SpeckCast

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Freeport Jetties, TX

28.9303° N, 95.3059° W 87.1°F water Model-written

Freeport Entrance Jetty tide station · Deep jettied entrance with direct Gulf exchange - the biggest tide range of these spots, and green water shows here first when the wind turns onshore.

The 48-hour setup

Buoy 42035 has been on the right side of the compass. The 48-hour mean is SSE at 148 degrees, 7.3 kt (9.6 kt scalar) with a top gust of 17.5, and the last 24 hours settled to SE at 128 degrees, 5.8 kt. That is exactly the direction and exactly the speed that stacks clean Gulf water into San Luis Pass without churning the bay bottom - long, steady, onshore, never hard enough to muddy anything. Pressure is flat and high at 1014.9 hPa, and the beachfront station is showing a soft N at 9.9 kt gusting 14 that is too light and too short-lived to hurt. Water is 87.1F, which is the one number working against you.

  • Buoy 42035: 48-hour vector-mean wind SSE (148 deg) at 7.3 kt; 24-hour mean SE at 5.8 kt. Peak gust in the last 48 hours: 17.5 kt.
  • FPST2 latest: N at 9.9 kt, gusting 14 kt. Pressure 1013.5 hPa. Water temp 87.1 F.

The bottom line

Tuesday, September 8 is the day - be standing on the bar by 6:45 AM and fish the fall into the 9:30 AM low. Wednesday morning is nearly identical if Tuesday is not an option. The back half of the week goes soft on tide and hot on air temp, so front-load your trips.

Best day TUESDAY September 8 PERFECT DAY 92 6:45 - 9:30 AM

The week

-0.22 ft – 2.05 ft · 7 days

Day by day

SATURDAY

September 5 · Day 1 of 7

WORTH A TRIP 90/100

Best window 6:30 - 9:30 AM

Sandy Green sandy green in the throat, stained on the bay side

Lure 89 Bait 91

Either

Nothing separates them today (lure 89, bait 91) - fish whichever you enjoy more.

Cork or free-line, no problem

Tide (ft) & Wind (kt) by hour 2.25 ft · strong · peak 0.15 ft/hr
Hourly tide for Saturday, September 5 High 1:13 AM - 2.04 ft | Low 4:34 PM - -0.21 ft. 12 of 24 hours score as fishable. Best window 6:30 - 9:30 AM. H 2.04 1:13 AM L -0.21 4:34 PM 12a 6a 12p 6p
Wind dir

S

S

S

W

·

N

SE

SE

SE

SE

SE

SE
Wind kt
444404444444
Tide ft
2.02.01.91.61.41.20.80.1-0.2-0.10.41.2

prime good fair slow

Hourly tide and fishing score for Saturday, September 5
HourTide (ft)ScoreFishable
12 AM 1.98 41 No
1 AM 2.04 32 Yes
2 AM 2.02 36 Yes
3 AM 1.96 38 Yes
4 AM 1.87 45 No
5 AM 1.76 45 No
6 AM 1.65 62 No
7 AM 1.54 73 Yes
8 AM 1.44 73 Yes
9 AM 1.34 72 Yes
10 AM 1.21 65 No
11 AM 1.01 69 No
12 PM 0.75 72 No
1 PM 0.44 71 No
2 PM 0.15 65 No
3 PM -0.08 56 No
4 PM -0.19 56 Yes
5 PM -0.2 64 Yes
6 PM -0.1 77 Yes
7 PM 0.1 91 Yes
8 PM 0.39 97 Yes
9 PM 0.77 84 Yes
10 PM 1.17 68 No
11 PM 1.54 68 No
  • Clarity 67
  • Tide 100
  • Wind 100
  • Solunar 94
Tide
High 1:13 AM (2.04) -> Low 4:34 PM (-0.21)
Range
2.25 ft · strong · peak 0.15 ft/hr
Wind
N 0-9 kt48-hr mean SSE 7.3 kt · veering to SE
Pressure
29.97 inHg, steady
Sky
Partly Cloudy · 87°F · 46% rain
Moon
Waning Crescent 34%
Sun
7:01 AM → 7:38 PM

Best lure windows · score /100

  • 1:13 AM - 3:43 AM 8 First of the outgoing off the 1:13 AM high
  • 7:19 AM - 9:19 AM 95 Major - moon overhead
  • 4:34 PM - 7:04 PM 72 First of the incoming off the 4:34 PM low
  • 7:44 PM - 9:44 PM 117 Major - moon underfoot, on max tidal flow
Why this rating

Two days of SSE at 7.3 kt has the pass in decent shape, but this is the least clean day of the stretch - a light W and N shift overnight and through mid-morning puts a little dirt back in the bay side. Tide is the redeeming feature: a 2.04 ft high at 1:13 AM falls uninterrupted all the way to a -0.21 ft low at 4:34 PM, so you have moving water from before daylight straight through the afternoon. Wind is nothing, 0-9 kt, so lures are completely workable and bait is just as good - hence the EITHER call. Storm chances run 33-46 percent, so watch the sky.

Speckled trout tactic

Start at gray light with a bone Super Spook Jr walked slow over the sandbars while the tide is pulling. When the sun gets up, drop to a 1/8 oz jighead and a Down South Super Model in Chicken on a Chain, cast up-current and swim it just off the bottom on the bar drop. If it stays cloudy, a chrome/black MirrOlure She Dog will keep the blowups coming past 9 AM.

Live bait tactic

Live shrimp under a popping cork worked along the sand bars on the falling water. Water is 87.1F, so by mid-morning switch to a live croaker free-lined on a 3/0 kahle with a 1/4 oz slip weight and put it on the deeper edge of the drop - the trout go down and sulky in that heat and croaker will out-fish anything else.

Water clarity read

The 48-hour SSE mean has the Gulf side sandy green and fishable. The overnight W and mid-morning N puff will leave the back-bay shorelines a shade dirtier than the pass itself.

Reds & flounder

Redfish will be cruising the shallow sand on the last of the light. Flounder are starting to stage on the drains that dump into the pass - drag a live mud minnow or a 1/4 oz jighead slow through them on the falling water.

SUNDAY

September 6 · Day 2 of 7

WORTH A TRIP 87/100

Best window 7:00 - 10:30 AM

Sandy Green green streaks in the surf, off-color behind the bar

Lure 87 Bait 86

Either

Nothing separates them today (lure 87, bait 86) - fish whichever you enjoy more.

Cork or free-line, no problem

Tide (ft) & Wind (kt) by hour 2.27 ft · strong · peak 0.15 ft/hr
Hourly tide for Sunday, September 6 High 2:15 AM - 2.05 ft | Low 5:53 PM - -0.22 ft. 10 of 24 hours score as fishable. Best window 7:00 - 10:30 AM. H 2.05 2:15 AM L -0.22 5:53 PM 12a 6a 12p 6p
Wind dir

S

S

SW

W

W

S

S

S

S

S

S

S
Wind kt
444444444444
Tide ft
1.82.02.01.81.61.41.10.5-0.0-0.20.00.7

prime good fair slow

Hourly tide and fishing score for Sunday, September 6
HourTide (ft)ScoreFishable
12 AM 1.83 49 No
1 AM 1.99 40 No
2 AM 2.05 37 No
3 AM 2.04 40 No
4 AM 1.98 43 No
5 AM 1.89 45 No
6 AM 1.77 62 No
7 AM 1.66 60 No
8 AM 1.55 70 Yes
9 AM 1.48 66 Yes
10 AM 1.41 69 Yes
11 AM 1.3 61 No
12 PM 1.12 69 No
1 PM 0.84 73 No
2 PM 0.52 72 No
3 PM 0.21 66 No
4 PM -0.04 70 Yes
5 PM -0.18 63 Yes
6 PM -0.22 69 Yes
7 PM -0.15 78 Yes
8 PM 0.03 88 Yes
9 PM 0.33 69 Yes
10 PM 0.73 72 Yes
11 PM 1.15 71 No
  • Clarity 69
  • Tide 100
  • Wind 100
  • Solunar 73
Tide
High 2:15 AM (2.05) -> Low 5:53 PM (-0.22)
Range
2.27 ft · strong · peak 0.15 ft/hr
Wind
W 4 kt48-hr mean SSE 7.3 kt · veering to SE
Pressure
29.97 inHg, steady
Sky
Chance Rain Showers · 87°F · 59% rain
Moon
Waning Crescent 24%
Sun
7:02 AM → 7:37 PM

Best lure windows · score /100

  • 8:22 AM - 10:22 AM 95 Major - moon overhead
  • 4:10 PM - 5:10 PM 82 Minor - moonset, on max tidal flow
  • 5:53 PM - 8:23 PM 90 First of the incoming off the 5:53 PM low
  • 8:47 PM - 10:47 PM 40 Major - moon underfoot, on max tidal flow
Why this rating

Still riding the SSE fetch, but a W wind hangs around from 4 AM through 8 AM and keeps the bay side off-color, which is why clarity scores lowest of the week alongside Saturday. Tide is again excellent - 2.05 ft at 2:15 AM falling all day to -0.22 ft at 5:53 PM, one long clean pull. Wind is a non-issue at 4 kt so lures are perfectly fishable and bait works just as well, which is the EITHER call. Rain odds climb to 51-59 percent through the middle of the day, so get your fishing in early.

Speckled trout tactic

Fish the major from 8:22 to 10:22 AM against the falling tide. Chrome/black MirrOlure She Dog on the clean side of the color change, then a 1/8 oz jighead with an Opening Night Lil John twitched along the seam. Where the water is dirtier, go louder and darker - plum/chartreuse Bass Assassin Sea Shad on 1/4 oz keeps a profile they can find.

Live bait tactic

Popping cork with a live shrimp on an 18 inch leader, drifted down the color change - the rattle does the work in the stained water. With 87F water, a live croaker free-lined along the deeper drop is the better play after 10 AM.

Water clarity read

The measured SSE 128 degree flow keeps clean water on the Gulf side, but the pre-dawn W wind pushes stain out of the back lakes. Expect a hard color change right at the mouth.

Reds & flounder

Redfish will sit tight on the dirty side of the color line where bait is flushing out. A finger mullet on a fish-finder rig on the sand will take both reds and the early flounder.

MONDAY

September 7 · Day 3 of 7

WORTH A TRIP 87/100

Best window 7:00 - 11:00 AM

Sandy / Salty Green sandy green through the pass, cleaner on the gulf side

Lure 89 Bait 84

Either

Nothing separates them today (lure 89, bait 84) - fish whichever you enjoy more.

Cork or free-line, no problem

Tide (ft) & Wind (kt) by hour 2.17 ft · strong · peak 0.14 ft/hr
Hourly tide for Monday, September 7 High 3:08 AM - 1.99 ft | Low 7:07 PM - -0.18 ft. 10 of 24 hours score as fishable. Best window 7:00 - 11:00 AM. H 1.99 3:08 AM L -0.18 7:07 PM 12a 6a 12p 6p
Wind dir

S

S

S

SW

SW

S

S

SE

SE

S

S

S
Wind kt
444444449999
Tide ft
1.51.92.01.81.61.51.41.00.3-0.1-0.10.4

prime good fair slow

Hourly tide and fishing score for Monday, September 7
HourTide (ft)ScoreFishable
12 AM 1.53 59 No
1 AM 1.8 49 No
2 AM 1.95 40 No
3 AM 1.99 37 No
4 AM 1.97 41 No
5 AM 1.91 44 No
6 AM 1.81 62 No
7 AM 1.7 61 No
8 AM 1.6 57 No
9 AM 1.54 59 Yes
10 AM 1.51 59 Yes
11 AM 1.49 62 Yes
12 PM 1.41 62 No
1 PM 1.24 70 No
2 PM 0.96 75 No
3 PM 0.63 74 No
4 PM 0.31 80 Yes
5 PM 0.06 73 Yes
6 PM -0.11 58 No
7 PM -0.18 67 Yes
8 PM -0.13 79 Yes
9 PM 0.05 74 Yes
10 PM 0.36 72 Yes
11 PM 0.76 72 Yes
  • Clarity 80
  • Tide 100
  • Wind 100
  • Solunar 64
Tide
High 3:08 AM (1.99) -> Low 7:07 PM (-0.18)
Range
2.17 ft · strong · peak 0.14 ft/hr
Wind
SW 4-9 kt48-hr mean SSE 7.3 kt · veering to SE
Pressure
29.97 inHg, steady
Sky
Mostly Clear · 87°F · 29% rain
Moon
Waning Crescent 15%
Sun
7:02 AM → 7:36 PM

Best lure windows · score /100

  • 9:22 AM - 11:22 AM 80 Major - moon overhead
  • 4:58 PM - 5:58 PM 82 Minor - moonset, on max tidal flow
  • 7:07 PM - 9:37 PM 90 First of the incoming off the 7:07 PM low
  • 9:47 PM - 11:47 PM 40 Major - moon underfoot, on max tidal flow
Why this rating

Water cleans up noticeably - the wind clocks back to SW then S at 4-9 kt with no north component all day, so the SSE-built green water holds. Tide is another full-day fall, 1.99 ft at 3:08 AM to -0.18 ft at 7:07 PM, uninterrupted moving water for sixteen hours. Wind is light enough that a topwater is completely controllable, and bait scores just behind, so EITHER method produces. Only knock is the solunar - the major does not stack until 9:22 AM, well past first light.

Speckled trout tactic

Topwater window from first light to about 8:30 - bone Super Spook Jr over the bars, then a Texas Roach Down South Super Model on a 1/8 oz head worked through the major at 9:22. As the sun gets high, step to 3/8 oz and slow-roll the deeper edge; a MirrOdine XL twitched along the drop will get the better fish once the topwater bite dies.

Live bait tactic

Live croaker is the call once the sun is up in this 87F water - free-line it on a 4/0 kahle or add a 1/4 oz slip weight and fish the deeper side of the bar. Early, a live shrimp under a cork over the shell will take numbers.

Water clarity read

Three straight days of southerly flow off the 148 degree mean has the pass a good sandy green. The bay side is still a half-shade darker but nothing that shuts a lure down.

Reds & flounder

Redfish push the shallow sand on the last of the fall late in the day. Flounder are on the drains - live finger mullet on a light Carolina rig, dead slow.

TUESDAY

September 8 · Day 4 of 7

PERFECT DAY 92/100

Best window 6:45 - 9:30 AM

Clear Green green water in the throat, light sandy tint bay side

Lure 94 Bait 88

Either

Nothing separates them today (lure 94, bait 88) - fish whichever you enjoy more.

Cork or free-line, no problem

Tide (ft) & Wind (kt) by hour 1.93 ft · strong · peak 0.2 ft/hr
Hourly tide for Tuesday, September 8 High 3:45 AM - 1.87 ft | Low 9:30 AM - 1.48 ft | High 11:59 AM - 1.55 ft | Low 8:09 PM - -0.06 ft. 8 of 24 hours score as fishable. Best window 6:45 - 9:30 AM. H 1.87 3:45 AM L 1.48 9:30 AM H 1.55 11:59 AM L -0.06 8:09 PM 12a 6a 12p 6p
Wind dir

S

S

S

SW

S

S

SE

SE

SE

SE

SE

SE
Wind kt
444444499999
Tide ft
1.21.71.91.71.61.51.61.40.80.2-0.10.2

prime good fair slow

Hourly tide and fishing score for Tuesday, September 8
HourTide (ft)ScoreFishable
12 AM 1.16 71 No
1 AM 1.51 59 No
2 AM 1.74 47 No
3 AM 1.85 38 No
4 AM 1.87 40 No
5 AM 1.83 44 No
6 AM 1.74 62 No
7 AM 1.64 62 No
8 AM 1.55 58 No
9 AM 1.49 49 No
10 AM 1.49 65 Yes
11 AM 1.53 62 Yes
12 PM 1.55 64 Yes
1 PM 1.51 62 No
2 PM 1.35 72 No
3 PM 1.09 78 No
4 PM 0.77 80 No
5 PM 0.46 88 Yes
6 PM 0.2 83 Yes
7 PM 0.01 60 No
8 PM -0.06 68 Yes
9 PM -0.02 65 Yes
10 PM 0.17 77 Yes
11 PM 0.47 66 No
  • Clarity 91
  • Tide 100
  • Wind 100
  • Solunar 78
Tide
High 3:45 AM (1.87) -> Low 9:30 AM (1.48) -> High 11:59 AM (1.55) -> Low 8:09 PM (-0.06)
Range
1.93 ft · strong · peak 0.2 ft/hr
Wind
S ~4 kt -> **SE 9 kt** late48-hr mean SSE 7.3 kt · veering to SE
Pressure
29.97 inHg, steady
Sky
Mostly Clear · 87°F · 27% rain
Moon
Waning Crescent 8%
Sun
7:03 AM → 7:34 PM

Best lure windows · score /100

  • 10:18 AM - 12:18 PM 102 Major - moon overhead, on max tidal flow
  • 5:39 PM - 6:39 PM 97 Minor - moonset, on max tidal flow
  • 8:09 PM - 10:39 PM 90 First of the incoming off the 8:09 PM low
  • 10:43 PM - 12:43 AM 40 Major - moon underfoot, on max tidal flow
Why this rating

This is the one. Four days of sustained S and SE off a 148 degree, 7.3 kt mean has the pass as clean as it gets this week, and the wind never leaves 4-9 kt out of the south. Tide falls from 1.87 ft at 3:45 AM to 1.48 ft at 9:30 AM, so you have water moving under low light at sunrise, then a second long pull from 11:59 AM all the way to a -0.06 ft low at 8:09 PM. Lures score their highest number of the stretch and bait is right behind - call it EITHER, but this is the day to throw plastic.

Speckled trout tactic

Be on the water before the 7:03 sunrise. Bone Super Spook Jr walked over the bar in the low light, and stay with it as long as they will eat it. Once the sun is up, a MirrOdine XL in a natural chrome pattern twitch-paused along the drop, or a 1/8 oz jighead with a morning glory Down South Super Model. Clean water means natural and translucent - do not go loud today.

Live bait tactic

Live shrimp free-lined or on a light popping cork through the first two hours of the fall. After 9:30, with the water at 87.1F, a live croaker on a free-line rig fished on the deep edge will beat any artificial badly - the trout drop down and get lazy in that heat.

Water clarity read

Sustained southerly flow with no north component in four days has clean Gulf water pushed well into the pass. Bay side carries a light sandy tint but is still clear enough to fish a translucent bait.

Reds & flounder

Best redfish day of the week too - a gold spoon or a live piggy perch under a cork on the shallow sand off the bars. Flounder will be on the drains as the long afternoon fall gets going.

WEDNESDAY

September 9 · Day 5 of 7

PERFECT DAY 91/100

Best window 6:45 - 9:30 AM

Clear Green clean green on the gulf side, sandy green in the guts

Lure 93 Bait 87

Either

Nothing separates them today (lure 93, bait 87) - fish whichever you enjoy more.

Cork or free-line, no problem

Tide (ft) & Wind (kt) by hour 1.59 ft · strong · peak 0.19 ft/hr
Hourly tide for Wednesday, September 9 High 4:07 AM - 1.72 ft | Low 9:28 AM - 1.34 ft | High 1:25 PM - 1.59 ft | Low 9:02 PM - 0.13 ft. 10 of 24 hours score as fishable. Best window 6:45 - 9:30 AM. H 1.72 4:07 AM L 1.34 9:28 AM H 1.59 1:25 PM L 0.13 9:02 PM 12a 6a 12p 6p
Wind dir

SE

S

S

S

S

SE

SE

SE

SE

SE

SE

SE
Wind kt
944444499999
Tide ft
0.81.51.71.61.41.41.51.61.20.60.20.2

prime good fair slow

Hourly tide and fishing score for Wednesday, September 9
HourTide (ft)ScoreFishable
12 AM 0.84 71 No
1 AM 1.2 63 No
2 AM 1.48 52 No
3 AM 1.66 41 No
4 AM 1.71 48 Yes
5 AM 1.69 53 Yes
6 AM 1.6 71 Yes
7 AM 1.5 61 No
8 AM 1.4 58 No
9 AM 1.35 49 No
10 AM 1.35 55 No
11 AM 1.41 67 Yes
12 PM 1.51 64 Yes
1 PM 1.58 58 Yes
2 PM 1.57 68 Yes
3 PM 1.45 78 Yes
4 PM 1.22 77 No
5 PM 0.92 77 No
6 PM 0.62 89 Yes
7 PM 0.37 81 Yes
8 PM 0.2 58 No
9 PM 0.13 41 No
10 PM 0.19 53 No
11 PM 0.37 53 No
  • Clarity 91
  • Tide 99
  • Wind 100
  • Solunar 75
Tide
High 4:07 AM (1.72) -> Low 9:28 AM (1.34) -> High 1:25 PM (1.59) -> Low 9:02 PM (0.13)
Range
1.59 ft · strong · peak 0.19 ft/hr
Wind
S 4-9 kt48-hr mean SSE 7.3 kt · veering to SE
Pressure
29.97 inHg, steady
Sky
Partly Cloudy · 87°F · 32% rain
Moon
Waning Crescent 3%
Sun
7:03 AM → 7:33 PM

Best lure windows · score /100

  • 4:07 AM - 6:37 AM 82 First of the outgoing off the 4:07 AM high
  • 11:09 AM - 1:09 PM 92 Major - moon overhead, on max tidal flow
  • 1:25 PM - 3:55 PM 82 First of the outgoing off the 1:25 PM high
  • 6:15 PM - 7:15 PM 97 Minor - moonset, on max tidal flow
Why this rating

Nearly a copy of Tuesday. South wind at 4-9 kt keeps the clean water in place and clarity stays at its peak, with the SE turn in the afternoon reinforcing it. Tide falls from 1.72 ft at 4:07 AM to 1.34 ft at 9:28 AM under first light, then a second fall from 1.25 PM to 0.13 ft at 9:02 PM. Slightly less tidal range than Tuesday but still plenty of pull, and light wind keeps lures completely controllable - EITHER method works, lures have the edge in this water.

Speckled trout tactic

Topwater at first light again - bone or chrome Super Spook Jr, and slow your cadence as the water clears. Follow with a Bass Assassin Sea Shad in a natural translucent pattern on a 1/8 oz head, or a Lil John in Opening Night fished on a slow drag over the shell. In clean water, longer casts and lighter leader - 20 lb fluoro is plenty.

Live bait tactic

Live shrimp under a cork on the shell early, then a free-lined live croaker on the deeper edge as the sun climbs and the 87F water pushes trout down. A live finger mullet free-lined near the bar will pick up the bigger single fish.

Water clarity read

Five days of southerly flow means the Gulf side is genuinely clean green. The guts and bay side run sandy green - still fishable with a natural colored bait.

Reds & flounder

Redfish on the shallow sand at sunrise, then off the bar edges through the afternoon fall. Flounder are worth targeting on the drains from 5 PM to dark.

THURSDAY

September 10 · Day 6 of 7

WORTH A TRIP 87/100

Best window 5:00 - 8:00 PM

Sandy / Salty Green sandy green throughout, slight stain on the back side

Lure 90 Bait 83

Either

Nothing separates them today (lure 90, bait 83) - fish whichever you enjoy more.

Cork or free-line, no problem

Tide (ft) & Wind (kt) by hour 1.23 ft · strong · peak 0.17 ft/hr
Hourly tide for Thursday, September 10 High 4:21 AM - 1.55 ft | Low 9:36 AM - 1.13 ft | High 2:48 PM - 1.62 ft | Low 9:52 PM - 0.39 ft. 8 of 24 hours score as fishable. Best window 5:00 - 8:00 PM. H 1.55 4:21 AM L 1.13 9:36 AM H 1.62 2:48 PM L 0.39 9:52 PM 12a 6a 12p 6p
Wind dir

S

S

S

S

S

S

S

SE

SE

S

S

S
Wind kt
444444499999
Tide ft
0.61.31.61.41.21.11.31.61.51.10.60.4

prime good fair slow

Hourly tide and fishing score for Thursday, September 10
HourTide (ft)ScoreFishable
12 AM 0.64 71 No
1 AM 0.96 68 No
2 AM 1.25 59 No
3 AM 1.45 46 No
4 AM 1.55 47 Yes
5 AM 1.53 55 Yes
6 AM 1.44 75 Yes
7 AM 1.32 64 No
8 AM 1.21 60 No
9 AM 1.14 49 No
10 AM 1.13 56 No
11 AM 1.2 71 Yes
12 PM 1.32 74 Yes
1 PM 1.47 70 Yes
2 PM 1.58 49 No
3 PM 1.62 55 No
4 PM 1.53 70 No
5 PM 1.34 78 No
6 PM 1.07 95 Yes
7 PM 0.8 90 Yes
8 PM 0.57 68 No
9 PM 0.43 40 No
10 PM 0.39 43 No
11 PM 0.46 43 No
  • Clarity 91
  • Tide 88
  • Wind 100
  • Solunar 75
Tide
High 4:21 AM (1.55) -> Low 9:36 AM (1.13) -> High 2:48 PM (1.62) -> Low 9:52 PM (0.39)
Range
1.23 ft · strong · peak 0.17 ft/hr
Wind
S 4-9 kt48-hr mean SSE 7.3 kt · veering to SE
Pressure
29.97 inHg, steady
Sky
Partly Cloudy · 88°F · 22% rain
Moon
New Moon 0%
Sun
7:04 AM → 7:32 PM

Best lure windows · score /100

  • 4:21 AM - 6:51 AM 82 First of the outgoing off the 4:21 AM high
  • 11:58 AM - 1:58 PM 92 Major - moon overhead, on max tidal flow
  • 6:47 PM - 7:47 PM 97 Minor - moonset, on max tidal flow
  • 11:33 PM - 1:33 AM 40 Major - moon underfoot, on max tidal flow
Why this rating

Water is still clean off the sustained southerly flow and wind is a non-factor at 4-9 kt, but the tide is going flat - a 1.55 ft high at 4:21 AM only falls to 1.13 ft by 9:36 AM, and that half-foot of range will not move enough water at daylight to be worth much. The afternoon is the real tide, 1.62 ft at 2:48 PM dropping to 0.39 ft at 9:52 PM. Lures work fine in this clarity and this breeze, bait is close behind, so EITHER - just fish the right end of the day.

Speckled trout tactic

Skip the weak morning and fish the afternoon fall. Start with a 1/4 oz jighead and a Texas Roach Down South Super Model swimming the bar drop while the current builds, then go to a bone Super Spook Jr for the last hour of light into the 7:32 sunset. New moon means dark water after sundown - a chrome/black She Dog is the loud option if they will not commit.

Live bait tactic

Live shrimp under a popping cork drifted with the afternoon fall along the bar edge. Air is 88F and water is 87F, so a live croaker fished deep is still the higher-percentage bait until the sun drops.

Water clarity read

Six days of S and SE keeps the pass sandy green top to bottom. With the tide range this weak, less clean Gulf water is exchanging in, so expect the back side to hold a little more color than earlier in the week.

Reds & flounder

Evening is prime for redfish working the bar on the outgoing. Flounder will hold in the drains from 6 PM to dark - live mud minnow on a light Carolina rig.

FRIDAY

September 11 · Day 7 of 7

DON'T BOTHER 82/100

Best window 5:30 - 8:15 PM

Sandy / Salty Green sandy green up front, warm and slick in the afternoon

Lure 84 Bait 79

Either

Nothing separates them today (lure 84, bait 79) - fish whichever you enjoy more.

Cork or free-line, no problem

Tide (ft) & Wind (kt) by hour 0.97 ft · moderate · peak 0.15 ft/hr
Hourly tide for Friday, September 11 High 4:32 AM - 1.42 ft | Low 9:54 AM - 0.89 ft | High 4:06 PM - 1.65 ft | Low 10:45 PM - 0.68 ft. 10 of 24 hours score as fishable. Best window 5:30 - 8:15 PM. H 1.42 4:32 AM L 0.89 9:54 AM H 1.65 4:06 PM L 0.68 10:45 PM 12a 6a 12p 6p
Wind dir

S

SSW

SSW

SW

WSW

SW

SSE

SSE

SSE

SSE

SSE

S
Wind kt
6764337109987
Tide ft
0.61.11.41.31.00.91.11.41.61.41.00.7

prime good fair slow

Hourly tide and fishing score for Friday, September 11
HourTide (ft)ScoreFishable
12 AM 0.61 69 Yes
1 AM 0.84 72 Yes
2 AM 1.08 66 Yes
3 AM 1.29 53 No
4 AM 1.4 36 No
5 AM 1.41 49 No
6 AM 1.31 73 No
7 AM 1.17 85 Yes
8 AM 1.02 79 Yes
9 AM 0.92 53 No
10 AM 0.89 55 No
11 AM 0.94 63 No
12 PM 1.06 82 Yes
1 PM 1.23 85 Yes
2 PM 1.42 80 Yes
3 PM 1.58 56 No
4 PM 1.65 56 No
5 PM 1.6 72 No
6 PM 1.44 85 No
7 PM 1.21 98 Yes
8 PM 0.98 90 Yes
9 PM 0.8 50 No
10 PM 0.7 38 No
11 PM 0.68 38 No
  • Clarity 80
  • Tide 76
  • Wind 100
  • Solunar 80
Tide
High 4:32 AM (1.42) -> Low 9:54 AM (0.89) -> High 4:06 PM (1.65) -> Low 10:45 PM (0.68)
Range
0.97 ft · moderate · peak 0.15 ft/hr
Wind
SW 3-10 kt48-hr mean SSE 7.3 kt · veering to SE
Pressure
29.97 inHg, steady
Sky
Clear · 93°F
Moon
New Moon 0%
Sun
7:04 AM → 7:31 PM

Best lure windows · score /100

  • 12:19 AM - 2:19 AM 40 Major - moon underfoot, on max tidal flow
  • 7:01 AM - 8:01 AM 97 Minor - moonrise, on max tidal flow
  • 12:44 PM - 2:44 PM 92 Major - moon overhead, on max tidal flow
  • 7:18 PM - 8:18 PM 97 Minor - moonset, on max tidal flow
Why this rating

Wind and clarity are fine - light SW at 3-10 kt, water still sandy green - but the tide has fallen apart. A 1.42 ft high at 4:32 AM slides to only 0.89 ft by 9:54 AM, which is barely a trickle at first light, and the afternoon rise to 1.65 ft at 4:06 PM is the strongest movement of the day. Add 92-93F air by midday over 87F water and the trout will be deep and sulky. Lures are workable and bait is workable - the problem is not method, it is that there is not enough moving water to feed them.

Speckled trout tactic

If you go anyway, only fish the evening. A 1/4 oz jighead with a Down South Super Model in morning glory worked slow on the deeper edge, then a chrome Super Spook Jr in the last thirty minutes before the 7:31 sunset. Do not waste the middle of the day - 93F air over slack water is a losing proposition.

Live bait tactic

Live croaker free-lined on the deep side of the drop is the only bait with a real chance in this heat and this weak current. A live shrimp under a cork will mostly feed hardheads today.

Water clarity read

The long southerly stretch has kept the pass sandy green, but weak tidal exchange and 3 mph mid-morning wind will leave it slick and lifeless by midday. Bay side stays a shade off.

Reds & flounder

Redfish are the better target on a day like this - a live piggy perch under a cork on the shallow sand at dusk. Flounder in the drains at last light is the other honest option.

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What this forecast cannot tell you (3)
  • The NWS hourly forecast reaches about 6.5 days, which stops short of the end of this window. Wind, temperature and sky for Friday come from Open-Meteo alone, with no second model to check them against. Treat the last of the week as a trend, not a plan.
  • Wind is cross-checked against two independent models: the NWS gridpoint forecast for this spot, and Open-Meteo running gfs_seamless at 28.9401, -95.31561. Across the overlapping mornings the two agree to within 1.1 kt on average (worst 2.2 kt). Where they diverge, treat that day's wind as less certain.
  • Water clarity is inferred from measured 48-hour buoy wind history and forecast wind vectors. It is not visually confirmed - local webcams are video streams and cannot be read automatically. Check a cam before you load the truck.
Data sources (6)
Compare this forecast (1)
Earlier runs (4)

Issued Friday, September 4, 2026 at 1:26 PM CT