San Luis Pass tide station · The pass drains all of West Bay through one narrow throat, so even a modest tide moves real water over the bars and drop-offs.
The 48-hour setup
Buoy 42035 has run southeast for two solid days: Mean48 sits at 138 deg and 6.1 kt, Mean24 at 141 deg and 4.8 kt, and the last reading was SSE at 160 deg, 5.8 kt gusting 7.8. Pressure is flat at 1013.2 hPa and the biggest gust in 48 hours was 17.5 kt, so nothing has been stirred up. SE is exactly the direction that shoves clean Gulf water into the pass, and that is what has been happening - but 6 kt is a nudge, not a shove, so expect sandy green rather than gin. LUIT2 has the water at 88.2F, and that is the number working against you: above 85 the trout sull up deep by mid-morning.
Buoy 42035: 48-hour vector-mean wind SE (138 deg) at 6.1 kt; 24-hour mean SE at 4.8 kt. Peak gust in the last 48 hours: 17.5 kt.
LUIT2 latest: S at 5.1 kt, gusting 8.9 kt. Pressure 1013.1 hPa. Water temp 88.2 F.
The bottom line
Saturday is the day. Be on the sand at 6:30 AM and fish through 9:30, with the major from 7:19 to 9:19 stacked on a tide that started falling at 3:08 AM. Sunday morning is nearly as strong on paper but 55 percent thunderstorm coverage from 8 AM will run you off; if you want a second trip, take Tuesday evening on the 12:15 PM to 8:41 PM fall.
Sandy Greensandy green in the throat, stained on the bay side
Lure89·Bait91
Either
Nothing separates them today (lure 89, bait 91) - fish whichever you enjoy more.
Cork or free-line, no problem
Tide (ft) & Wind (kt) by hour1.78 ft · strong · peak 0.13 ft/hr
Wind dir
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
→ W
↘ NW
↓ N
↖ SE
← E
↖ SE
↖ SE
↑ S
↑ S
Wind kt
9
9
4
4
4
4
4
9
9
4
4
4
Tide ft
1.5
1.7
1.7
1.6
1.4
1.3
0.9
0.4
0.0
-0.1
0.2
0.8
primegoodfairslow
Hourly tide and fishing score for Saturday, September 5
Hour
Tide (ft)
Score
Fishable
12 AM
1.47
53
No
1 AM
1.6
45
No
2 AM
1.68
39
No
3 AM
1.71
32
Yes
4 AM
1.7
36
Yes
5 AM
1.65
39
Yes
6 AM
1.58
61
No
7 AM
1.51
73
Yes
8 AM
1.44
73
Yes
9 AM
1.38
73
Yes
10 AM
1.28
67
No
11 AM
1.14
71
No
12 PM
0.94
76
No
1 PM
0.69
79
No
2 PM
0.43
76
No
3 PM
0.19
75
Yes
4 PM
0.02
66
Yes
5 PM
-0.07
50
No
6 PM
-0.05
65
No
7 PM
0.05
89
Yes
8 PM
0.24
97
Yes
9 PM
0.5
84
Yes
10 PM
0.78
69
No
11 PM
1.05
69
No
Clarity66
Tide100
Wind100
Solunar94
Tide
High 3:08 AM (1.71) -> Low 5:21 PM (-0.07)
Range
1.78 ft · strong · peak 0.13 ft/hr
Wind
N 4-9 kt48-hr mean SE 6.1 kt · no shift
Pressure
29.92 inHg, rising
Sky
Partly Cloudy · 88°F · 45% rain
Moon
Waning Crescent 34%
Sun
7:00 AM → 7:37 PM
Best lure windows · score /100
3:08 AM - 5:38 AM8First of the outgoing off the 3:08 AM high
7:19 AM - 9:19 AM117Major - moon overhead, on max tidal flow
3:15 PM - 4:15 PM72Minor - moonset, on max tidal flow
7:44 PM - 9:44 PM117Major - moon underfoot, on max tidal flow
Why this rating
Two days of SE at 138 deg and 6.1 kt has been feeding clean water in slowly, so you get sandy green rather than true Gulf clarity - good enough to throw lures with confidence. The tide is the real reason for this rating: 1.71 ft at 3:08 AM bleeding to -0.07 ft at 5:21 PM is a fourteen-hour uninterrupted fall, and the 7:19-9:19 AM major lands square on sunrise with water already ripping. Wind never tops 9 kt and the brief NW puff around 8 AM is far too light to dirty anything, so lure control is easy. Bait and artificials score within two points of each other, hence the EITHER call.
Speckled trout tactic
Start with a Super Spook Jr in bone right at grey light along the sandbar edges - flat water and a moving tide is textbook walking-bait territory. Once the sun is up, drop to a 1/8 oz jighead with a Down South Super Model in Chicken on a Chain and swim it across the drop, letting the current carry it. By 10 AM with 88 degree water, switch to a 1/4 oz head and a MirrOdine XL worked slow along the deeper lip. Natural and translucent all day - the water is clean enough that loud colors will spook them.
Live bait tactic
Live croaker free-lined on a 3/0 kahle with just a split shot, drifted along the drop-off, is the play once the sun gets high in this 88 degree water. Early, a live shrimp under a popping cork worked over the shell and sand transition on the bay side will draw them up. Keep the cork rig on the shallow side of the guts.
Water clarity read
Forty-eight hours of light SE has pushed a green wedge up through the pass, but at only 6 kt it has not reached far back into the bay. Fish the Gulf side and the throat for the cleanest water; the back sloughs will still be off-color.
Reds & flounder
Reds will be working the guts and the surf-side sand on the first half of that long fall - a gold spoon or a live finger mullet on a fish-finder rig covers both. Flounder are starting to stage for the fall run, so probe the sandy pockets on the down-current side of the bars.
SUNDAY
September 6 · Day 2 of 7
WORTH A TRIP89/100
Best window6:45 - 9:45 AM
Sandy Greengreen streak on the gulf side, murkier back in the cut
Lure88·Bait90
Either
Nothing separates them today (lure 88, bait 90) - fish whichever you enjoy more.
Cork or free-line, no problem
Tide (ft) & Wind (kt) by hour1.78 ft · strong · peak 0.12 ft/hr
Wind dir
↑ S
↗ SW
→ W
↘ NW
↓ N
↓ N
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
Wind kt
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
9
9
Tide ft
1.3
1.6
1.7
1.6
1.5
1.4
1.2
0.8
0.2
-0.0
0.1
0.5
primegoodfairslow
Hourly tide and fishing score for Sunday, September 6
Hour
Tide (ft)
Score
Fishable
12 AM
1.29
60
No
1 AM
1.49
53
No
2 AM
1.63
45
No
3 AM
1.7
38
No
4 AM
1.72
38
No
5 AM
1.7
42
No
6 AM
1.65
61
No
7 AM
1.57
60
No
8 AM
1.5
71
Yes
9 AM
1.46
67
Yes
10 AM
1.41
71
Yes
11 AM
1.34
62
No
12 PM
1.2
70
No
1 PM
1.01
76
No
2 PM
0.76
79
No
3 PM
0.5
76
No
4 PM
0.24
81
Yes
5 PM
0.06
70
Yes
6 PM
-0.04
63
Yes
7 PM
-0.04
74
Yes
8 PM
0.05
86
Yes
9 PM
0.23
78
Yes
10 PM
0.49
72
Yes
11 PM
0.78
71
No
Clarity66
Tide100
Wind100
Solunar89
Tide
High 3:57 AM (1.72) -> Low 6:33 PM (-0.06)
Range
1.78 ft · strong · peak 0.12 ft/hr
Wind
N 4-9 kt48-hr mean SE 6.1 kt · no shift
Pressure
29.92 inHg, rising
Sky
Partly Cloudy · 89°F · 55% rain
Moon
Waning Crescent 24%
Sun
7:01 AM → 7:36 PM
Best lure windows · score /100
8:21 AM - 10:21 AM117Major - moon overhead, on max tidal flow
4:10 PM - 5:10 PM82Minor - moonset, on max tidal flow
6:33 PM - 9:03 PM90First of the incoming off the 6:33 PM low
8:46 PM - 10:46 PM40Major - moon underfoot, on max tidal flow
Why this rating
Same SE-built water as Saturday and the same shape of tide - 1.72 ft at 3:57 AM down to -0.06 ft at 6:33 PM is another long, clean fall with no slack in the middle. Wind stays 4-9 kt so lures are entirely workable and the 8:21-10:21 AM major overlaps the strongest part of the drop. What knocks it off perfect is weather: 55 percent thunderstorm coverage from 8 AM through mid-afternoon, and lightning at the pass is not something you ride out. Lure and bait scores sit a couple points apart, so it stays EITHER - fish early, watch the radar, and be off the water when it builds.
Speckled trout tactic
Get a MirrOlure She Dog moving over the bars before sunrise while it is still calm - the slower rhythm suits a tide that has been dropping since 4 AM. When the light comes up, go to a Bass Assassin Sea Shad in Opening Night on a 1/8 oz head and drift the windward edge. If cloud cover from the building storms holds, stay shallow longer than you normally would; if it burns off, step up to 1/4 oz and work the second drop. Keep colors on the natural side until the rain stains things.
Live bait tactic
Live shrimp under a rattling popping cork is the right call with storms on the way - the noise carries in rain-stained water. Free-lined croaker on a 3/0 kahle along the deeper edge takes over by mid-morning as the water heats past 88. Set up where you can reach the truck fast.
Water clarity read
Another 24 hours of SE at under 5 kt has held the green water in place without adding much to it. Expect a defined color line where the Gulf push meets the bay outflow, with the bay side noticeably dirtier after any rain runs off.
Reds & flounder
Redfish push into the guts on the middle of the fall and will eat a live mullet on a fish-finder rig sitting in the wash. Flounder hold on the sand lips where the current sweeps around the bars - a slow-dragged bait or a shrimp on a light jighead gets them.
MONDAY
September 7 · Day 3 of 7
WORTH A TRIP84/100
Best window7:00 - 10:30 AM
Sandy Greensandy green tight to the pass, dirty water up the bayou
Lure85·Bait83
Either
Nothing separates them today (lure 85, bait 83) - fish whichever you enjoy more.
Cork or free-line, no problem
Tide (ft) & Wind (kt) by hour1.67 ft · strong · peak 0.11 ft/hr
Wind dir
↑ S
↑ S
↗ SW
↗ SW
→ W
→ W
↑ S
↖ SE
↖ SE
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
Wind kt
9
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
9
9
9
9
Tide ft
1.1
1.5
1.7
1.6
1.5
1.4
1.4
1.1
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.3
primegoodfairslow
Hourly tide and fishing score for Monday, September 7
Hour
Tide (ft)
Score
Fishable
12 AM
1.05
67
No
1 AM
1.29
60
No
2 AM
1.48
52
No
3 AM
1.61
43
No
4 AM
1.67
46
Yes
5 AM
1.67
50
Yes
6 AM
1.64
69
Yes
7 AM
1.58
70
Yes
8 AM
1.51
58
No
9 AM
1.46
50
No
10 AM
1.45
50
No
11 AM
1.44
52
No
12 PM
1.39
61
No
1 PM
1.28
70
No
2 PM
1.1
77
No
3 PM
0.86
81
No
4 PM
0.59
91
Yes
5 PM
0.33
83
Yes
6 PM
0.14
66
No
7 PM
0.03
65
Yes
8 PM
0.01
74
Yes
9 PM
0.1
70
Yes
10 PM
0.28
80
Yes
11 PM
0.54
70
Yes
Clarity70
Tide97
Wind100
Solunar64
Tide
High 4:36 AM (1.68) -> Low 7:40 PM (0.01)
Range
1.67 ft · strong · peak 0.11 ft/hr
Wind
W 0-9 kt48-hr mean SE 6.1 kt · no shift
Pressure
29.92 inHg, rising
Sky
Mostly Clear · 89°F · 20% rain
Moon
Waning Crescent 15%
Sun
7:01 AM → 7:35 PM
Best lure windows · score /100
4:36 AM - 7:06 AM82First of the outgoing off the 4:36 AM high
4:58 PM - 5:58 PM82Minor - moonset, on max tidal flow
7:40 PM - 10:10 PM90First of the incoming off the 7:40 PM low
9:46 PM - 11:46 PM40Major - moon underfoot, on max tidal flow
Why this rating
The SE feed backs off and the morning goes SW then W at 4-5 kt, which is the wrong direction for this system - though at that speed it is a nuisance, not a blowout, and clarity only slips a little. The tide is still strong, 1.68 ft at 4:36 AM falling all day to 0.01 ft at 7:40 PM, so you have moving water whenever you show up. The knock is the solunar: the major does not start until 9:21 AM, well after the low-light hour, and there is nothing overlapping sunrise. Lures work fine in this wind, bait scores just behind, so EITHER stands.
Speckled trout tactic
Fish the first hour with a Super Spook Jr in chrome and black, then transition into the major with a Lil John on a 1/4 oz jighead in plum and chartreuse - the slightly dingier water wants a little more contrast. Work the down-current side of the bars and let the jig tick bottom on the swing. If the W wind puts a ripple on the surface, a Down South Super Model in Texas Roach swum just under the chop keeps the profile visible.
Live bait tactic
A live croaker free-lined on a 3/0 kahle down the edge of the drop is the highest-percentage bait once the sun is up and the water pushes 88. Piggy perch under a popping cork work well on the bay side where the water is off-color and the fish need the noise to find it.
Water clarity read
Two days of SE built the green, but the overnight swing to W and SW starts dragging bay water back toward the pass. Cleanest water will be right in the throat and on the Gulf side; anything up toward the back will be a shade off.
Reds & flounder
Reds patrol the sand guts on the long fall - live mullet on a fish-finder rig anchored in the current is the simplest way to intercept one. Flounder start showing on the sandy edges in early September; a slow drag along the bar lips picks them off.
TUESDAY
September 8 · Day 4 of 7
PERFECT DAY90/100
Best window5:00 - 8:30 PM
Sandy / Salty Greensalty green through the throat, light stain on the bay flats
Lure91·Bait88
Either
Nothing separates them today (lure 91, bait 88) - fish whichever you enjoy more.
Cork or free-line, no problem
Tide (ft) & Wind (kt) by hour1.46 ft · strong · peak 0.16 ft/hr
Wind dir
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↗ SW
↑ S
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
Wind kt
9
4
4
4
4
4
4
9
9
9
9
9
Tide ft
0.8
1.3
1.6
1.6
1.4
1.4
1.4
1.3
1.0
0.5
0.1
0.2
primegoodfairslow
Hourly tide and fishing score for Tuesday, September 8
Hour
Tide (ft)
Score
Fishable
12 AM
0.81
71
No
1 AM
1.07
65
No
2 AM
1.29
57
No
3 AM
1.46
48
No
4 AM
1.55
49
Yes
5 AM
1.58
48
Yes
6 AM
1.56
68
Yes
7 AM
1.51
69
Yes
8 AM
1.45
58
No
9 AM
1.4
50
No
10 AM
1.39
65
Yes
11 AM
1.41
63
Yes
12 PM
1.44
61
Yes
1 PM
1.43
57
No
2 PM
1.34
67
No
3 PM
1.18
76
No
4 PM
0.96
83
No
5 PM
0.7
94
Yes
6 PM
0.45
90
Yes
7 PM
0.25
67
No
8 PM
0.14
54
No
9 PM
0.13
47
No
10 PM
0.21
60
No
11 PM
0.39
60
No
Clarity82
Tide100
Wind100
Solunar78
Tide
High 4:59 AM (1.58) -> Low 9:45 AM (1.39) -> High 12:15 PM (1.44) -> Low 8:41 PM (0.12)
Range
1.46 ft · strong · peak 0.16 ft/hr
Wind
S ~4 kt -> **SE 9 kt** late48-hr mean SE 6.1 kt · no shift
Pressure
29.92 inHg, rising
Sky
Mostly Clear · 86°F · 29% rain
Moon
Waning Crescent 8%
Sun
7:02 AM → 7:34 PM
Best lure windows · score /100
4:59 AM - 7:29 AM82First of the outgoing off the 4:59 AM high
10:17 AM - 12:17 PM102Major - moon overhead, on max tidal flow
5:39 PM - 6:39 PM97Minor - moonset, on max tidal flow
10:42 PM - 12:42 AM40Major - moon underfoot, on max tidal flow
Why this rating
SE fills back in at 4-9 kt and the water cleans up a full grade - this is the direction that builds green here, and by Tuesday it has had enough hours to matter. Ignore the mid-morning tide, it barely moves between the 9:45 AM low at 1.39 and the 12:15 PM high at 1.44; the money is the 12:15 PM to 8:41 PM fall down to 0.12 ft, an eight-hour drain with the 5:39-6:39 PM minor and sunset stacked on the back of it. Wind stays under 10 kt so lures are fully controllable, and with lure and bait a few points apart it is an EITHER day - just do it in the evening, not at noon.
Speckled trout tactic
Evening is the trip. Start on a 1/4 oz jighead with a Down South Super Model in morning glory worked down the drop while the fall is at its hardest, then move up shallow as the light drops and put a Super Spook Jr in bone over the bar tops for the last hour to sunset at 7:34. A MirrOdine XL twitched along the edge covers the in-between water. Water is 88 degrees, so do not waste your morning - the fish will be deep and uninterested until that afternoon fall gets going.
Live bait tactic
Free-lined live croaker on a 3/0 kahle along the deep edge is hard to beat in water this warm, and the falling tide will keep it swimming naturally. As the sun drops, switch to live shrimp under a popping cork over the shallow bar tops where the trout move up to feed.
Water clarity read
A renewed SE push after a soft W spell has the Gulf water moving back in and the color line pushing further into the pass. Gulf side and throat will be genuinely green; the shallow bay flats hold a light stain that fades as the tide falls out.
Reds & flounder
Redfish stack in the guts as that eight-hour fall drains the flats - live mullet on a fish-finder rig or a gold spoon along the drain edges. Flounder will be sitting right where the current dumps off the sand, so work a bait slow through those cuts. Stay well clear of the channel side.
WEDNESDAY
September 9 · Day 5 of 7
PERFECT DAY89/100
Best window5:30 - 8:30 PM
Clear Greenclear green from the gulf all the way through the pass
Lure92·Bait84
Either
Nothing separates them today (lure 92, bait 84) - fish whichever you enjoy more.
Cork or free-line, no problem
Tide (ft) & Wind (kt) by hour1.17 ft · strong · peak 0.15 ft/hr
Wind dir
↖ SE
↖ SE
↑ S
↑ S
↖ SE
↖ SE
← E
← E
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
Wind kt
9
9
4
4
4
4
4
9
9
9
9
9
Tide ft
0.6
1.1
1.4
1.4
1.3
1.3
1.4
1.4
1.3
0.8
0.4
0.3
primegoodfairslow
Hourly tide and fishing score for Wednesday, September 9
Hour
Tide (ft)
Score
Fishable
12 AM
0.63
71
No
1 AM
0.89
67
No
2 AM
1.12
60
No
3 AM
1.3
52
No
4 AM
1.42
41
No
5 AM
1.46
51
Yes
6 AM
1.44
72
Yes
7 AM
1.39
74
Yes
8 AM
1.33
59
No
9 AM
1.27
51
No
10 AM
1.25
53
No
11 AM
1.28
67
Yes
12 PM
1.35
67
Yes
1 PM
1.42
60
Yes
2 PM
1.44
63
Yes
3 PM
1.39
74
Yes
4 PM
1.26
86
Yes
5 PM
1.06
81
No
6 PM
0.81
96
Yes
7 PM
0.58
89
Yes
8 PM
0.41
65
No
9 PM
0.31
37
No
10 PM
0.3
47
No
11 PM
0.38
47
No
Clarity95
Tide90
Wind100
Solunar75
Tide
High 5:09 AM (1.46) -> Low 9:55 AM (1.25) -> High 1:50 PM (1.44) -> Low 9:36 PM (0.29)
Range
1.17 ft · strong · peak 0.15 ft/hr
Wind
SE 4-9 kt48-hr mean SE 6.1 kt · no shift
Pressure
29.92 inHg, rising
Sky
Partly Cloudy · 85°F · 60% rain
Moon
Waning Crescent 3%
Sun
7:02 AM → 7:33 PM
Best lure windows · score /100
5:09 AM - 7:39 AM100First of the outgoing off the 5:09 AM high
11:08 AM - 1:08 PM92Major - moon overhead, on max tidal flow
1:50 PM - 4:20 PM82First of the outgoing off the 1:50 PM high
6:14 PM - 7:14 PM97Minor - moonset, on max tidal flow
Why this rating
This is the cleanest water of the week - the SE flow at 4-9 kt has had days to work and the clarity score is the highest on the board, which is exactly when a lure beats bait by a wide margin. Tide is a step softer than earlier in the week but the 1:50 PM high at 1.44 ft draining to 0.29 ft at 9:36 PM is a real seven-and-a-half-hour fall with the 6:14-7:14 PM minor and sunset sitting on it. Morning is a write-off: 60 percent thunderstorm coverage until early afternoon and almost no tide movement between the 9:55 AM low at 1.25 and that afternoon high. Fish the evening, throw plastic.
Speckled trout tactic
Clean water means natural and subtle. Run a Lil John in Texas Roach on a 1/8 oz head on a long cast and swim it slow across the drop - do not overwork it, the fish can see the bait from a long way off in this water. Step to 1/4 oz if the SE breeze puts any bow in the line. Last light, a Super Spook Jr in bone over the bar tops on the falling water is the best shot at a heavy fish all week. Skip chartreuse entirely today.
Live bait tactic
If you bring bait, a live shrimp under a popping cork worked over the sand and shell edges as the tide drains is plenty. Free-lined croaker still produces on the deeper lip, but in water this clean the artificials are doing the better work today.
Water clarity read
Sustained SE has finally pushed clean Gulf water the whole way through - the color line is gone and even the bay side should be a workable green. This is as good as the water gets on the light-wind pattern we are in.
Reds & flounder
Reds will be visible in the clear water on the shallow sand - a live mullet on a light fish-finder rig or a spoon pitched ahead of a cruiser. Flounder are on the down-current sand pockets; the clean water makes sight-fishing the lips realistic in the last hour of light.
THURSDAY
September 10 · Day 6 of 7
WORTH A TRIP85/100
Best window5:30 - 8:00 PM
Clear Greengreen top to bottom, faint stain along the back sloughs
Lure88·Bait80
Either
Nothing separates them today (lure 88, bait 80) - fish whichever you enjoy more.
Cork or free-line, no problem
Tide (ft) & Wind (kt) by hour0.94 ft · moderate · peak 0.13 ft/hr
Wind dir
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
Wind kt
9
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
9
9
9
9
Tide ft
0.6
1.0
1.3
1.3
1.2
1.1
1.2
1.4
1.4
1.1
0.7
0.5
primegoodfairslow
Hourly tide and fishing score for Thursday, September 10
Hour
Tide (ft)
Score
Fishable
12 AM
0.55
70
No
1 AM
0.77
71
No
2 AM
0.99
65
No
3 AM
1.18
55
No
4 AM
1.3
44
No
5 AM
1.35
52
Yes
6 AM
1.33
76
Yes
7 AM
1.26
78
Yes
8 AM
1.18
62
No
9 AM
1.11
54
No
10 AM
1.08
51
No
11 AM
1.09
69
Yes
12 PM
1.16
75
Yes
1 PM
1.28
75
Yes
2 PM
1.39
55
No
3 PM
1.45
58
Yes
4 PM
1.43
74
Yes
5 PM
1.32
86
Yes
6 PM
1.15
98
Yes
7 PM
0.94
96
Yes
8 PM
0.74
75
No
9 PM
0.59
47
No
10 PM
0.52
36
No
11 PM
0.52
36
No
Clarity92
Tide80
Wind100
Solunar75
Tide
High 5:11 AM (1.35) -> Low 10:15 AM (1.08) -> High 3:17 PM (1.45) -> Low 10:30 PM (0.51)
Range
0.94 ft · moderate · peak 0.13 ft/hr
Wind
S 4-9 kt48-hr mean SE 6.1 kt · no shift
Pressure
29.92 inHg, rising
Sky
Partly Cloudy · 86°F · 31% rain
Moon
New Moon 0%
Sun
7:03 AM → 7:31 PM
Best lure windows · score /100
5:11 AM - 7:41 AM100First of the outgoing off the 5:11 AM high
11:57 AM - 1:57 PM92Major - moon overhead, on max tidal flow
3:17 PM - 5:47 PM82First of the outgoing off the 3:17 PM high
6:47 PM - 7:47 PM97Minor - moonset, on max tidal flow
Why this rating
New moon and clean green water off a steady S to SE flow at 4-9 kt, so clarity and wind are both in your favor and the lures stay easy to control. The problem is the tide has gone flat: the morning drop from 1.35 ft at 5:11 AM to 1.08 ft at 10:15 AM is barely a quarter foot, and the useful movement is the 3:17 PM high draining to 0.51 ft at 10:30 PM. That leaves one good window instead of a full day of options. Clean water plus a soft tide is when a well-worked plastic outfishes a bait sitting still, so it is a LURE EDGE day.
Speckled trout tactic
Wait for the afternoon fall to get moving. A Bass Assassin Sea Shad on a 1/8 oz jighead swum slowly across the drop is the workhorse - keep it light so it stays in the strike zone longer in the weak current. As the sun gets to the trees, put a MirrOlure She Dog over the bar tops and walk it lazy; new moon evenings and calm clean water are made for that. Natural colors, nothing loud.
Live bait tactic
Live shrimp under a popping cork drifted across the sand and shell edges on the afternoon drain is the easy version of the same pattern. Free-lined croaker on a 3/0 kahle down the deeper lip covers the mid-afternoon heat before the tide turns useful.
Water clarity read
Days of unbroken S and SE at single-digit speeds have held the green water in the pass with no wind event to undo it. Only the back sloughs carry any color, and even that is faint.
Reds & flounder
New moon and a draining tide pulls redfish into the guts hard at dusk - live mullet on a fish-finder rig parked in the flow. Flounder are on the sand lips where the current bends around the bars; drag slow and give them time to turn the bait.
FRIDAY
September 11 · Day 7 of 7
WORTH A TRIP80/100
Best window6:00 - 8:30 PM
Sandy / Salty Greensalty green in the pass, milky where the wind stacks the bay
Lure82·Bait76
Either
Nothing separates them today (lure 82, bait 76) - fish whichever you enjoy more.
Cork or free-line, no problem
Tide (ft) & Wind (kt) by hour0.71 ft · soft · peak 0.1 ft/hr
Wind dir
↑ S
↗ SW
↗ SW
↗ SW
↗ SW
↗ SW
↖ SE
↖ SE
↑ SSE
↑ SSE
↑ SSE
↑ S
Wind kt
9
9
9
4
4
4
6
10
12
10
9
7
Tide ft
0.6
0.9
1.2
1.3
1.1
0.9
0.9
1.2
1.4
1.4
1.1
0.8
primegoodfairslow
Hourly tide and fishing score for Friday, September 11
Hour
Tide (ft)
Score
Fishable
12 AM
0.6
64
No
1 AM
0.75
71
No
2 AM
0.93
68
No
3 AM
1.1
58
No
4 AM
1.23
45
No
5 AM
1.28
54
Yes
6 AM
1.25
82
Yes
7 AM
1.16
87
Yes
8 AM
1.05
83
Yes
9 AM
0.95
60
No
10 AM
0.89
50
No
11 AM
0.88
56
No
12 PM
0.93
79
Yes
1 PM
1.04
87
Yes
2 PM
1.2
79
Yes
3 PM
1.35
57
No
4 PM
1.44
43
No
5 PM
1.45
56
No
6 PM
1.38
72
No
7 PM
1.23
97
Yes
8 PM
1.06
94
Yes
9 PM
0.91
55
No
10 PM
0.8
45
No
11 PM
0.75
45
No
Clarity82
Tide68
Wind100
Solunar80
Tide
High 5:09 AM (1.28) -> Low 10:42 AM (0.88) -> High 4:37 PM (1.46) -> Low 11:23 PM (0.75)
Range
0.71 ft · soft · peak 0.1 ft/hr
Wind
SW 3-12 kt48-hr mean SE 6.1 kt · no shift
Pressure
29.92 inHg, rising
Sky
Partly Cloudy · 90°F
Moon
New Moon 0%
Sun
7:03 AM → 7:30 PM
Best lure windows · score /100
5:09 AM - 7:39 AM100First of the outgoing off the 5:09 AM high
7:01 AM - 8:01 AM97Minor - moonrise, on max tidal flow
12:43 PM - 2:43 PM92Major - moon overhead, on max tidal flow
7:17 PM - 8:17 PM97Minor - moonset, on max tidal flow
Why this rating
Water quality is still good - SE and S at single digits all week has kept a salty green in the pass and the SW at 3-12 kt is not enough to undo it - but the tide is the weakest of the seven days by a clear margin. From 1.28 ft at 5:09 AM to 0.88 ft at 10:42 AM is almost nothing, and even the afternoon rise to 1.46 ft at 4:37 PM is a slow build. You get one workable stretch, the evening fall off that 4:37 PM high, and outside it the water sits dead. Lures and bait are close enough to call it EITHER; pick whichever you fish better and go late.
Speckled trout tactic
Weak current means weight down, not up - a 3/8 oz jighead lets you hold the deeper edge and feel bottom when the water is barely moving, paired with a Down South Super Model in Chicken on a Chain. Work it slow with long pauses. When the light drops toward the 7:30 sunset and the tide finally starts pulling off that 4:37 PM high, move shallow with a Super Spook Jr in bone. With 90 degree air and lukewarm water, do not bother before mid-afternoon.
Live bait tactic
This is the day live croaker earns its keep - free-line one on a 3/0 kahle along the deep edge and let it swim, because scent does the work a lure cannot in slack water. Live shrimp under a popping cork over the shallow sand takes over in the last hour of light.
Water clarity read
The overnight SW shift stirs the bay side a shade but the sustained SE base is strong enough that the pass itself holds salty green. Look for the cleanest water tight to the Gulf side and the throat.
Reds & flounder
Redfish will be the more reliable target on a weak tide - live mullet on a fish-finder rig in any gut still carrying current. Flounder hold in the sand pockets behind the bars; a shrimp fished slow on a light jighead is the best bet for one.
Have this in your inbox at 7 PM
Pick your spots and your days — Friday, Saturday, Sunday, or all three. One mail, no app.
The NWS hourly forecast reaches about 6.5 days, which stops short of the end of this window. Wind, temperature and sky for Friday come from Open-Meteo alone, with no second model to check them against. Treat the last of the week as a trend, not a plan.
Wind is cross-checked against two independent models: the NWS gridpoint forecast for this spot, and Open-Meteo running gfs_seamless at 29.096539, -95.158936. Across the overlapping mornings the two agree to within 1.3 kt on average (worst 2.5 kt). Where they diverge, treat that day's wind as less certain.
Water clarity is inferred from measured 48-hour buoy wind history and forecast wind vectors. It is not visually confirmed - local webcams are video streams and cannot be read automatically. Check a cam before you load the truck.