San Luis Pass tide station · The pass drains all of West Bay through one narrow throat, so even a modest tide moves real water over the bars and drop-offs.
The 48-hour setup
Last 48 hours have been kind to us. Buoy 42035 has averaged SSE at 154 degrees, 6.8 kt scalar, with the last 24 running SE at 133 degrees around 7 kt and the latest read ENE at 70 degrees, 9.7 kt gusting 11.7. That is the exact quadrant that stacks clean Gulf water into the pass instead of pulling bay mud out through it. Pressure is flat and healthy at 1015.6 hPa, coastal station LUIT2 reading 1015.1 with water at 89.6 F. Max gust in 48 hours was only 23.3 kt, so nothing has been stirred up hard. The pass should be carrying sandy green water in the throat right now with the bay side a shade dirtier.
Buoy 42035: 48-hour vector-mean wind SSE (154 deg) at 3.6 kt; 24-hour mean SE at 3 kt. Peak gust in the last 48 hours: 23.3 kt.
LUIT2 latest: E at 8 kt, gusting 11.1 kt. Pressure 1015.1 hPa. Water temp 89.6 F.
The bottom line
Saturday, September 5 is the day. High at 3:08 AM at 1.71 ft feeding a fall that never stops until 5:21 PM at -0.07 ft, SE wind 4-9 kt, and the major running 7:19 to 9:19 AM right on top of first light. Be standing in the water at 6:30 AM. Friday is a near-copy and just as good if Saturday won't work.
Sandy Greensandy green in the throat, stained on the bay side
Lure75·Bait77
Either
Nothing separates them today (lure 75, bait 77) - fish whichever you enjoy more.
Cork or free-line, no problem
Tide (ft) & Wind (kt) by hour1.07 ft · strong · peak 0.12 ft/hr
Wind dir
← E
↑ S
↘ NW
↘ NW
↘ NW
↘ NW
↘ NW
→ W
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
Wind kt
4
4
4
9
9
9
9
9
9
13
13
13
Tide ft
1.1
1.1
1.1
1.2
1.0
0.7
0.3
0.3
0.5
0.9
1.2
1.3
primegoodfairslow
Hourly tide and fishing score for Tuesday, September 1
Hour
Tide (ft)
Score
Fishable
12 AM
1.07
39
No
1 AM
1.05
36
No
2 AM
1.05
39
No
3 AM
1.07
44
Yes
4 AM
1.11
45
Yes
5 AM
1.16
68
Yes
6 AM
1.18
73
Yes
7 AM
1.13
86
Yes
8 AM
1.01
91
Yes
9 AM
0.84
82
No
10 AM
0.65
85
Yes
11 AM
0.47
77
Yes
12 PM
0.33
57
No
1 PM
0.26
49
No
2 PM
0.28
63
No
3 PM
0.38
85
Yes
4 PM
0.54
95
Yes
5 PM
0.74
88
Yes
6 PM
0.95
73
No
7 PM
1.11
64
No
8 PM
1.22
56
No
9 PM
1.28
35
No
10 PM
1.32
30
No
11 PM
1.33
30
No
Clarity63
Tide82
Wind82
Solunar71
Tide
Low 1:36 AM (1.05) -> High 5:51 AM (1.18) -> Low 1:16 PM (0.26) -> High 10:53 PM (1.33)
Range
1.07 ft · strong · peak 0.12 ft/hr
Wind
E ~9 kt -> **S 13 kt** late48-hr mean SSE 3.6 kt · veering to SE
Pressure
29.99 inHg, falling
Sky
Mostly Cloudy · 87°F · 58% rain
Moon
Waning Gibbous 78%
Sun
6:58 AM → 7:42 PM
Best lure windows · score /100
3:26 AM - 5:26 AM40Major - moon overhead, on max tidal flow
5:51 AM - 8:21 AM100First of the outgoing off the 5:51 AM high
10:50 AM - 11:50 AM72Minor - moonset, on max tidal flow
3:51 PM - 5:51 PM92Major - moon underfoot, on max tidal flow
Why this rating
Two days of SE and SSE wind built decent water, but this front swings it NW then W most of the day and will put a stain on the bay side. Speed is the saving grace - 4 to 13 kt out of the NW does not blow this system out the way 20 kt would. Tide is the best part of the day: high at 5:51 AM, then a long uninterrupted fall to 1:16 PM. Lures are workable early before the NW gets on it, and bait matches it stride for stride once the water dirties, so it's EITHER.
Speckled trout tactic
Get on it at gray light before the NW builds. Bone Super Spook Jr worked on the sandbar edges while it's still slick, then drop to a 1/4 oz jighead with a Down South Super Model in Chicken on a Chain once the chop starts - you want a little flash and a dark back in water that's going off. Cast up-current on the falling tide and let the plastic tumble across the drop, keep contact, most bites come on the fall.
Live bait tactic
Live shrimp under a popping cork on the bay side of the pass where the water is dirtier - the pop plus the scent gets you found in stained water. Free-line a finger mullet along the deeper cuts on the falling tide with just enough split shot to hold bottom. Stay well off the channel, that outgoing gets ugly.
Water clarity read
Two days of SSE at 154 degrees stacked clean water in the pass, and the light NW today isn't strong enough to undo that in the throat. Behind the pass on the bay side, expect the NW push plus the thunderstorm runoff to stain it noticeably by mid-morning.
Reds & flounder
Redfish will be pushed up on the shallow flats and along the marsh drains as the tide dumps out to 1:16 PM - work the drains with a gold spoon or a live mullet. Flounder start stacking on the down-current side of the sandbars on a fall like this one; a 1/8 oz jighead dragged slow will find them.
WEDNESDAY
September 2 · Day 2 of 7
WORTH A TRIP63/100
Best window11:00 AM - 2:00 PM
Sandy / Salty Greenclearing green in the pass, still soft on the bay side
Lure64·Bait61
Either
Nothing separates them today (lure 64, bait 61) - fish whichever you enjoy more.
Drift it, a little extra weight
Tide (ft) & Wind (kt) by hour0 ft · weak
Wind dir
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↗ SW
↗ SW
↗ SW
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↖ SE
↖ SE
↑ S
Wind kt
13
13
13
13
9
9
9
9
13
13
13
13
Tide ft
1.3
1.3
1.3
1.3
1.1
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.3
0.7
1.1
1.4
primegoodfairslow
Hourly tide and fishing score for Wednesday, September 2
Hour
Tide (ft)
Score
Fishable
12 AM
1.32
32
No
1 AM
1.3
32
No
2 AM
1.27
31
No
3 AM
1.26
30
No
4 AM
1.25
26
Yes
5 AM
1.25
42
Yes
6 AM
1.25
48
Yes
7 AM
1.21
68
No
8 AM
1.1
74
No
9 AM
0.94
80
No
10 AM
0.73
79
No
11 AM
0.52
84
Yes
12 PM
0.32
76
Yes
1 PM
0.18
55
No
2 PM
0.12
59
Yes
3 PM
0.15
72
Yes
4 PM
0.27
83
Yes
5 PM
0.45
89
Yes
6 PM
0.68
93
Yes
7 PM
0.9
75
No
8 PM
1.1
68
No
9 PM
1.25
46
No
10 PM
1.36
41
No
11 PM
1.44
41
No
Clarity82
Tide40
Wind62
Solunar78
Tide
Low 2:08 PM (0.12)
Range
0 ft · weak
Wind
SW 9-13 kt48-hr mean SSE 3.6 kt · veering to SE
Pressure
29.99 inHg, falling
Sky
Partly Cloudy · 88°F · 49% rain
Moon
Waning Gibbous 68%
Sun
6:59 AM → 7:41 PM
Best lure windows · score /100
4:18 AM - 6:18 AM18Major - moon overhead
11:57 AM - 12:57 PM72Minor - moonset, on max tidal flow
2:08 PM - 4:38 PM72First of the incoming off the 2:08 PM low
4:43 PM - 6:43 PM102Major - moon underfoot, on max tidal flow
Why this rating
Wind flips back S and SW overnight and stays southerly all day, which is the direction that rebuilds green water fast after a front. Clarity is the best thing going here. Tide is the weak link - one lonely low at 2:08 PM and a slow, lazy build the rest of the day, so you're waiting on movement most of the morning. Lures and bait score nearly even, so fish whichever you like, but keep it simple.
Speckled trout tactic
Fish the end of the fall into the 2:08 PM low - that's when the little water you've got is actually moving. Bass Assassin Sea Shad in Opening Night on a 3/8 oz head to hold in the SW chop, worked along the windward guts. The minor at 11:57 AM to 12:57 PM lands right in the middle of that fall, so be there. Slow-roll it just off bottom, no sharp snaps.
Live bait tactic
Live croaker on a Carolina rig with a 1/2 oz egg sinker along the deeper edges - water is 89 F and the trout will be sitting low and lazy. Piggy perch under a cork if you want a shallower presentation on the bar. Work the last two hours of the fall toward that early-afternoon low.
Water clarity read
South and southwest wind at 9 to 13 kt is pulling Gulf water back in and cleaning up what yesterday's NW shove dirtied. The Gulf side of the pass will be a clear shade or two ahead of the back bay, which is still settling out.
Reds & flounder
Redfish will cruise the sand along the surf side with the south wind laying it down - a live mullet on a fish-finder rig gets them. Flounder are slow with weak tidal push today; not worth targeting until Thursday.
THURSDAY
September 3 · Day 3 of 7
PERFECT DAY88/100
Best window6:30 - 10:00 AM
Clear Greenclear green through the throat, sandy green up the bay
Lure89·Bait86
Either
Nothing separates them today (lure 89, bait 86) - fish whichever you enjoy more.
Cork or free-line, no problem
Tide (ft) & Wind (kt) by hour1.49 ft · strong · peak 0.1 ft/hr
Wind dir
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
↑ S
Wind kt
13
13
9
9
4
4
9
9
9
9
13
13
Tide ft
1.5
1.5
1.4
1.4
1.2
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.1
0.4
0.8
1.3
primegoodfairslow
Hourly tide and fishing score for Thursday, September 3
Hour
Tide (ft)
Score
Fishable
12 AM
1.49
30
No
1 AM
1.5
30
No
2 AM
1.49
32
No
3 AM
1.46
41
No
4 AM
1.42
41
No
5 AM
1.38
58
Yes
6 AM
1.35
60
Yes
7 AM
1.3
65
Yes
8 AM
1.22
68
No
9 AM
1.08
75
No
10 AM
0.89
77
No
11 AM
0.67
79
No
12 PM
0.44
76
No
1 PM
0.22
75
Yes
2 PM
0.07
62
Yes
3 PM
0.01
59
Yes
4 PM
0.05
74
Yes
5 PM
0.17
89
Yes
6 PM
0.37
99
Yes
7 PM
0.61
93
Yes
8 PM
0.85
77
No
9 PM
1.08
56
No
10 PM
1.27
51
No
11 PM
1.42
51
No
Clarity92
Tide91
Wind82
Solunar89
Tide
High 12:54 AM (1.5) -> Low 3:06 PM (0.01)
Range
1.49 ft · strong · peak 0.1 ft/hr
Wind
S 4-13 kt48-hr mean SSE 3.6 kt · veering to SE
Pressure
29.99 inHg, falling
Sky
Partly Cloudy · 87°F · 21% rain
Moon
Waning Gibbous 57%
Sun
6:59 AM → 7:40 PM
Best lure windows · score /100
5:15 AM - 7:15 AM40Major - moon overhead, on max tidal flow
1:05 PM - 2:05 PM72Minor - moonset, on max tidal flow
3:06 PM - 5:36 PM72First of the incoming off the 3:06 PM low
5:40 PM - 7:40 PM117Major - moon underfoot, on max tidal flow
Why this rating
Three straight days of S and SE wind now, 4 to 13 kt, and that is exactly the setup that builds clean green water in this pass. Tide is a monster - 1.5 ft high at 12:54 AM feeding one long unbroken fall all the way to a 0.01 ft low at 3:06 PM. That means water moving hard right through sunrise. Major runs 5:15 to 7:15 AM, overlapping first light and peak flow, and lures are perfectly workable at 4 to 9 kt in the morning.
Speckled trout tactic
Topwater day. Start with a Super Spook Jr in bone or a MirrOlure She Dog in chrome/black on the bar edges at first light, walking it slow with long pauses - clear water means they'll track it a long way. When the sun gets up, switch to a MirrOdine XL or a Lil John in Texas Roach on a 1/8 oz head and fish it deeper on the drop. Natural and translucent in this water, no loud colors.
Live bait tactic
Live croaker free-lined on a 3/0 kahle along the deep drop-offs is hard to beat with the water at 86 to 88 F - big trout go deep and sulky once the sun is up and croaker drags them out. Early on, live shrimp under a rattling cork over the reef and bar edges. Work the falling water from the beach side of the bars, never toward the channel.
Water clarity read
Sustained southerly flow at 154 degrees mean has had 72 hours to push Gulf water in and it shows. The throat of the pass will be green enough to see your lure work; up on the bay side expect a sandy tint where the bottom is still getting stirred.
Reds & flounder
Redfish will be running the guts hard on that long fall - a live mullet on a light Carolina rig in the drains produces all morning. Flounder will pile on the down-current lip of every sandbar with this much sustained outflow; drag a 1/4 oz jighead with a Sea Shad slow and low.
FRIDAY
September 4 · Day 4 of 7
PERFECT DAY92/100
Best window6:00 - 9:30 AM
Clear Greenclear green throughout, best water of the week so far
Lure92·Bait91
Either
Nothing separates them today (lure 92, bait 91) - fish whichever you enjoy more.
Cork or free-line, no problem
Tide (ft) & Wind (kt) by hour1.68 ft · strong · peak 0.12 ft/hr
Wind dir
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
Wind kt
9
9
9
4
4
4
9
9
9
9
9
9
Tide ft
1.5
1.6
1.6
1.5
1.3
1.1
0.7
0.2
-0.1
0.1
0.5
1.1
primegoodfairslow
Hourly tide and fishing score for Friday, September 4
Hour
Tide (ft)
Score
Fishable
12 AM
1.54
45
No
1 AM
1.61
39
No
2 AM
1.63
37
No
3 AM
1.62
40
No
4 AM
1.59
43
No
5 AM
1.53
44
No
6 AM
1.47
73
Yes
7 AM
1.41
74
Yes
8 AM
1.34
78
Yes
9 AM
1.24
68
No
10 AM
1.09
75
No
11 AM
0.89
77
No
12 PM
0.66
79
No
1 PM
0.41
76
No
2 PM
0.18
75
Yes
3 PM
0.02
62
Yes
4 PM
-0.05
60
Yes
5 PM
-0.02
71
Yes
6 PM
0.1
91
Yes
7 PM
0.29
98
Yes
8 PM
0.54
100
Yes
9 PM
0.81
69
No
10 PM
1.06
65
No
11 PM
1.28
65
No
Clarity92
Tide99
Wind82
Solunar94
Tide
High 2:08 AM (1.63) -> Low 4:10 PM (-0.05)
Range
1.68 ft · strong · peak 0.12 ft/hr
Wind
S ~9 kt -> **SE 9 kt** late48-hr mean SSE 3.6 kt · veering to SE
Pressure
29.99 inHg, falling
Sky
Partly Cloudy · 87°F · 22% rain
Moon
Waning Crescent 46%
Sun
7:00 AM → 7:39 PM
Best lure windows · score /100
6:16 AM - 8:16 AM117Major - moon overhead, on max tidal flow
2:12 PM - 3:12 PM72Minor - moonset, on max tidal flow
4:10 PM - 6:40 PM72First of the incoming off the 4:10 PM low
6:41 PM - 8:41 PM117Major - moon underfoot, on max tidal flow
Why this rating
Wind is S at 4 to 9 kt, the lightest and cleanest direction we've had all week, and the water will be at its best. Tide is even better than Thursday - 1.63 ft high at 2:08 AM falling all the way to a negative low at 4:10 PM, so you get fourteen straight hours of moving water. The major hits 6:16 to 8:16 AM, right on sunrise with the tide ripping. At 4 to 9 kt lure control is dead easy, so this is a genuine artificial day.
Speckled trout tactic
Topwater first hour, no question - Super Spook Jr in bone or a She Dog in chrome/black, walked slow over the bar edges while it's slick calm. Once they quit blowing up, go to a Down South Super Model in plum/chartreuse or Texas Roach on a 1/8 oz head and swim it along the drop-off on the outgoing. In water this clean use a 20 lb fluorocarbon leader and lengthen it - they will look at everything twice.
Live bait tactic
Live croaker on a light Carolina rig worked along the deeper drop-offs once the sun is up and the 86 F water pushes the better fish down. Live shrimp under a popping cork over the reefs and bar tops at first light. Free-lined finger mullet in the guts on that long fall for the bigger bites.
Water clarity read
Four days of sustained S and SE flow with nothing above 13 kt to churn the bottom - this is the classic build. Even the bay side should have tightened up by now, though the throat of the pass will still be the cleanest water you can reach.
Reds & flounder
Redfish are on all day with this much moving water - gold spoon or a live mullet in the drains and along the sand. Flounder are stacking hard on the down-current bar lips ahead of the fall runs; slow-drag a jighead and expect them to be there through the weekend.
SATURDAY
September 5 · Day 5 of 7
PERFECT DAY95/100
Best window6:30 - 9:30 AM
Clear Greenclear green throat and bars, light sandy tint way back
Lure97·Bait93
Either
Nothing separates them today (lure 97, bait 93) - fish whichever you enjoy more.
Cork or free-line, no problem
Tide (ft) & Wind (kt) by hour1.78 ft · strong · peak 0.13 ft/hr
Wind dir
↖ SE
↑ S
↑ S
↖ SE
↖ SE
← E
← E
← E
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
Wind kt
9
4
4
4
4
4
4
9
9
9
9
9
Tide ft
1.5
1.7
1.7
1.6
1.4
1.3
0.9
0.4
0.0
-0.1
0.2
0.8
primegoodfairslow
Hourly tide and fishing score for Saturday, September 5
Hour
Tide (ft)
Score
Fishable
12 AM
1.47
53
No
1 AM
1.6
45
No
2 AM
1.68
39
No
3 AM
1.71
32
Yes
4 AM
1.7
36
Yes
5 AM
1.65
39
Yes
6 AM
1.58
61
No
7 AM
1.51
73
Yes
8 AM
1.44
73
Yes
9 AM
1.38
73
Yes
10 AM
1.28
67
No
11 AM
1.14
71
No
12 PM
0.94
76
No
1 PM
0.69
79
No
2 PM
0.43
76
No
3 PM
0.19
75
Yes
4 PM
0.02
66
Yes
5 PM
-0.07
50
No
6 PM
-0.05
65
No
7 PM
0.05
89
Yes
8 PM
0.24
97
Yes
9 PM
0.5
84
Yes
10 PM
0.78
69
No
11 PM
1.05
69
No
Clarity94
Tide100
Wind100
Solunar94
Tide
High 3:08 AM (1.71) -> Low 5:21 PM (-0.07)
Range
1.78 ft · strong · peak 0.13 ft/hr
Wind
SE 4-9 kt48-hr mean SSE 3.6 kt · veering to SE
Pressure
29.99 inHg, falling
Sky
Mostly Clear · 88°F · 29% rain
Moon
Waning Crescent 34%
Sun
7:00 AM → 7:37 PM
Best lure windows · score /100
3:08 AM - 5:38 AM8First of the outgoing off the 3:08 AM high
7:19 AM - 9:19 AM117Major - moon overhead, on max tidal flow
3:15 PM - 4:15 PM72Minor - moonset, on max tidal flow
7:44 PM - 9:44 PM117Major - moon underfoot, on max tidal flow
Why this rating
This is the best day of the week and it is not close. SE wind 4 to 9 kt, five straight days of southerly flow, the cleanest water of the stretch. High of 1.71 ft at 3:08 AM feeding an uninterrupted fall to -0.07 ft at 5:21 PM - fourteen hours of hard-moving water. The major runs 7:19 to 9:19 AM sitting right on sunrise with the tide at full rip. Lures at 4 to 9 kt in clear green water is as good as this pass gets.
Speckled trout tactic
Be in the water at gray light. Bone Super Spook Jr or a MirrOlure She Dog walked slow across the bar tops while it's calm - clear water and a hard fall means blowups. When the sun climbs, MirrOdine XL suspended over the drop or a Lil John in Texas Roach on a 1/8 oz head worked slow on the outgoing edge. Keep colors natural and translucent and fish a long fluorocarbon leader.
Live bait tactic
Live shrimp under a popping cork over the bar tops and reef edges through the whole morning major. Once the water heats past 87 F by midday, switch to live croaker on a Carolina rig in the deeper drop-offs where the better trout drop down. Free-lined mullet in the guts on the back half of the fall.
Water clarity read
Five days of S and SE wind averaging under 10 kt has put clean Gulf water everywhere you want to stand. The throat and the outer bars will be as clear as you'll see them all season; only the farthest back-bay water still carries a tint.
Reds & flounder
Redfish will be everywhere - the drains, the sand, and the guts all produce on a fall this long. Flounder are a genuine target on the down-current side of every bar; slow-drag a 1/4 oz jighead with a Sea Shad and you can pick a limit.
SUNDAY
September 6 · Day 6 of 7
PERFECT DAY89/100
Best window6:30 - 10:30 AM
Sandy Greensandy green on the bay side, cleaner out toward the gulf
Lure88·Bait90
Either
Nothing separates them today (lure 88, bait 90) - fish whichever you enjoy more.
Cork or free-line, no problem
Tide (ft) & Wind (kt) by hour1.78 ft · strong · peak 0.12 ft/hr
Wind dir
↑ S
↑ S
↑ S
→ W
↓ N
↙ NE
← E
← E
↖ SE
↖ SE
↖ SE
↑ S
Wind kt
9
4
4
4
4
4
4
9
9
9
9
9
Tide ft
1.3
1.6
1.7
1.6
1.5
1.4
1.2
0.8
0.2
-0.0
0.1
0.5
primegoodfairslow
Hourly tide and fishing score for Sunday, September 6
Hour
Tide (ft)
Score
Fishable
12 AM
1.29
60
No
1 AM
1.49
53
No
2 AM
1.63
45
No
3 AM
1.7
48
Yes
4 AM
1.72
48
Yes
5 AM
1.7
52
Yes
6 AM
1.65
70
Yes
7 AM
1.57
60
No
8 AM
1.5
71
Yes
9 AM
1.46
67
Yes
10 AM
1.41
71
Yes
11 AM
1.34
62
No
12 PM
1.2
70
No
1 PM
1.01
76
No
2 PM
0.76
79
No
3 PM
0.5
76
No
4 PM
0.24
71
No
5 PM
0.06
60
No
6 PM
-0.04
63
Yes
7 PM
-0.04
74
Yes
8 PM
0.05
86
Yes
9 PM
0.23
78
Yes
10 PM
0.49
72
Yes
11 PM
0.78
71
No
Clarity66
Tide100
Wind100
Solunar89
Tide
High 3:57 AM (1.72) -> Low 6:33 PM (-0.06)
Range
1.78 ft · strong · peak 0.12 ft/hr
Wind
N 4-9 kt48-hr mean SSE 3.6 kt · veering to SE
Pressure
29.99 inHg, falling
Sky
Mostly Clear · 88°F · 25% rain
Moon
Waning Crescent 24%
Sun
7:01 AM → 7:36 PM
Best lure windows · score /100
3:57 AM - 6:27 AM82First of the outgoing off the 3:57 AM high
8:21 AM - 10:21 AM117Major - moon overhead, on max tidal flow
6:33 PM - 9:03 PM90First of the incoming off the 6:33 PM low
8:46 PM - 10:46 PM40Major - moon underfoot, on max tidal flow
Why this rating
Tide is perfect again - 1.72 ft high at 3:57 AM falling clean to -0.06 ft at 6:33 PM, and wind stays feather-light at 4 to 9 kt. The one caveat is the morning wind swings W then N before it comes back E and SE by midday, and that short northerly puff will put a slight stain on the bay side. At 5 mph it is nowhere near enough to blow this system out, so lures stay fully workable. Major from 8:21 to 10:21 AM covers the strongest part of the fall.
Speckled trout tactic
Topwater at first light before that light N swings around - Spook Jr in bone on the bar tops. After sunup go to a Down South Super Model in Chicken on a Chain on a 1/8 oz head if you're working the stained bay side, or Texas Roach if you stay out toward the cleaner Gulf water. Match the color to the water in front of you, not to the forecast.
Live bait tactic
Live shrimp under a popping cork on the bay side where the slight stain works in your favor - the rattle finds them. Live croaker on a Carolina rig in the deeper drops as the water climbs past 87 F. Fish the drains and guts hard through the middle of the fall.
Water clarity read
A light overnight westerly and a brief N at 5 mph will take a little polish off the back-bay water, but the five-day southerly build underneath it holds. The Gulf side of the pass and the outer bars stay noticeably cleaner than the bay side today.
Reds & flounder
Redfish are a lock on the drains with this fall - live mullet or a gold spoon. Flounder are still stacked on the down-current bar lips; the sustained outflow has had four days to concentrate them.
MONDAY
September 7 · Day 7 of 7
PERFECT DAY84/100
Best window6:30 - 10:00 AM
Sandy Greensandy green overall, clearing again through the afternoon
Lure85·Bait83
Either
Nothing separates them today (lure 85, bait 83) - fish whichever you enjoy more.
Cork or free-line, no problem
Tide (ft) & Wind (kt) by hour1.67 ft · strong · peak 0.11 ft/hr
Wind dir
↑ S
↑ S
↗ SW
→ W
→ W
→ WSW
↑ SSE
↖ SE
↖ SE
↑ SSE
↑ S
↑ SSW
Wind kt
9
4
5
4
5
5
4
9
11
10
8
8
Tide ft
1.1
1.5
1.7
1.6
1.5
1.4
1.4
1.1
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.3
primegoodfairslow
Hourly tide and fishing score for Monday, September 7
Hour
Tide (ft)
Score
Fishable
12 AM
1.05
67
No
1 AM
1.29
60
No
2 AM
1.48
52
No
3 AM
1.61
43
No
4 AM
1.67
46
Yes
5 AM
1.67
50
Yes
6 AM
1.64
69
Yes
7 AM
1.58
70
Yes
8 AM
1.51
58
No
9 AM
1.46
50
No
10 AM
1.45
50
No
11 AM
1.44
52
No
12 PM
1.39
61
No
1 PM
1.28
70
No
2 PM
1.1
77
No
3 PM
0.86
74
No
4 PM
0.59
84
Yes
5 PM
0.33
76
Yes
6 PM
0.14
66
No
7 PM
0.03
65
Yes
8 PM
0.01
74
Yes
9 PM
0.1
70
Yes
10 PM
0.28
80
Yes
11 PM
0.54
70
Yes
Clarity70
Tide97
Wind100
Solunar64
Tide
High 4:36 AM (1.68) -> Low 7:40 PM (0.01)
Range
1.67 ft · strong · peak 0.11 ft/hr
Wind
S ~6 kt -> **SSW 11 kt** late48-hr mean SSE 3.6 kt · veering to SE
Pressure
29.99 inHg, falling
Sky
Mostly Clear · 94°F · 20% rain
Moon
Waning Crescent 15%
Sun
7:01 AM → 7:35 PM
Best lure windows · score /100
4:36 AM - 7:06 AM82First of the outgoing off the 4:36 AM high
4:58 PM - 5:58 PM82Minor - moonset, on max tidal flow
7:40 PM - 10:10 PM90First of the incoming off the 7:40 PM low
9:46 PM - 11:46 PM40Major - moon underfoot, on max tidal flow
Why this rating
Wind stays very light at 3 to 11 kt with a W and WSW lean through the morning before it turns SE in the afternoon - light enough that it will not blow the pass out, but it does soften the water a shade compared to the weekend. Tide is still excellent: 1.68 ft high at 4:36 AM falling all day to a 0.01 ft low at 7:40 PM. Solunar is the weak spot with the major not starting until 9:21 AM, well after sunrise, so first light is running on tide alone. Lures are still perfectly workable at these speeds.
Speckled trout tactic
Start with a bone Spook Jr on the bar tops at gray light while it's slick, and give it plenty of time before you decide they aren't there - the major doesn't fire until 9:21 AM. Then fish a Bass Assassin Sea Shad in morning glory or a Lil John in Texas Roach on a 1/8 to 1/4 oz head along the drop on the fall. Air hits 93 F by midday, so front-load your effort.
Live bait tactic
Live croaker on a Carolina rig in the deeper drop-offs - with the air at 93 F by noon the trout will sit down early and croaker is the only thing that pulls the good ones up. Live shrimp under a popping cork over the bar edges early. Free-line a mullet in the guts through the strongest part of the outgoing.
Water clarity read
A morning westerly at 4 to 5 kt takes a little of the edge off, but it is far too light to actually dirty this system. The SE turn in the afternoon starts pushing clean Gulf water back in, so the water improves as the day goes on rather than the usual reverse.
Reds & flounder
Redfish will work the drains and sand all morning on the long fall - live mullet is the easy call. Flounder remain on the down-current bar lips; drag slow with a 1/4 oz jighead and give them time to eat it.
Have this in your inbox at 7 PM
Pick your spots and your days — Friday, Saturday, Sunday, or all three. One mail, no app.
The NWS hourly forecast reaches about 6.5 days, which stops short of the end of this window. Wind, temperature and sky for Monday come from Open-Meteo alone, with no second model to check them against. Treat the last of the week as a trend, not a plan.
Wind is cross-checked against two independent models: the NWS gridpoint forecast for this spot, and Open-Meteo running gfs_seamless at 29.096539, -95.158936. Across the overlapping mornings the two agree to within 2 kt on average (worst 4.2 kt). Where they diverge, treat that day's wind as less certain.
Water clarity is inferred from measured 48-hour buoy wind history and forecast wind vectors. It is not visually confirmed - local webcams are video streams and cannot be read automatically. Check a cam before you load the truck.