yes
9 AM 1.15 67 No
10 AM 0.95 72 No
11 AM 0.7 73 No
12 PM 0.42 71 No
1 PM 0.15 65 No
2 PM -0.05 55 No
3 PM -0.15 55 Yes
4 PM -0.14 67 Yes
5 PM -0.01 76 Yes
6 PM 0.21 93 Yes
7 PM 0.5 98 Yes
8 PM 0.85 100 Yes
9 PM 1.22 68 No
10 PM 1.56 60 No
11 PM 1.82 60 No
  • Clarity 90
  • Tide 100
  • Wind 100
  • Solunar 94
Tide
High 12:06 AM (1.95) -> Low 3:22 PM (-0.16)
Range
2.11 ft · strong · peak 0.14 ft/hr
Wind
S ~4 kt -> **SE 9 kt** late48-hr mean SSE 3.6 kt · veering to SE
Pressure
29.99 inHg, falling
Sky
Partly Cloudy · 88°F · 20% rain
Moon
Waning Crescent 46%
Sun
7:01 AM → 7:39 PM

Best lure windows · score /100

  • 12:06 AM - 2:36 AM 8 First of the outgoing off the 12:06 AM high
  • 6:16 AM - 8:16 AM 95 Major - moon overhead
  • 3:22 PM - 5:52 PM 72 First of the incoming off the 3:22 PM low
  • 6:41 PM - 8:41 PM 117 Major - moon underfoot, on max tidal flow
Why this rating

Everything lines up. Four days of S and SE at under 10 knots has the water green, and the tide gives you a 2.11 foot drain from the 12:06 AM high all the way to the 3:22 PM low - hard, uninterrupted current for the whole fishable window. The 6:16 to 8:16 AM moon-overhead major sits right on the 7:01 sunrise. Wind is 5 mph at daylight, which is topwater weather. Both methods score in the nineties so it is EITHER, but with water this clean and air this calm, lures are the more fun way to do it.

Speckled trout tactic

This is the morning to throw topwater and mean it. Bone or chrome/black Super Spook Jr along the bar edges at first light, walked with a steady cadence through the whole major. When the blowups stop, drop to a Down South Super Model in Chicken on a Chain on a 1/8 oz head, or a MirrOdine XL twitched over the drop. Clean water, natural colors, long casts.

Live bait tactic

Live shrimp under a popping cork drifted with the hard fall along the bar, working the down-current side of every gut. By mid-morning the bigger fish drop deep in that 87 degree water - free-line a live croaker on a 1/0 kahle into the edge of the deeper cuts and hold on.

Water clarity read

Steady southerly flow has now pushed clean Gulf water in over four straight days with nothing to undo it. Even the bay side should be trout-green by Friday morning.

Reds & flounder

Redfish will be all over the falling water on the bars - gold spoon or a live finger mullet on a light cork. Flounder are worth a stop on the drain mouths on the back half of the fall.

SATURDAY

September 5 · Day 5 of 7

PERFECT DAY 95/100

Best window 6:45 - 9:30 AM

Clear Green clear green everywhere, best water of the week

Lure 97 Bait 93

Either

Nothing separates them today (lure 97, bait 93) - fish whichever you enjoy more.

Cork or free-line, no problem

Tide (ft) & Wind (kt) by hour 2.25 ft · strong · peak 0.15 ft/hr
Hourly tide for Saturday, September 5 High 1:13 AM - 2.04 ft | Low 4:34 PM - -0.21 ft. 12 of 24 hours score as fishable. Best window 6:45 - 9:30 AM. H 2.04 1:13 AM L -0.21 4:34 PM 12a 6a 12p 6p
Wind dir

SE

SE

S

SE

SE

E

SE

SE

SE

SE

SE

SE
Wind kt
444444499994
Tide ft
2.02.01.91.61.41.20.80.1-0.2-0.10.41.2

prime good fair slow

Hourly tide and fishing score for Saturday, September 5
HourTide (ft)ScoreFishable
12 AM 1.98 41 No
1 AM 2.04 32 Yes
2 AM 2.02 36 Yes
3 AM 1.96 38 Yes
4 AM 1.87 45 No
5 AM 1.76 45 No
6 AM 1.65 62 No
7 AM 1.54 73 Yes
8 AM 1.44 73 Yes
9 AM 1.34 72 Yes
10 AM 1.21 65 No
11 AM 1.01 69 No
12 PM 0.75 72 No
1 PM 0.44 71 No
2 PM 0.15 65 No
3 PM -0.08 56 No
4 PM -0.19 56 Yes
5 PM -0.2 64 Yes
6 PM -0.1 77 Yes
7 PM 0.1 91 Yes
8 PM 0.39 97 Yes
9 PM 0.77 84 Yes
10 PM 1.17 68 No
11 PM 1.54 68 No
  • Clarity 94
  • Tide 100
  • Wind 100
  • Solunar 94
Tide
High 1:13 AM (2.04) -> Low 4:34 PM (-0.21)
Range
2.25 ft · strong · peak 0.15 ft/hr
Wind
SE 4-9 kt48-hr mean SSE 3.6 kt · veering to SE
Pressure
29.99 inHg, falling
Sky
Mostly Clear · 88°F · 28% rain
Moon
Waning Crescent 34%
Sun
7:01 AM → 7:38 PM

Best lure windows · score /100

  • 1:13 AM - 3:43 AM 8 First of the outgoing off the 1:13 AM high
  • 7:19 AM - 9:19 AM 95 Major - moon overhead
  • 4:34 PM - 7:04 PM 72 First of the incoming off the 4:34 PM low
  • 7:44 PM - 9:44 PM 117 Major - moon underfoot, on max tidal flow
Why this rating

Best day on the sheet. SE at 4 to 9 knots is the money direction for this pass and it has been building green water for the better part of a week. The tide is the strongest of the stretch - a 2.25 foot fall from the 2.04 ft high at 1:13 AM down to a minus low at 4:34 PM, so the current never quits. The 7:19 to 9:19 AM major overlaps sunrise and the peak of that fall. Clean water and calm air make lures a joy here, though bait scores 93 too, so EITHER is fair.

Speckled trout tactic

Topwater until they quit eating it - bone Spook Jr or a She Dog in chrome/black worked along the sandbar edges right through the 7:19 major. Follow with a Down South Super Model in Opening Night or a Bass Assassin Sea Shad in Texas Roach on a 1/8 to 1/4 oz head, fished on the down-current side of the guts. Clean water means natural and translucent, and keep a 20 lb fluoro leader on for the bigger fish.

Live bait tactic

Live shrimp under a popping cork drifted with the fall along the bar is going to be hard to beat early. Once the sun gets high on 87 degree water, free-line a live croaker into the deeper edges - that is what puts a heavy trout on the sand this time of year.

Water clarity read

SE flow at 4 to 9 knots on top of a week of southerly wind is exactly the pattern that turns this pass green from the throat to the back side. There should be no meaningful difference between Gulf and bay water on Saturday.

Reds & flounder

Redfish will be running the bars hard on that big fall - live mullet on a cork or a gold spoon. Flounder are on the drain mouths and should be thick with the tide dropping to a minus low.

SUNDAY

September 6 · Day 6 of 7

PERFECT DAY 88/100

Best window 7:00 - 10:30 AM

Sandy Green green in the throat, a shade of color creeping in from the bay

Lure 89 Bait 87

Either

Nothing separates them today (lure 89, bait 87) - fish whichever you enjoy more.

Cork or free-line, no problem

Tide (ft) & Wind (kt) by hour 2.27 ft · strong · peak 0.15 ft/hr
Hourly tide for Sunday, September 6 High 2:15 AM - 2.05 ft | Low 5:53 PM - -0.22 ft. 10 of 24 hours score as fishable. Best window 7:00 - 10:30 AM. H 2.05 2:15 AM L -0.22 5:53 PM 12a 6a 12p 6p
Wind dir

S

S

S

W

N

NE

E

E

SE

SE

SE

SE
Wind kt
444444499994
Tide ft
1.82.02.01.81.61.41.10.5-0.0-0.20.00.7

prime good fair slow

Hourly tide and fishing score for Sunday, September 6
HourTide (ft)ScoreFishable
12 AM 1.83 49 No
1 AM 1.99 40 No
2 AM 2.05 37 No
3 AM 2.04 40 No
4 AM 1.98 43 No
5 AM 1.89 45 No
6 AM 1.77 62 No
7 AM 1.66 60 No
8 AM 1.55 70 Yes
9 AM 1.48 66 Yes
10 AM 1.41 69 Yes
11 AM 1.3 61 No
12 PM 1.12 69 No
1 PM 0.84 73 No
2 PM 0.52 72 No
3 PM 0.21 66 No
4 PM -0.04 70 Yes
5 PM -0.18 63 Yes
6 PM -0.22 69 Yes
7 PM -0.15 78 Yes
8 PM 0.03 88 Yes
9 PM 0.33 69 Yes
10 PM 0.73 72 Yes
11 PM 1.15 71 No
  • Clarity 77
  • Tide 100
  • Wind 100
  • Solunar 73
Tide
High 2:15 AM (2.05) -> Low 5:53 PM (-0.22)
Range
2.27 ft · strong · peak 0.15 ft/hr
Wind
NE 4-9 kt48-hr mean SSE 3.6 kt · veering to SE
Pressure
29.99 inHg, falling
Sky
Mostly Clear · 88°F · 25% rain
Moon
Waning Crescent 24%
Sun
7:02 AM → 7:37 PM

Best lure windows · score /100

  • 8:22 AM - 10:22 AM 95 Major - moon overhead
  • 4:10 PM - 5:10 PM 82 Minor - moonset, on max tidal flow
  • 5:53 PM - 8:23 PM 90 First of the incoming off the 5:53 PM low
  • 8:47 PM - 10:47 PM 40 Major - moon underfoot, on max tidal flow
Why this rating

The tide is still perfect - a 2.05 ft high at 2:15 AM draining to a minus low at 5:53 PM, all day of moving water - and the wind stays under 10 knots. The only knock is the direction: it clocks W then N then NE through the morning before coming back SE. At 4 to 9 knots that is a nuisance, not a blowout, but it will put a touch of color back on the bay side. The 8:22 to 10:22 AM major is late enough that you can sleep in a little. Both methods still score high, so EITHER.

Speckled trout tactic

Start on top with a bone Spook Jr while the light is low, then switch to a Down South Super Model in Chicken on a Chain or a Lil John in plum/chartreuse on a 1/4 oz head as the major comes in at 8:22. The slight color coming off the bay means bump the contrast up a notch from Saturday. Work the drop-offs on the down-current side.

Live bait tactic

Live shrimp under a popping cork drifted with the fall - the light color from the north wind is exactly when a cork and scent out-earn a jig. Live croaker free-lined into the deeper guts after nine for the better fish in that hot water.

Water clarity read

A week of southerly wind has the Gulf side clean and a 4 to 9 knot N/NE swing is not enough to wreck it. Expect the throat to hold green water while the bay side loses a little clarity through the morning.

Reds & flounder

Redfish should be strong on a fall this size - live mullet or a cut piece on the bottom near the drain mouths. Flounder on the same water as the tide bottoms out late.

MONDAY

September 7 · Day 7 of 7

PERFECT DAY 84/100

Best window 7:00 - 10:00 AM

Sandy Green sandy green in the throat, dropping off toward the bay

Lure 84 Bait 84

Either

Nothing separates them today (lure 84, bait 84) - fish whichever you enjoy more.

Cork or free-line, no problem

Tide (ft) & Wind (kt) by hour 2.17 ft · strong · peak 0.14 ft/hr
Hourly tide for Monday, September 7 High 3:08 AM - 1.99 ft | Low 7:07 PM - -0.18 ft. 10 of 24 hours score as fishable. Best window 7:00 - 10:00 AM. H 1.99 3:08 AM L -0.18 7:07 PM 12a 6a 12p 6p
Wind dir

S

S

SW

W

WNW

WSW

SSE

SE

SSE

S

S

SSW
Wind kt
445343588778
Tide ft
1.51.92.01.81.61.51.41.00.3-0.1-0.10.4

prime good fair slow

Hourly tide and fishing score for Monday, September 7
HourTide (ft)ScoreFishable
12 AM 1.53 59 No
1 AM 1.8 49 No
2 AM 1.95 40 No
3 AM 1.99 37 No
4 AM 1.97 41 No
5 AM 1.91 44 No
6 AM 1.81 62 No
7 AM 1.7 61 No
8 AM 1.6 57 No
9 AM 1.54 59 Yes
10 AM 1.51 59 Yes
11 AM 1.49 62 Yes
12 PM 1.41 62 No
1 PM 1.24 70 No
2 PM 0.96 75 No
3 PM 0.63 74 No
4 PM 0.31 80 Yes
5 PM 0.06 73 Yes
6 PM -0.11 58 No
7 PM -0.18 67 Yes
8 PM -0.13 79 Yes
9 PM 0.05 74 Yes
10 PM 0.36 72 Yes
11 PM 0.76 72 Yes
  • Clarity 64
  • Tide 100
  • Wind 100
  • Solunar 64
Tide
High 3:08 AM (1.99) -> Low 7:07 PM (-0.18)
Range
2.17 ft · strong · peak 0.14 ft/hr
Wind
S ~4 kt -> **SSW 9 kt** late48-hr mean SSE 3.6 kt · veering to SE
Pressure
29.99 inHg, falling
Sky
Partly Cloudy · 95°F
Moon
Waning Crescent 15%
Sun
7:02 AM → 7:36 PM

Best lure windows · score /100

  • 9:22 AM - 11:22 AM 80 Major - moon overhead
  • 4:58 PM - 5:58 PM 82 Minor - moonset, on max tidal flow
  • 7:07 PM - 9:37 PM 90 First of the incoming off the 7:07 PM low
  • 9:47 PM - 11:47 PM 40 Major - moon underfoot, on max tidal flow
Why this rating

The tide is still doing all the work - 1.99 ft at 3:08 AM draining to a minus low at 7:07 PM, moving water all day with wind at 3 to 5 mph in the morning. The catch is the direction and the heat: it starts W and WNW before turning SE in the afternoon, and it is forecast to hit 94 to 95 by midday. Light W will put a little stain back on the bay side, and 87-plus water shuts the artificial bite down hard by mid-morning. Fish it early. EITHER is right, but bait is the better bet once the sun is up.

Speckled trout tactic

Get your topwater bites in the first hour - a bone Spook Jr on the bar edges before the sun is up. After that, go to a Down South Super Model in morning glory or a Bass Assassin Sea Shad in plum/chartreuse on a 3/8 oz head and fish it deep and slow along the drop, because the fish are going to be down. Once it hits 90 degrees, do not waste your morning grinding shallow water.

Live bait tactic

Live croaker is the call on a 95 degree day - free-line it on a 1/0 kahle with one split shot and put it in the deepest cut you can safely fish. Live shrimp under a cork will still work the first two hours on the bar, but it fades fast once the heat comes on.

Water clarity read

A light W and WNW morning wind is the wrong direction for this system, but at 3 to 5 mph it can only take the edge off - the throat should still show sandy green off the week of southerly flow. The bay side is where you will see the difference.

Reds & flounder

Redfish will keep eating in the heat better than trout - live mullet on the bottom at the drain mouths on the long fall. Flounder should be good late in the afternoon as it drains to a minus low.

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What this forecast cannot tell you (3)
  • The NWS hourly forecast reaches about 6.5 days, which stops short of the end of this window. Wind, temperature and sky for Monday come from Open-Meteo alone, with no second model to check them against. Treat the last of the week as a trend, not a plan.
  • Wind is cross-checked against two independent models: the NWS gridpoint forecast for this spot, and Open-Meteo running gfs_seamless at 28.9401, -95.31561. Across the overlapping mornings the two agree to within 1.6 kt on average (worst 4.1 kt). Where they diverge, treat that day's wind as less certain.
  • Water clarity is inferred from measured 48-hour buoy wind history and forecast wind vectors. It is not visually confirmed - local webcams are video streams and cannot be read automatically. Check a cam before you load the truck.
Data sources (6)
Compare this forecast (1)
Earlier runs (4)

Issued Monday, August 31, 2026 at 3:40 PM CT